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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 648681 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #9765 on: June 27, 2012, 02:17:36 PM »

out of interest, why is there not more tennis action being thrown out?

no value in any Wimbledon singles matches? outright markets?

I can't comment on the blokes but haven't seen any odds that looked great for the women's matches so far.
There have been a few that I backed with my own money but I wouldn't risk Fred's.

Ana Ivanovic won her first round match this morning in three sets and is now 100/1 from 150/1.
Sabine Lisicki won her second round match this morning in three sets and is now 66/1 from 200/1.

Neither of them looked world beaters but if you got on them you've got value.

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Bibo Ergo Sum
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« Reply #9766 on: June 27, 2012, 02:20:00 PM »

in the mens it looks all so predictable. gone are the days of lots of seeds falling in rounds 1 and 2?

why would this be? Slower grass courts these days play more like hard courts so the matches run more to "form" than the fast grass used to?
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9767 on: June 27, 2012, 02:22:07 PM »

in the mens it looks all so predictable. gone are the days of lots of seeds falling in rounds 1 and 2?

why would this be? Slower grass courts these days play more like hard courts so the matches run more to "form" than the fast grass used to?

Ooooh, that's a good debating point.
I'm going to have to think about that.
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Bibo Ergo Sum
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« Reply #9768 on: June 27, 2012, 02:33:39 PM »

Increasing the number of seeds from 16 to 32 has meant less big clashes early in the draw.
I think that is the main reason quoted but I'm sure there must be other factors.
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Bibo Ergo Sum
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« Reply #9769 on: June 27, 2012, 02:39:22 PM »

out of interest, why is there not more tennis action being thrown out?

no value in any Wimbledon singles matches? outright markets?

Mr Horner of Leeds must be getting it on his own this year?Huh?
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9770 on: June 27, 2012, 03:00:58 PM »

Sam Stosur has just made her traditional early exit from Wimbledon.
She was beaten by Arantxa Rus who was 7/1 on Betfair despite her good run in the French Open.
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Bibo Ergo Sum
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« Reply #9771 on: June 27, 2012, 03:09:45 PM »

out of interest, why is there not more tennis action being thrown out?

no value in any Wimbledon singles matches? outright markets?

Mr Horner of Leeds must be getting it on his own this year?Huh?

I used to enjoy putting up a thread about the outright betting but nowadays with the absolute dominance of Nadal and Djokovic in every grand slam there seems little point. I toyed with the idea of putting forward Del Potro and Tsonga but its just doubtful it will be worth the effort on anyones part. I couldn't even find anything in the "to win a quarter betting". Tipsarevic @ 18s was the only close one but he has a tough enough draw.

I'm just doing pre-match betting this year, lots of handicap and set betting.

Trading it seems difficult nowadays, the market is too good. Almagro yesterday was 1.6 a set and a break down to Rochus. A couple of years ago you might have seen some odds against. He went on to win.

Today Petzschner was 2-0 up over Mayer. He has a tendency to lose from here and again, a while back you may have been lucky enough to lay some 1.15-1.18. 1.29 today. The in-play value on Betfair seems to have some extent ceased to exist.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9772 on: June 27, 2012, 03:20:49 PM »

Wozniacki v Paszek.

Wozniacki 11/10 StanJames
Paszek 11/10 BetFred

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens-wimbledon/caroline-wozniacki-v-tamira-paszek/winner

It's on Centre Court so those prices will only exist until they get the roof on and restart play.
Fill your wellies.
« Last Edit: June 27, 2012, 03:26:54 PM by MereNovice » Logged

Bibo Ergo Sum
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« Reply #9773 on: June 27, 2012, 03:31:50 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/internationals/euro-2012/spain-v-portugal/spain-possession

VC are evens over 65.5% possession for spain
Stan James are 10/11 over 67% possession for spain

WillHill are 7/2 over 65% possession for spain

Suggests that's a bet based on the price of the other 2.
Superp spot, Hills now go 5/4.
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henrik777
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« Reply #9774 on: June 27, 2012, 03:48:48 PM »

great spot Jose if we can get on

7-2 is massive and obv a mistake on a weak market


Spain v Italy 60%
Spain v Ireland 66%
Spain v Croatia 64%
Spain v France 55%


Portugal ave is 46%

http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuro/season=2012/statistics/round=15172/teams/type=possession/index.html

Sandy

Mmmm ...



Sandy
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #9775 on: June 27, 2012, 05:22:21 PM »

This is Spains results in their last 6 knockout games in major tournies, starting with most recent.
(Euro 2012) France 1-0
(World Cup 2010) Holland 1-0
(WC) Germany 1-0
(WC) Paraguay 1-0
(WC) Portugal 1-0
(Euro 2008) Germany 1-0.

Spain 1 Portugal 0 is 9/2 (generally). I'm just sayin'.
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kpnuts
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« Reply #9776 on: June 27, 2012, 05:28:52 PM »

This is Spains results in their last 6 knockout games in major tournies, starting with most recent.
(Euro 2012) France 1-0
(World Cup 2010) Holland 1-0
(WC) Germany 1-0
(WC) Paraguay 1-0
(WC) Portugal 1-0
(Euro 2008) Germany 1-0.

Spain 1 Portugal 0 is 9/2 (generally). I'm just sayin'.

2-0
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #9777 on: June 27, 2012, 05:35:27 PM »

This is Spains results in their last 6 knockout games in major tournies, starting with most recent.
(Euro 2012) France 1-0
(World Cup 2010) Holland 1-0
(WC) Germany 1-0
(WC) Paraguay 1-0
(WC) Portugal 1-0
(Euro 2008) Germany 1-0.

Spain 1 Portugal 0 is 9/2 (generally). I'm just sayin'.

2-0

Bugger.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9778 on: June 27, 2012, 05:36:53 PM »

It is a low total however two points in mitigation

Grace Road is a wide ground, a bit like a squat rectangle. Straight boundaries hittable, not so easy to get boundaries square after the powerplay with sweepers out

Leicestershire can bat first and throw in a stinker, its happened this season

Would be more confident of the >32 boundaries if Yorkshire won the toss and batted.

Anyway whether its sixes or boundaries is up to Fred. Sixes for me, but my stronger opinion is on Chelmsford tomorrow night


On.

Yorkshire batting first.
Maximum I could get was £30.

TightEnd   WilliamHill   Cricket   Leics v Yorks   > 6.5 sixes   5/6   £30

27 Jun 2012 - Leicestershire v Yorkshire - Total Match Sixes
Over (6.5) @ 5/6
Stake : £30.00
Estimated Returns : £55.00



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Bibo Ergo Sum
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« Reply #9779 on: June 27, 2012, 05:46:51 PM »

out of interest, why is there not more tennis action being thrown out?

no value in any Wimbledon singles matches? outright markets?

Where's blatch when we need him? He was a good tennis analyst.
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"Sometimes you just have to go with what is in your pants"

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