Tips for Tikay

[Teacake]

No Kompamy today for City  a team yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Fletcher looks big at 4/1 to score anytime with Stan James worth £20 I would think. Fletcher has scored all  5  of Sunderlands league goals since he went there.

[tikay]

1. Southampton to beat Fulham at 1.30pm tomorrow 17/10 Ladbrokes

Southampton have a lot of firepower, but are suspect at the back particularly to pace. However Fulham are less likely to take advantage of this without, most likely, Berbatov (to prompt) and Petric (to finish the prompts)

I'll take my chances on Ramirez, Lambert and Rodriguez for a team I think is better than their very tough start suggests.

Southampton have won their last two at home, Aston Villa 3-0 in the elague got them up and running, and Fulham have never won at St Marys. Less so this season, but Fulham are usually far worse away from Craven Cottage too

I have them nearer a 5/4 shot myself

Recommend £50 win at 17/10

2. Bury to beat Swindon at 3/1 Paddy Power or Bet Victor

This one will seem odd

Bury are bottom, 4 points and no wins all season

However things are changing

New manager, kevin Blackwell, and in his first game they got a great point at Stevenage (very tough place to go,play big and direct) having been 2-1 up.

Blackwell is not a fashionable name, but knows his stuff at these levels and a bit of defensive organisation goes a long way...

Got a really good kid of ours up top on loan, Tom Hopper, who scored last week and just brought in a Wolves CB matt Doherty on loan this week. Furthermore they have just brought back their striker Bishop from Wrexham, who has 65 goals for Bury and was not in the previous managers plans

Swindon lost at home to Colchester midweek, 1-0, to another team just changed manager and three days later have to make a long trip to Bury with DiCanio claiming the players "had no passion or desire" in midweek.

We have a chance here to play a mean reversion ahead of the crowd, and get a team in a very competitive division at 3-1 at home. Don't see that too often

Recommend £20 win Banzaiiiii at 3/1

Thanks again Rich.

We are on, £50 @ 17/10, Ladbrokes, Southampton to beat Fulham, I'm fairly sure (ish) this will shorten by tomorrow.

ON


Selection17/10 - Southampton

EventSouthampton v Fulham English

MarketMatch betting
 
Your bets (1)
 Single - Southampton
1 line at £50.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential Return: £135.00
Time: 06/10/12 12:39
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000151

[tikay]

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.

5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner

Afternoon to you too, David, yes, it was good to bump into you yesterday. So many friends there yesterday, it was a wonderful day. I ended up with 92,000 chippies, with blinds @ 1,200-2,400 I believe, so I have a bit of play tomorrow, & can happily sit quietly & pass for a few hours.

I must say, 16/1 seems ludicrous ANY Team for any Premiership match. 5/1 the draw looks big, too.

11/2 DNB is available, too.

Any thoughts from others on this, & if so, the best way to engage? 

Norwich have four wins and three draws at Stamford Bridge in 16 games over the last twenty-five years
Granted pre-Abramovic Chelsea were no great shakes, but it is interesting.

I often wonder at the relevance of stats like that, there seems no logic to them. It does seem to happen, though, but I'm just not sure why.

No relevance really, just thought it was interesting.

I like a bit of £5 at 16-1 and £10 at 5-1 the draw. Pretty unlikely you'd say, but not sure any team is really a 16-1 shot are they in this league?

Not disagreeing Rich, I just find those sort of stats quite perpexing, & I can't grasp why they so often recur - but they do!

We will have a look at the various Norwich wagering options before KO time, & get on, down to young David. We can mull over "how" in the next hour or so. 

[tikay]

City one up already.

I think we might see some Balotelli antics today, he looks in a mischievous mood.

[redarmi]

Big move for Sri Lanka in cricket and get feeling something is up....maybe Gayle out?

[Snowball]

Big move for Sri Lanka in cricket and get feeling something is up....maybe Gayle out?

Don't say that, im waiting on him for top scorer of the tournament.Would already be home if one of their games hadn't been rained off.

[horseplayer]

Big move for Sri Lanka in cricket and get feeling something is up....maybe Gayle out?

gayle is injured

but has played with injuries before (and played better if anything) he will play regardless

combination of this and people realising a different pitch is being used i think

[Tal]

Big move for Sri Lanka in cricket and get feeling something is up....maybe Gayle out?

Don't say that, im waiting on him for top scorer of the tournament.Would already be home if one of their games hadn't been rained off.

He had a side strain in the semi, but still managed to hit a couple more sixes.

Suspect he'll play

[horseplayer]

bet suggestion

£50 BASHLEY to beat kettering

10-11 ladbrokes

has been confirmed on twitter kettering have only had 11 players turn up at the ground so far (2 of which are goalkeepers) they had another embargo placed on them signing anybody last thursday)

price will only shorten

[redarmi]

bet suggestion

£50 BASHLEY to beat kettering

10-11 ladbrokes

has been confirmed on twitter kettering have only had 11 players turn up at the ground so far (2 of which are goalkeepers) they had another embargo placed on them signing anybody last thursday)

price will only shorten

If you can get this it is great value.

[horseplayer]

now coming from the local reporter on twitter kettering are going to start with 10 players

[AceHighSuited]

I'd like to suggest one bet and one lay for this afternoons football.  

I think Morton @ 3/1 is too big at home against Partick Thistle.  Thistle have had a very good start to the season under Jackie McNamara. but the same could be argued of Morton under Alan Moore who has loads of experience in the lower leagues in Scotland.  Thistle dropped their first point of the season against Raith last week, the week before they were reliant on an OG against Cowdenbeath to take all 3 points.  

Moreover, Morton have been without a few first team players in the last few weeks but are on a 4 game winning run and I hear they have a full squad to chose from today.  Cappielow isn't an easy place to go and get a result.  3/1 is a great price for Morton imo.  

The lay I am suggesting is more of a Banzai, but there has to be worse lays than the rangers at 1/5 they have yet to win a game away from home this season in the league and last week they struggled to beat Forres Mechanics away in the Scottish Cup.  

I would have £40 @ 3/1 on Morton.   Lay rangers for £50 risking a potential £10.  

[horseplayer]

just 4 bookies left laying bashley

i have just gone in again with ladbrokes at 5-6 who tbf have laid a fair bet

seems confirmed kettering start with 10 players

[Snowball]

just 4 bookies left laying bashley

i have just gone in again with ladbrokes at 5-6 who tbf have laid a fair bet

seems confirmed kettering start with 10 players

What League is this?

[horseplayer]

evo stick