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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16363215 times)
Karabiner
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« Reply #5205 on: May 02, 2012, 07:25:49 PM »

Keith/Golden Miller ?
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« Reply #5206 on: May 02, 2012, 07:31:56 PM »

Keith/Golden Miller ?

Keith?

The Golden Miller part is correct, of course.
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« Reply #5207 on: May 02, 2012, 07:38:03 PM »

Tikay, you have mentioned Newcastle a couple of times now. I know you are tempted. Why don't you put up one of your own? Back 'em!
I couldn't put you off. Newcastle won 6 in a row before their off day against Europes finest (Wigan) last week. Quite a few changes for Chelsea too. I think their bench is way stronger than the likes of Pools last night but even still, Newcastle will be giving it everything.
Put yourself up son!
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« Reply #5208 on: May 02, 2012, 07:49:33 PM »

The English Greyhound Derby is almost certainly the highlight of my sports betting year and whilst I know there are other greyhound racing enthusiasts on blonde none have thrown up their opinions, either in this thread or any others. Therefore I thought I'd offer my opinions and advise on a couple of bets.

"Early pace wins the race". A lot of dog punters tailor their bets purely around that phrase and here at Wimbledon we should too. The standout performance of the 1st round, both in terms of sectional times and race times, was that of Bubbly Phoenix who raced to the bend in 4:68 and didn't stop on his way to scoring a fastest of the round 28:31. He was 20/1 before round 1 and even bigger before an impressive trial prior to that. A schoolboy error led to me missing the 20s and his price has crashed in to a best price 8.6/1 on Betfair and I genuinely think he is still a bet at that price when compared with the other market leaders.

Bubbly Phoenix is a wide seed and is very likely to get a favourable draw in every round, whilst hopefully avoiding the likely trouble at the first bend that can often occur when we have 6 class dogs.

If you decide to follow my advice, I'd go for a straight win bet as we've probably missed the e/w value. Perhaps £20 win @ the 9.6 on Betfair.


The favourite is last year's champion, Taylors Sky, who I don't really like at the prices and I think the real outstanding value lies in the classy Coolavanny Bert who I am certain there is more to come from at Wimbledon. Bert has broken the track record at Sittingbourne and has carded cracking times at Henlow this year too. QAw, EP and the odd VQAw are dotted all over his results, and as I said before that is key here.

I'm topping up the win part of my bet on Betfair before Friday with 50 on offer but I recommend something like £15ew @ the 40/1 on offer with bet365 who are paying 1/4 odds top 6.


Lastly throw a 5er ew on Bombolini @ 200/1 on bet365, purely based on his first round performance where he broke quite smartly and went round in a good time. There could be more to come from him.


You may decide to not follow these suggestions but at the very least I hope it provokes some discussion.

Cannot have such a raw novice, no matter how talented, at single figures at this stage of the Derby. If he was 25/1 fair enough. 8/1? No thanks.
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« Reply #5209 on: May 02, 2012, 07:51:01 PM »

Tikay, you have mentioned Newcastle a couple of times now. I know you are tempted. Why don't you put up one of your own? Back 'em!
I couldn't put you off. Newcastle won 6 in a row before their off day against Europes finest (Wigan) last week. Quite a few changes for Chelsea too. I think their bench is way stronger than the likes of Pools last night but even still, Newcastle will be giving it everything.
Put yourself up son!

Agree, you'll only kick yourself if you don't bet after wanting to Tony. No need to put too much at risk, laying to win £50 costs £25 at the moment. Chelsea are underpriced for sure.
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« Reply #5210 on: May 02, 2012, 07:51:49 PM »

Come on there the Muaba effect (look at the smile on his face etc)...Davies to bundle one in and Bolton to scrape it 1-0 at 70/1 gogogo
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« Reply #5211 on: May 02, 2012, 07:52:34 PM »

Bolton are 4.8 on betunfair now.

Time for a percy press up I think.
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« Reply #5212 on: May 02, 2012, 08:02:03 PM »

Bolton are 4.8 on betunfair now.

Time for a percy press up I think.

Not so much a Percy Press, as Nitty Twenty, but....

We are on, £20 with Betfair@ 4.8, down to Mr Camel.

Can't c & p betslip, am on ippy.
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« Reply #5213 on: May 02, 2012, 08:05:42 PM »

Cisse!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Thx Tikay. I'm on @ 6/1 on your recomendation.
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« Reply #5214 on: May 02, 2012, 08:05:59 PM »

Tikay, you have mentioned Newcastle a couple of times now. I know you are tempted. Why don't you put up one of your own? Back 'em!
I couldn't put you off. Newcastle won 6 in a row before their off day against Europes finest (Wigan) last week. Quite a few changes for Chelsea too. I think their bench is way stronger than the likes of Pools last night but even still, Newcastle will be giving it everything.
Put yourself up son!

Too late - Newcastle have gone a goal up.

Oooooohhhhh
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« Reply #5215 on: May 02, 2012, 08:33:14 PM »

The English Greyhound Derby is almost certainly the highlight of my sports betting year and whilst I know there are other greyhound racing enthusiasts on blonde none have thrown up their opinions, either in this thread or any others. Therefore I thought I'd offer my opinions and advise on a couple of bets.

"Early pace wins the race". A lot of dog punters tailor their bets purely around that phrase and here at Wimbledon we should too. The standout performance of the 1st round, both in terms of sectional times and race times, was that of Bubbly Phoenix who raced to the bend in 4:68 and didn't stop on his way to scoring a fastest of the round 28:31. He was 20/1 before round 1 and even bigger before an impressive trial prior to that. A schoolboy error led to me missing the 20s and his price has crashed in to a best price 8.6/1 on Betfair and I genuinely think he is still a bet at that price when compared with the other market leaders.

Bubbly Phoenix is a wide seed and is very likely to get a favourable draw in every round, whilst hopefully avoiding the likely trouble at the first bend that can often occur when we have 6 class dogs.

If you decide to follow my advice, I'd go for a straight win bet as we've probably missed the e/w value. Perhaps £20 win @ the 9.6 on Betfair.


The favourite is last year's champion, Taylors Sky, who I don't really like at the prices and I think the real outstanding value lies in the classy Coolavanny Bert who I am certain there is more to come from at Wimbledon. Bert has broken the track record at Sittingbourne and has carded cracking times at Henlow this year too. QAw, EP and the odd VQAw are dotted all over his results, and as I said before that is key here.

I'm topping up the win part of my bet on Betfair before Friday with 50 on offer but I recommend something like £15ew @ the 40/1 on offer with bet365 who are paying 1/4 odds top 6.


Lastly throw a 5er ew on Bombolini @ 200/1 on bet365, purely based on his first round performance where he broke quite smartly and went round in a good time. There could be more to come from him.


You may decide to not follow these suggestions but at the very least I hope it provokes some discussion.

Cannot have such a raw novice, no matter how talented, at single figures at this stage of the Derby. If he was 25/1 fair enough. 8/1? No thanks.

Fair. Have you backed anything Camel?

Bubbly is by far my smallest winner, just felt I'd kick myself if he pulled it off. Also felt Tikay would get a decent sweat for his money, and I purposefully kept stakes low for the bet (in comparison to some of his bets).
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« Reply #5216 on: May 02, 2012, 08:35:46 PM »

I don't like the look of this Bolton game anymore. Spurs look dangerous. I'm getting out for a small loss (posting this so you can all laugh at me later when Bolton win)
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« Reply #5217 on: May 02, 2012, 08:38:25 PM »

I don't like the look of this Bolton game anymore. Spurs look dangerous. I'm getting out for a small loss (posting this so you can all laugh at me later when Bolton win)

Agree, the Muamba Moment disappeared as soon as they kicked off, and Bolton are being proper battered so far, and are lucky not to be 2 or 3 down.
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« Reply #5218 on: May 02, 2012, 08:38:58 PM »

.....instead of just one down!
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The Camel
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« Reply #5219 on: May 02, 2012, 08:45:31 PM »

Can have all the motivation in the world, but if you're shit at football it doesn't really help.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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