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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16390189 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #7605 on: June 01, 2012, 10:58:45 AM »

Spread betting firms seem to have settled on around 74 goals.
Seeing as they tend to inflate the totals due to people's natural inclination to "buy", I'd say that you should be looking at less than 74 as realistic.

There are 31 games.

In 2008, 77 goals were scored in 31 games.
In 2004, 77 goals were scored in 31 games.
In 2000, 85 goals were scored in 31 games.


Caveat: I know nothing about football.

one thing to note there Vince is that football has changed a lot since those totals

Wot, no laces in the balls any more?
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« Reply #7606 on: June 01, 2012, 11:04:16 AM »

Get well soon Xpress.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #7607 on: June 01, 2012, 11:15:36 AM »

Spread betting firms seem to have settled on around 74 goals.
Seeing as they tend to inflate the totals due to people's natural inclination to "buy", I'd say that you should be looking at less than 74 as realistic.

There are 31 games.

In 2008, 77 goals were scored in 31 games.
In 2004, 77 goals were scored in 31 games.
In 2000, 85 goals were scored in 31 games.


Caveat: I know nothing about football.

one thing to note there Vince is that football has changed a lot since those totals

but the odd thing is if you look at ><2.5 goals odds of the group matches, everyone that I looked at was a big fav for <2.5, so in the individual matches low scoring is expected (def a lot less than 31/77)
 
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Graham C
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« Reply #7608 on: June 01, 2012, 11:32:05 AM »

Didn't they have a ball for the last World Cup that was supposed to wobble a bit in an idea to get more goals?

Or did I make that up?
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« Reply #7609 on: June 01, 2012, 11:37:24 AM »

a\ lot of negativity around on the thread?

There is?

firstly tikay is doing a super job balancing the suggestions with the bets especially as the thread has become more and more popular over the months

secondly as i have stated before the sample sizes are still to small to come to any firm conclusions as to what sports should be kept or ditched


Never doubted.   My post re stop betting on losing sports is hardly negative, more a concern as I don't see why you'd want to continue to bet on something that is a loser.  Yes the sample size is small, but as Tikay said, it will never be a decent size.  Plenty of people have also said that betting on horses is -ev long term.  The other biggest loser (Basketball?) has also been commented that even the bigger players in the betting world only have a small edge - what chance to we have?  On the flip side, most people suggest that they do ok on football, and then lose it on other sports bets.

I don't mind what Tikay or anyone bets on, I love the thread and find it fascinating, but I don't have to agree with everything that's posted and certainly don't mean it to come across as being negative.  Think of us sitting at a table over a beer with me smiling and you saying that this time next year we'll be millionaires once we've bet on enough horses. 

It's what we do, it's who we are.

points taken well made

good luck
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Xpressman
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« Reply #7610 on: June 01, 2012, 11:45:15 AM »

Get well soon Xpress.

Cheers Mate.

Ivanovic bet now looking suspect  Sad
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« Reply #7611 on: June 01, 2012, 11:47:14 AM »

get well soon xpressman

this is a superb video to get the juices flowing ahead of today and tommorow

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jq-3DfYOly4&feature=relmfu
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« Reply #7612 on: June 01, 2012, 11:50:02 AM »

and this which is more of an in depth preview

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zYdwdInrcug&feature=relmfu
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MereNovice
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« Reply #7613 on: June 01, 2012, 11:52:42 AM »

Get well soon Xpress.

Cheers Mate.

Ivanovic bet now looking suspect  Sad

Have faith.
ivanovic is a lot more robust than she used to be.

Get well soon.
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« Reply #7614 on: June 01, 2012, 12:02:01 PM »

Get well soon Xpress.

Cheers Mate.

Ivanovic bet now looking suspect  Sad

Have faith.
ivanovic is a lot more robust than she used to be.

She started on fire ....Now 5-2 down in final set .......Not looking good

Get well soon.
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« Reply #7615 on: June 01, 2012, 12:45:25 PM »

On a brighter note, some fella I've never heard of scored a three pointer while his team were already 20-odd down for the last score of the game. Out of it somehow...it's what we do
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« Reply #7616 on: June 01, 2012, 12:48:34 PM »

On a brighter note, some fella I've never heard of scored a three pointer while his team were already 20-odd down for the last score of the game. Out of it somehow...it's what we do

very prideful of him that Jeff, he must be, well, proud.
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« Reply #7617 on: June 01, 2012, 12:54:45 PM »

On a brighter note, some fella I've never heard of scored a three pointer while his team were already 20-odd down for the last score of the game. Out of it somehow...it's what we do

very prideful of him that Jeff, he must be, well, proud.
He looked like a youngster so guess he'll be well proud, not, well, proud
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« Reply #7618 on: June 01, 2012, 01:12:01 PM »

On a brighter note, some fella I've never heard of scored a three pointer while his team were already 20-odd down for the last score of the game. Out of it somehow...it's what we do

very prideful of him that Jeff, he must be, well, proud.
He looked like a youngster so guess he'll be well proud, not, well, proud

bugger, I got the lingo all to cook again and put my leg in it.

Iz it coz I iz old.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #7619 on: June 01, 2012, 01:14:56 PM »

Agnieska Rasdwanska has just lost 1-6 2-6 to Svetlana Kuznetsova in the 3rd round of the French Open.
Shucks.
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