Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Spanish Grand Prix? Jensen looks good value @12/1. McLaren showed they have pace in qualification yet both drivers were complaining about understeer. Yesterday Hamilton reported the car was perfect and it was one of the best qualifying sessions he's driven. If the mechanics can work out the same setup for the Button car he should be able to match those times. This year seems to be a lottery, good sweat in Bahrain backing Raikkonen imo. We know Jenson has tyre management and the weather is unsettled. Any other thoughts?

Is this better than that daft singing dude? It had better be.

£25 with BWin @ 12/1, Jensen Button

ON
Button, £25 @ 12/1, BWin

5/13/2012 12:23 PM   Single bet
   GP Spain - Race (Winner)   Jenson Button (GBR/McLaren)   ?   25.00   12/1

[tikay]

At the risk of repeating myself I will recommend Catalan Dragons to beat Warrington in the rugby league challenge cup. £40 at evens with BetFred. We backed them to win the same fixture in the league a few weeks ago which they won by over 20 points, it will be closer today but they are worthy of support at home. Last week Catalan slightly let us down by beating Huddersfield by 7 points, who were top of the league, but we had them to win by 13 points or more.

Vive la France.

We shall try again.

£50 @ Evens with Betfred, Catalan.

ON

Catalan Dragons, £50 @ Evens with Betfred

Catalan Dragons v Warrington Wolves
Match Betting   Catalans Dragons   EVS   
Total stake   £ 50.00
Estimated return   £ 100.00
Full stake   £ 50.00
Full estimated return   £ 100.00

[tikay]

Newcastle massive at 2/1. Listened to pardew and he said we are really going to attack then and go at then like we never have before, EVertob have local rivalry at risk where they bee to win to finish above Liverpool. But think that we should do the job and they don't have enough upfront to worry us. Would also say Ben arfa at 9/1 fgs is worth a small unit. His performance in this game last year was the best I've seen in a black and white shirt and he was rewarded with an amazing 35 harder. We have beating EVertob previously when the pressures been on and our fans are going to be v v loud.

Thanks Patrick. We don't really like "homer" bets, unless strong evidence comes in from elsewhere, (myopia, & all that), but I can beat both those prices by a considerable margin, , so we've had a mini-dabble, because it's you. Good luck, & thank you. 

£50 with Boyle, Newcastle, @ 13/5.

ON


Bet ref: 4/4
Newcastle @ 13/5
Everton v Newcastle
Match Betting
Total stake   £50.00
Estimated return   £180.00

_________________

Ben Arfa, fgs, £10 @ 11/1, Paddy Power.

ON

Ben Arfa, FGS, £10 @ 11/1, Paddy Power.

Premier League Matches Everton v Newcastle 
13-05-2012 15:00
First Goalscorer
H Ben Arfa @ 11/1

[tikay]

That's it, the shop is shut until late afternoon.

Good luck all, hope your team wins.

[Dubai]

Ben Arfa 14s betfair. Amateur stuff

[Nico29]

Ben Arfa 14s betfair. Amateur stuff

Meh abso no liquidity on there plus its more like 12s after comish.

Also pads offer money back if there is a goal in last 5 minutes, 11s with them is fine.

[smashedagain]

Ben Arfa 14s betfair. Amateur stuff

Bit late but keep a closer eye on him please  

[Dubai]

Ben Arfa 14s betfair. Amateur stuff

Meh abso no liquidity on there plus its more like 12s after comish.

Also pads offer money back if there is a goal in last 5 minutes, 11s with them is fine.

He only wants a tenner and markets always get liquid nearer the off, and what commission rate sends 14s into 12s???

The money back offer obv decent but assume he didnt know about it

[Nico29]

Ben Arfa 14s betfair. Amateur stuff

Meh abso no liquidity on there plus its more like 12s after comish.

Also pads offer money back if there is a goal in last 5 minutes, 11s with them is fine.

He only wants a tenner and markets always get liquid nearer the off, and what commission rate sends 14s into 12s???

The money back offer obv decent but assume he didnt know about it

Lol obv when yr a baller like u bud yr comish discount is probs 58%.

Was wrong tho u get 13.3-1 for a zero percent discount at 14s on betfair.

Yeah u cld probs leave it up and hope to be matched but for a tenner whats the point of risking not getting matched, peace of mind imo.

Right now there is 2 quid available at 13.5. Personally dont even like the bet, just dont think its that bad to bet with pads at 11s esp with the offer.

By the way obv i agree with always getting value on bets/prices, like not betting 0-0 and betting less when u miss price etc etc.

[pleno1]

Haha ggogogogo.

Ben arfa 3-0

[pleno1]

Wow 11s is huge he's going to be trying to impress for euro2012 as well as cabaye and a few others, don't think EVertob have many potential internationals and I genuinely don't rate then. Hibbert, neveille, et al will hopefully not be able to cope with or front 3. Defending set pieces is perhaps a problem area for us, although we have 2 strikers who can head the ball which is very rare.

Shola last goal scorer worth a put of 10s+

[Dubai]

Something ive noticed and usually backed each year (havent got stats to hand) is normally goals in last game of season when game means nothing to either side, assume defenders more adventurous and away teams more cavalier as want to score to thank fans etc

4 games today where nothing to play for

Chelsea Blackburn
Norwich Villa
Swansea Liverpool
Wigan Wolves

Various ways you can be with the bet, ones id recommend for thread are small acca on over 2.5 and small acca both teams to score. Il be just betting them singly but hard work for thread

Will leave someone who isnt on phone to work out what bookie best for both accas

[Dubai]

nah am on already on- but Tikay to have small accas can get on with any firm

[redarmi]

F1 is interesting today and I think a lot of them are value tbh but it is very difficult. I have backed a few.  Maldonado at 11/1,  Rosberg at 33/1, Webber At 25/1 and Button at 12/1.

[pleno1]

Why? It the last game of the season and lots of players just meh it off, see Dubois post above..  If anybody can get a team up for a game then it's pardew.