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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16369751 times)
MajorMajor
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« Reply #18360 on: October 17, 2012, 12:19:18 PM »

There's also champions league t20 cricket. True Bish Bash Bosh stuff!

Good grief Majorx2.

Is there REALLY a team called "Delhi Daredevils"?r

 

Yes, I quite like the Sydney Sixers too!
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tikay
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« Reply #18361 on: October 17, 2012, 12:22:41 PM »

There's also champions league t20 cricket. True Bish Bash Bosh stuff!

Good grief Majorx2.

Is there REALLY a team called "Delhi Daredevils"?r

 

Yes, I quite like the Sydney Sixers too!

T20?

Farce!


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« Reply #18362 on: October 17, 2012, 02:28:53 PM »

Sheffield v Notts games have become bigger rivalries since the miners strikes in the 80's. A lot of bad blood generated there, we usually chant 'scab' at them at any opportunity and they like to wave ten pound notes at us. Not sure tonight will be too fiesty given its a low key game but i went to both play off games v Forest a few years ago and both were pretty hostile.
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« Reply #18363 on: October 17, 2012, 02:33:51 PM »

thread may need a banzai?

Pavel Wszolek first and anytime v england

33-1 with stan james

Ok

Has 8 goals in 40 polish clubs game which is ok for a midfielder, bit risky as he has only one previous polish cap but this season he has played a much more advanced role at club level and these goals and performance have got him in the team

27 on betfair 20-1 general 33-1 is to big

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tikay
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« Reply #18364 on: October 17, 2012, 03:55:51 PM »

thread may need a banzai?

Pavel Wszolek first and anytime v england

33-1 with stan james

Ok

Has 8 goals in 40 polish clubs game which is ok for a midfielder, bit risky as he has only one previous polish cap but this season he has played a much more advanced role at club level and these goals and performance have got him in the team

27 on betfair 20-1 general 33-1 is to big



We need SEVERAL Banzai's horsey.

Pavel WHO? He's a clown!

We are on, only because I can never resist FGS bets on player's who have a name beginning with Wsz. Nailed on, this.

£5 @ 33/1, Stan james, Pavel Wsz to score first.

PS - We must be mad.

ON

Poland v England : First Goal Scorer Pavel Wszolek 33/1
Total stake £5.00
Estimated return £170.00

Full stake £ 5.00
Full Estimated return £ 170.00
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« Reply #18365 on: October 17, 2012, 04:47:01 PM »

Sheffield v Notts games have become bigger rivalries since the miners strikes in the 80's. A lot of bad blood generated there, we usually chant 'scab' at them at any opportunity and they like to wave ten pound notes at us. Not sure tonight will be too fiesty given its a low key game but i went to both play off games v Forest a few years ago and both were pretty hostile.

Exactly the same with Cardiff City. My mates are huge City fans and I went with them on an away trip to Forest. Never again. Maybe 5 or 6 thousand City fans with their backs to the game, chanting "scab" at the Forest fans for the entire second half.
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« Reply #18366 on: October 17, 2012, 05:07:53 PM »


Finally, there is Greyhound Racing on SS3 from Newcastle, quite a good card. Hopefully one of our Greyhound hotties, will wise us up, & Scotty usually gives us a run down.

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/newcastle

My Sky dogs form is poor. More a case of "Oh I can watch this race on my TV at home, must bet!".

Nevertheless, had a few bets tonight - limited analysis since I am a little busy and no actual recommends but if someone wants to back any of them up we can go with them. As you may have spotted, I do like a touch of value/big priced-ness.

8:00 - T2 Drumsna Major @ 7/1 - can lead the favoured one dog and has decent Newcastle sprint times.

8:15 - T4 Bowtime Regan @ 10/1 - backing this one based on its 29Sept run where it broke and scored in 28:62, a time good enough to beat these, barring perhaps T2 which isn't guaranteed a run. Trappy but worth a pop at the prices.

8:30 - T4 Tunes Beat @ 40/1 - pfft, why not. Untried over distance but can have best early on its day of these and has improved its 480m times recently.

9:10 - T2 Welton Arthur @ 5/2 - fastest dog in the race, broke track record two weeks back and can win both ways. Good enough for me.

9:25 - T2 Jaytee Hellcat @ 3/1 - don't think T4 can lead it and should be able to make all.
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« Reply #18367 on: October 17, 2012, 05:58:13 PM »

thread may need a banzai?

Pavel Wszolek first and anytime v england

33-1 with stan james

Ok

Has 8 goals in 40 polish clubs game which is ok for a midfielder, bit risky as he has only one previous polish cap but this season he has played a much more advanced role at club level and these goals and performance have got him in the team

27 on betfair 20-1 general 33-1 is to big



We need SEVERAL Banzai's horsey.

Pavel WHO? He's a clown!

We are on, only because I can never resist FGS bets on player's who have a name beginning with Wsz. Nailed on, this.

£5 @ 33/1, Stan james, Pavel Wsz to score first.

PS - We must be mad.

ON

Poland v England : First Goal Scorer Pavel Wszolek 33/1
Total stake £5.00
Estimated return £170.00

Full stake £ 5.00
Full Estimated return £ 170.00


I blame it on  a Glik in the system  Sad
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« Reply #18368 on: October 17, 2012, 07:38:23 PM »


Finally, there is Greyhound Racing on SS3 from Newcastle, quite a good card. Hopefully one of our Greyhound hotties, will wise us up, & Scotty usually gives us a run down.

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/newcastle

My Sky dogs form is poor. More a case of "Oh I can watch this race on my TV at home, must bet!".

Nevertheless, had a few bets tonight - limited analysis since I am a little busy and no actual recommends but if someone wants to back any of them up we can go with them. As you may have spotted, I do like a touch of value/big priced-ness.

8:00 - T2 Drumsna Major @ 7/1 - can lead the favoured one dog and has decent Newcastle sprint times.

8:15 - T4 Bowtime Regan @ 10/1 - backing this one based on its 29Sept run where it broke and scored in 28:62, a time good enough to beat these, barring perhaps T2 which isn't guaranteed a run. Trappy but worth a pop at the prices.

8:30 - T4 Tunes Beat @ 40/1 - pfft, why not. Untried over distance but can have best early on its day of these and has improved its 480m times recently.

9:10 - T2 Welton Arthur @ 5/2 - fastest dog in the race, broke track record two weeks back and can win both ways. Good enough for me.

9:25 - T2 Jaytee Hellcat @ 3/1 - don't think T4 can lead it and should be able to make all.


Scotty - many thanks for these.

I've just woken up, & am a bit groggy, but I'll take a look shortly.

I've a feeling you will make a profit tonight. Good luck.
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« Reply #18369 on: October 18, 2012, 12:08:55 AM »

Where's Singhee when you need him?

I know Detroit are playing great and the Yankees ummm no so great.

But CC at -114 against Scherzer looks huge to me..
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« Reply #18370 on: October 18, 2012, 12:10:55 AM »

Apparently you can bet on the winner of this weekend's IPO in Dublin on the sponsor Boylesport's website.

http://classic.boylesports.com/betting/?gi=25&sID=1447.1

For example, George2Loose at 150/1. Each way for final 9 is 1/6 the odds.

It's a 600/1 bar and, well, apparently your Tal-iness hasn't made even that (he says, generously) shortlist. Little do they know... A quid on that and Fred is back in the black. Just sayin' like...

« Last Edit: October 18, 2012, 12:14:38 AM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #18371 on: October 18, 2012, 12:52:50 AM »

Where's Singhee when you need him?

I know Detroit are playing great and the Yankees ummm no so great.

But CC at -114 against Scherzer looks huge to me..

Just been having this conversation.  Would probably be -170/-160 at home but there seems to be an adjustment for the fact that the Yankee batters are so out of form and they have lost Jeter obviously.  Detroit have felt like the right side in this series every game but tonight the Yankees seem like they are a fair price but they are one of those teams where it feels a bit dirty to be betting them given you know punters all over America will want to be on them.
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« Reply #18372 on: October 18, 2012, 01:01:17 PM »

49ers host the Seahawks tonight

For the purposes of discussion:


the Points total quote is very low: 38

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/total-points

It is easy to see why

Both teams have very good defenses, and hit and miss offenses. In fact Seattle's is more humdrum than hit and miss

This season Seattle games have had points totals of 36,34,26,32,28,47

49ers: 58,46,37,34,47,29

the 49ers though can fire, they have scored over 27+ points in 4 of six games


I think the universal expectation that this will be a low scorer is in the price of 38

I wonder if there is any mileage in going for overs?  


Both teams will be run heavy (and defend the run well too)

49ers traditionally so with Frank Gore, and a dominating OL

Seahawks with Marshawn Lynch, are conservative with Wilson at QB and not the best set of WRs

I think first offensive play to be a run is much shorter than 10/11

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/1st-offensive-play

1st touchdown type, rush, is not odds against, in my opinion

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/1st-touchdown-type

Frank Gore averages 78 yard a game this season, and 76 over a 100 game career

http://www.nfl.com/player/frankgore/2506404/careerstats

Quoted at 65 for this

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/total-rushing-yds-frank-gore

Marshawn Lynch averages 91 yds a game rushing this year, 65 a game over a 78 game career

http://www.nfl.com/player/marshawnlynch/2495663/careerstats

Quoted at 70.5 for this

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/total-rushing-yds-marshawn-lynch

I am sure there is a portfolio of rushing bets in there somewhere. Yes, both rush defenses are good


Something like

Overs Frank Gore: 65.5 10/11 Ladbrokes

1st TD: Rush 3/2 Ladbrokes

1st Offensive Play: Rush 10/11 Stan James


I think would be attractive, though others may have better ideas or refute this

 
« Last Edit: October 18, 2012, 01:04:59 PM by TightEnd » Logged

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« Reply #18373 on: October 18, 2012, 03:04:15 PM »

Jessica Ennis

Thanks to all the athletic fans who have voted me British Olympic athlete of the year! Can't believe it, such an honour - http://bit.ly/T2J7lg


Interesting, with SPOTY in mind, that she beat Farah by 4%
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« Reply #18374 on: October 18, 2012, 03:43:22 PM »

Jessica Ennis

Thanks to all the athletic fans who have voted me British Olympic athlete of the year! Can't believe it, such an honour - http://bit.ly/T2J7lg


Interesting, with SPOTY in mind, that she beat Farah by 4%

God that's scary - just saw and was about to post some dirty EW - however after checking oddschecker win only. 5/4 top three finish doesn't really appeal....however, I I said after the highlights programme when she "closed" it with her beautiful smile, she has a lot of appeal and a very strong following. Think if the top three place nears 13/8 / 6/4 i would be playing
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