Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

I saw Blackburn have been tipped up and I agree that 5/6 does seem a decent price.  As the poster says this is a 100% home team against a 0% away team (albeit on a small sample size).  Boro didn't put up much resistance at Blackpool and this would seem to be a similar engagement.

Hmmm.

The respective home/away records isn't exactly a sectret is it?

That is facored into the price obviously.

Not saying Blackbrn are or aren't a bad bet, but I think Fred needs more insight than this to part with his cash.

[TightEnd]

I saw Blackburn have been tipped up and I agree that 5/6 does seem a decent price.  As the poster says this is a 100% home team against a 0% away team (albeit on a small sample size).  Boro didn't put up much resistance at Blackpool and this would seem to be a similar engagement.

Hmmm.

The respective home/away records isn't exactly a sectret is it?

That is facored into the price obviously.

Not saying Blackbrn are or aren't a bad bet, but I think Fred needs more insight than this to part with his cash.

Pretty much this

its the concept of value again

If they are 7/4 and you think the right price is 5/6, great

but its 5/6 so we are really thinkling the right price is 1/2 or at a really tight mispricing 8/11 or 4/6?

Don't think so, even allowing for Blackburn's good start, the difficulty teams are having at winning away etc

[The Camel]

I saw Blackburn have been tipped up and I agree that 5/6 does seem a decent price.  As the poster says this is a 100% home team against a 0% away team (albeit on a small sample size).  Boro didn't put up much resistance at Blackpool and this would seem to be a similar engagement.

Hmmm.

The respective home/away records isn't exactly a sectret is it?

That is facored into the price obviously.

Not saying Blackbrn are or aren't a bad bet, but I think Fred needs more insight than this to part with his cash.

Pretty much this

its the concept of value again

If they are 7/4 and you think the right price is 5/6, great

but its 5/6 so we are really thinkling the right price is 1/2 or at a really tight mispricing 8/11 or 4/6?

Don't think so, even allowing for Blackburn's good start, the difficulty teams are having at winning away etc

I haven't seen Blackbrn yet this season.

But from the reports I've read the points total they have achieved so far flatters them slightly.

[AndrewT]

Afghanistan are a best priced 100/30 to hit most sixes today.

Their price will have been shaved due to the fact they drew with India. Also, I would imagine the bookies will think that the first thought which will go through punters heads is 'There's no KP - that means fewer sixes for England' so that will compress the price further.

England do still have plenty of batsmen who can clear the ropes but the stat which I found most interesting was that in the warm-up game vs Australia, England were outscored on the sixes 10-3, yet they still won the game. They hit plenty of fours so perhaps there's less of a tendency to go over the top.

I'm going to have a little tickle on Afghans to hit more sixes (more just to have a sweat during the game), though it's nowhere near as good a bet as it was against India.

Lulz - either my post or my £20 has moved Skybet's price to 11/4. Can't be too careful with Murdoch's money.

[horseplayer]

I saw Blackburn have been tipped up and I agree that 5/6 does seem a decent price.  As the poster says this is a 100% home team against a 0% away team (albeit on a small sample size).  Boro didn't put up much resistance at Blackpool and this would seem to be a similar engagement.

Hmmm.

The respective home/away records isn't exactly a sectret is it?

That is facored into the price obviously.

Not saying Blackbrn are or aren't a bad bet, but I think Fred needs more insight than this to part with his cash.

Pretty much this

its the concept of value again

If they are 7/4 and you think the right price is 5/6, great

but its 5/6 so we are really thinkling the right price is 1/2 or at a really tight mispricing 8/11 or 4/6?

Don't think so, even allowing for Blackburn's good start, the difficulty teams are having at winning away etc

I haven't seen Blackbrn yet this season.

But from the reports I've read the points total they have achieved so far flatters them slightly.

havent seen either

but have been told blackburn were fairly lucky to beat barnsley in the week

[DungBeetle]

Blackburn aren't in my 4 bets for the weekend, but I'm just saying I can see why they have been tipped up.

You'll certainly see worse 5/6 shots.  If you played the match 11 time I'd fancy Blackburn to make home advantage and current form pay at least 6 times out of 11.  So by that definition they seem a spot of value.

Shorter/equal priced teams which are poor in comparison are surely a nervous Birmingham v Barnsley, Brentford v Oldham and frankly Man City v Arsenal.

[TightEnd]

I saw Blackburn have been tipped up and I agree that 5/6 does seem a decent price.  As the poster says this is a 100% home team against a 0% away team (albeit on a small sample size).  Boro didn't put up much resistance at Blackpool and this would seem to be a similar engagement.

Hmmm.

The respective home/away records isn't exactly a sectret is it?

That is facored into the price obviously.

Not saying Blackbrn are or aren't a bad bet, but I think Fred needs more insight than this to part with his cash.

Pretty much this

its the concept of value again

If they are 7/4 and you think the right price is 5/6, great

but its 5/6 so we are really thinkling the right price is 1/2 or at a really tight mispricing 8/11 or 4/6?

Don't think so, even allowing for Blackburn's good start, the difficulty teams are having at winning away etc

I haven't seen Blackbrn yet this season.

But from the reports I've read the points total they have achieved so far flatters them slightly.

I saw them at home. Hugely lucky to win, we were hugely disappointed given we dominated to blow it once again. Didn't have them down as long term runaway division leaders for sure.

Still have the nucleus of last season's team (experienced pros like Paul Robinson and Morton Gamst Pedersen were huge steadying influences, from what I saw) and that lack of turnover has helped a fast start, compared to some relegated teams who have to rebuild pretty much from the get go.

[DungBeetle]

I think the bet lies more in Middlesboro's shocking away displays as much as anything else.  But in any case there seems significant distrust of Blackburn so Fred should keep his powder dry.

[DungBeetle]

Tighty - how do you see the Leicester season panning out?  They are pretty much the bedrock of my championship betting this year and it's only the home form keeping the head above water at the moment.

[DungBeetle]

I think it's fair to say the Franklin experiment hasn't worked so far.  8 off 15 balls for a T20 opener.

[TightEnd]

Tighty - how do you see the Leicester season panning out?  They are pretty much the bedrock of my championship betting this year and it's only the home form keeping the head above water at the moment.

1 goal conceded in 3 home games, but generally playing well below what people expect.

Away from home 1 or 2 costly errors at the back per game, and a host of missed chances. At the back we've been unsettled when under pressure, Konchesky in particular has struggled against pacey wingers.

We've genuinely played better in large parts of away games than at home, though the results tell you otherwise

It's a horrible division to get a significant run going in, and we are one of host of teams that will be fighting to be top six at the end

One thing that is routinely ignored is that Pearson has had to shift a lot of money off the wage bill ahead of FPP..Mills, Bamba, Peltier amongst others, and this lies behind attempts to shift Beckford too. We spent less than £2m gross, and raised money nett, in the summer.

There remains, as ever with our club, a significant chance that a run of 4 or 5 defeats in a row would lead to a change of manager

[horseplayer]

god bangla are very very poor when they arent excellent

which is quite often

[smashedagain]

Mccullum making them look terrible too

[The Camel]

Afghanistan are a best priced 100/30 to hit most sixes today.

Their price will have been shaved due to the fact they drew with India. Also, I would imagine the bookies will think that the first thought which will go through punters heads is 'There's no KP - that means fewer sixes for England' so that will compress the price further.

England do still have plenty of batsmen who can clear the ropes but the stat which I found most interesting was that in the warm-up game vs Australia, England were outscored on the sixes 10-3, yet they still won the game. They hit plenty of fours so perhaps there's less of a tendency to go over the top.

I'm going to have a little tickle on Afghans to hit more sixes (more just to have a sweat during the game), though it's nowhere near as good a bet as it was against India.

Lulz - either my post or my £20 has moved Skybet's price to 11/4. Can't be too careful with Murdoch's money.

£20 @ 10/3???

£15 wins £50

or

£30 wins £100

Aren't all poker players affleicted with OCD like me?

I would rather lose a bet than win an ugly looking figure such as £66.67

[AndrewT]

Is Leicester's play well/get beat form a case of being unlucky (in which case they're backable) or indicative of an underlying problem which means they're fairly priced?