Tips for Tikay

[Eso Kral]

I might have one for tomorrow at Goodwood, can't let the cat out of the bag just yet..

Bump

[tikay]

The USA team is a class apart. The other team that I've been impressed with are France who are now in the other half of the draw to USA and GB.
http://www.london2012.com/football/event/women/brackets.html

Marta is past her prime and rarely produces the goods nowadays so I don't rate Brazil very highly.

I couldn't find any markets for backing France to make the final specifically and the e/w bet doesn't appeal. Backing France to win a medal looks good to me but the Betfair market is next to dead.

Having looked at the latest world rankings, England have 1966 points - an omen?
http://www.fifa.com/worldranking/rankingtable/women/index.html

Any further views on this from anyone?

[TightEnd]

Have no reason to put you off

US (who look very good, and are drawn to meet GB in the semis) and GB teams aside who I've watched, knowledge of the sport is minimal

[tikay]

Thanks Rich.

I only found that whilst trying to find a Post by Nick Wright, he stuck it up yesterday, think it was his first bet here, maybe Gymnastics? I'm sure it was for this afternoon.

[tikay]

Have been on a webchat with the excellent Michael Johnson

Asked him for some tips

Comment From Richard

The 100m sprinters aside, which US track and field athletes should we look out for as the biggest medal hopes?

12:48
   
Michael Johnson:
Ashton Eaton, the world record holder in the decathlon, also Sanya Richards, Allyson Felix, Will Clay, the triple jumper.


Interestingly Javier Culson who is Dai Greene's main rival not mentioned



Eaton is 1/5 no thanks

Interestingly Clay is 5-1 second favourite behind fellow American Christian Taylor. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christian_Taylor_%28athlete%29  This year they have beaten each other

Richards is Evens favourite in the 400m, which is backable http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sanya_Richards-Ross

Felix 8/15 in the 200m so no thanks


Welcome thoughts from others on Clay and Richards

Culson is Puerto Rican  (edit: Brent beat me to it)

As for Clay, think he could be worth a small investment, he's jumped 17.55 this year, Taylor's best this year is 17.63 (achieved at same meet, U.S trials I think), so little to choose between them although Taylor is a 17.96 jumper at best.

http://www.iaaf.org/statistics/toplists/inout=o/age=n/season=2012/sex=M/all=n/legal=A/disc=TJ/detail.html

Looking at the leading times for the Woman's 400m don't think Richards Ross is a bet at evens as there are two or three other runners who have either run faster or <.2 slower than her this year. In fact looking at the odds surely Yulia Gushchina at 20/1 (joint second fastest this year) is an e/w bet on tote at 16/1?

Def agree Richards-Ross is no price at even money. It's a competitive field, although I personally would think she will win. No value in it IMO.

Clay I do like, tho. Triple jump is such a hit and miss event; so little room for error with starting points, crowd, run up, any little niggles and any other factors. In track events, there's more room for tiny errors. I know they have six attempts but if you're not on song early, it's hard to pull it back. Idowu can't be value against him at the moment, even if he competes, surely?

thanks

I am tentatively suggesting William Clay is a bet at 5-1 to win the Olympic Triple Jump

(folder: value/can't eat it)

Pending advice to the contrary.

Any views on this?

[tikay]

Am no expert on Gymnastics, but presumably the BBC commentators have some decent knowledge. They just said something along the lines of: 'If Dan Purvis performs like he did today (in the team final) he's got a great chance of medaling in the all around final."

Purivs is 5/1 on Bwin for a top three finish - http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/gymnastics/mens/individual-all-around/top-3-finish

Not sure if it's value/banzai or somewhere inbetween, willing to be shot down but perhaps it's worth a small outlay or somewhere between £10 and £25 for Fred?

Found it!

Any views on this?

[TightEnd]

Am no expert on Gymnastics, but presumably the BBC commentators have some decent knowledge. They just said something along the lines of: 'If Dan Purvis performs like he did today (in the team final) he's got a great chance of medaling in the all around final."

Purivs is 5/1 on Bwin for a top three finish - http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/gymnastics/mens/individual-all-around/top-3-finish

Not sure if it's value/banzai or somewhere inbetween, willing to be shot down but perhaps it's worth a small outlay or somewhere between £10 and £25 for Fred?

Found it!

Any views on this?

Not a clue. Shall I ask Nadia Comaneci?

[Karabiner]

I might have one for tomorrow at Goodwood, can't let the cat out of the bag just yet..

Bump

It was an attempted [ ] joke referring to Frankel, bit of an epic fail really 

[Eso Kral]

I might have one for tomorrow at Goodwood, can't let the cat out of the bag just yet..

Bump

It was an attempted [ ] joke referring to Frankel, bit of an epic fail really 

Sigh, was hoping you were going to get me out!!

[TheChipPrince]

Not to go crazy, but some value in over 5.5 6's in the Notts/Surrey game @ 5/6 with StanJ.  Best price and spreads make it 6.5-7...

last 3 games seen 6, 7 & 8.

Tighty may have some thoughts.

[TightEnd]

Not to go crazy, but some value in over 5.5 6's in the Notts/Surrey game @ 5/6 with .  Best price and spreads make it 6.5-7...

last 3 games seen 6, 7 & 8.

Tighty may have some thoughts.

Yes

The Lions, as tikay likes to refer to them as, have been struggling for a couple of months but have some big hitting players. The 'Outlaws, 'Vice's local team, strength in their batting

Almost put up Surrey at 13/8 to win this game, too.

The quote looks skinny to me, assuming weather/pitch is within normal parameters

[TightEnd]

Idowu isn't having a conventional build up. Red flags on the 9-1, thats for sure

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/olympics/19081251

[tikay]

Not to go crazy, but some value in over 5.5 6's in the Notts/Surrey game @ 5/6 with .  Best price and spreads make it 6.5-7...

last 3 games seen 6, 7 & 8.

Tighty may have some thoughts.

Yes

The Lions, as tikay likes to refer to them as, have been struggling for a couple of months but have some big hitting players. The 'Outlaws, 'Vice's local team, strength in their batting

Almost put up Surrey at 13/8 to win this game, too.

The quote looks skinny to me, assuming weather/pitch is within normal parameters

Clarify, please, Rich. What price is skinny - the match price, or the over 5.5 6's?

Happy to go with one or the other, or both even, to modest stakes, but I'm not sure what you are saying.

[JaffaCake]

Who's levelling who with this 'hoods nonsense? Mere is, as always on these matters, correct. Tighty's long explanation even indicaticated that team was using hoods to be associated with hoodies as well as Robin Hood, hoodies shortened to hoods doesn't take an apostrophe, and as for the suggestion that shortening two names to just a surname as in Robin Hood to just Hood needs an apostrophe?!

PS How can anyone be such short odds in this road race? Shall we lay Wiggo and I'll get down there and rugby tackle him off his bike?

[MereNovice]

Who's levelling who with this 'hoods nonsense? Mere is, as always on these matters, correct. Tighty's long explanation even indicaticated that team was using hoods to be associated with hoodies as well as Robin Hood, hoodies shortened to hoods doesn't take an apostrophe, and as for the suggestion that shortening two names to just a surname as in Robin Hood to just Hood needs an apostrophe?!

PS How can anyone be such short odds in this road race? Shall we lay Wiggo and I'll get down there and rugby tackle him off his bike?

I've always thought that Jeff is an oasis of reason in this desert of inanity.

I think that tikay is the man to put his walking stick in the spokes of Wiggins' wheel as he cycles past his estate.