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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16128305 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #10890 on: July 22, 2012, 09:43:57 AM »

yes it does. I only checked the podium market, remiss of me


A cat in the pigeons too, the RedBulls are currently in front of the stewards over engine irregularities

That would be a nice bonus were they to be penalised...


http://joesaward.wordpress.com/2012/07/22/troubles-at-red-bull/
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« Reply #10891 on: July 22, 2012, 09:46:34 AM »

The each-way bet on Hamilton is only better value if we think that he has a realistic chance of winning the race - I'm not saying that he hasn't!
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« Reply #10892 on: July 22, 2012, 09:49:55 AM »

The each-way bet on Hamilton is only better value if we think that he has a realistic chance of winning the race - I'm not saying that he hasn't!


As a Nit, I think you have gone the right route.
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« Reply #10893 on: July 22, 2012, 09:50:57 AM »

The each-way bet on Hamilton is only better value if we think that he has a realistic chance of winning the race - I'm not saying that he hasn't!


This.

I'm not convinced he's that likely to win that another bet is worthwhile. Otherwise you're chopping your profit
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« Reply #10894 on: July 22, 2012, 10:13:05 AM »

hello blonde, long time lurker, first time poster.
Paddy power has priced up the average number of people to watch the opening ceremony of the olympics as follows;
less than 22mil - 7/4
22-26m - 11/4
26-30m - 11/4
30-34m - 7/2
over 34m - 4/1
 
This seems disproportionally weighted towards the higher figures, for example the England v Italy had  average viewing figures of just over 20m and a peak high of just under 25m. The royal wedding had peak figures (not average) of 25m across two channels. I'd put over 34m at 100/1. The opening ceremony lasts for 3 hours and finishes at midnight i think it incredibly unlikely to average over 26m. Therefore I've bet £100 on less than 22m and £75 on 22-26m which will profit £100ish providing average figures are less than 26m. Thoughts?   
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tikay
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« Reply #10895 on: July 22, 2012, 10:16:55 AM »

hello blonde, long time lurker, first time poster.
Paddy power has priced up the average number of people to watch the opening ceremony of the olympics as follows;
less than 22mil - 7/4
22-26m - 11/4
26-30m - 11/4
30-34m - 7/2
over 34m - 4/1
 
This seems disproportionally weighted towards the higher figures, for example the England v Italy had  average viewing figures of just over 20m and a peak high of just under 25m. The royal wedding had peak figures (not average) of 25m across two channels. I'd put over 34m at 100/1. The opening ceremony lasts for 3 hours and finishes at midnight i think it incredibly unlikely to average over 26m. Therefore I've bet £100 on less than 22m and £75 on 22-26m which will profit £100ish providing average figures are less than 26m. Thoughts?   

Morning Kev, welcome aboard.

How do they define "viewers"?

UK TV Channels only? Webstreams included, or not? RoI viewers counted?

By what means will the viewer numbers be defined, & how can, or could, we, the general public, access them?

In SOME cases, (BSKYB for example) TV viewing figures are measured by average duration, say, up to 3 minutes, 3 to 5 mins, 5 to 10 mins, etc. 

Great spot, by the way, but I just worry as to how it is framed.
« Last Edit: July 22, 2012, 10:19:39 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #10896 on: July 22, 2012, 10:17:25 AM »

hello blonde, long time lurker, first time poster.
Paddy power has priced up the average number of people to watch the opening ceremony of the olympics as follows;
less than 22mil - 7/4
22-26m - 11/4
26-30m - 11/4
30-34m - 7/2
over 34m - 4/1
 
This seems disproportionally weighted towards the higher figures, for example the England v Italy had  average viewing figures of just over 20m and a peak high of just under 25m. The royal wedding had peak figures (not average) of 25m across two channels. I'd put over 34m at 100/1. The opening ceremony lasts for 3 hours and finishes at midnight i think it incredibly unlikely to average over 26m. Therefore I've bet £100 on less than 22m and £75 on 22-26m which will profit £100ish providing average figures are less than 26m. Thoughts?   

Firstly, thanks for posting and welcome to Blonde.
I'm not an expert on the TV industry but I think that we may have some people with a bit of insight.
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tikay
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« Reply #10897 on: July 22, 2012, 10:20:58 AM »


I think we'd need to see how Paddy Power plan to settle this, have they put up the parameters?
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« Reply #10898 on: July 22, 2012, 10:21:40 AM »


I think we'd need to see how Paddy Power plan to settle this, have they put up the parameters?

No.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #10899 on: July 22, 2012, 10:22:50 AM »

We might be getting Sunday lunch value

cars 1 and 2 are the redbulls

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« Reply #10900 on: July 22, 2012, 10:25:13 AM »


That made my neck ache, Tighty.

Does Jack Bauer really work for the FIA?
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« Reply #10901 on: July 22, 2012, 10:26:21 AM »


I think we'd need to see how Paddy Power plan to settle this, have they put up the parameters?

No.

No?

In which case, I'd be a bit suspicious of the market. How can we bet if we cannot verify the result, or even know how they plan to measure it?
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« Reply #10902 on: July 22, 2012, 10:27:11 AM »


That made my neck ache, Tighty.

Does Jack Bauer really work for the FIA?

For a man who professes to never watch drama on TV, you seem remarkably well informed.
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« Reply #10903 on: July 22, 2012, 10:27:49 AM »


I think we'd need to see how Paddy Power plan to settle this, have they put up the parameters?

No.

No?

In which case, I'd be a bit suspicious of the market. How can we bet if we cannot verify the result, or even know how they plan to measure it?

I've e-mailed them.
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« Reply #10904 on: July 22, 2012, 10:28:31 AM »


That made my neck ache, Tighty.

Does Jack Bauer really work for the FIA?

For a man who professes to never watch drama on TV, you seem remarkably well informed.

Flushy kept banging on about him, he was in "Lost" or some similar American TV bollox I gather. 
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