Lovely for Newcastle, delighted for them and well deserved. Cheers for that Tikay, keep 'em coming! Only joking, I had them backed myself (very small) anyway but I didn't have confidence enough to tip them for the thread, that's why I wanted you to tip them!
Wigan are 2/1 with Boylesports to win at Blackburn this Monday coming with Blackburn best priced 6/4. Utter nonsense imo and I can't understand this price.
Blackburns home form is W6 D 1 L11, Wigans away form W5 D 3 L10 so almost exactly comparable even on a season long comparison.
But of course over recent form Blackburn have lost 6 of their last 7 and look completely disinterested. And Wigan are in sparkling form (Fulham defeat aside) over a similar timeframe.
It's a must win game for both but Blackburn have not responded to being in 'must win' scenarios and Wigan clearly have. If results go against them beforehand, Blackburn might be virtually relegated by the time it kicks off.
I simply can't see that price remaining as it is for long so I would suggest £50 Wigan win now and keep an eye for maybe further top-ups if the price does remain.
I'm also looking at a bit of a Banzai. Swansea are currently 20/1 to win at Old Trafford on Sunday w Betfair. By the time that match kicks off, the earlier Newcastle vs Man City game will be over. IF Man City win, the league is effectively gone for United. I'm recommending a MAX BET of £150 £10.
Came on to say the same as Daz's point about the Wigan price, completely agree. As you're on already though I'll suggest looking at another bet in the Utd-Swansea match.
If City DONT win at St James', I think you should look at the 4.5 goal market in the United match. Goal difference is looking like it could be crucial, so if all is still to play for then I expect Utd to set out to try and score as many as possible. Swansea have changed from the team we've seen all season in recent weeks; it seems to me that they've lost a lot of the solidity they had at the back earlier in the season while retaining their ability to attack effectively. It was seriously un-Swansea-like to concede 4 goals last week against Wolves.
Whenever I've looked at the 4.5's market for normal games the price to lay unders is generally 1.16 to 1.22 ish, but at the moment it's around 1.36, so it's a bit high, but I think it's still worth keeping an eye on. I'm mentioning the lay prices as I tend to lay the unders rather than back the overs in the same market, by all means find the best price available.
Counter arguments for the bet would be that Utd haven't really shown the ability to smash 5 past a team for quite a while now, and also that Brendan Rodgers has proved himself a very good manager and won't let his team lie down.
Author