Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

under 10.5 corners 10-11 suggest £60 (newcastle sunderland game)

new last 24 aways average corners 9 with 80% under the bet marker

both sunderland games this season have come under

[horseplayer]

what do we think of method of first goal header at 9/2 (Bet Victor) (thinking out loud, not a thread recomendation)?

Demba and Shola against Cuellar and O'Shea, Fletcher at the other end..

dont really like

usually this mark is around 5-1 for most games dont see any particular reason why it should be shorter today

[tikay]

I you can still get 2-1 then get on. Sunderland midfield a defence looks weak as piss, Larson a bad widget will get destroyed by tiote and last time Shola, the Mackem slayer and demba ba played together they bullied man united.

Danny rose who is bad defensively vs one of the best players in the league Ben arfa.

Furthermore our captain is back to hopefully look after fletcher + Krul replaces
Harper.

Howay the lads.

Thanks Patrick, but we are on the Draw already, so we can't go both ways.

If you are on Newcy, good luck, but we are where we are now, our man researched back to World War 1!

[tikay]

under 10.5 corners 10-11 suggest £60 (newcastle sunderland game)

new last 24 aways average corners 9 with 80% under the bet marker

both sunderland games this season have come under

Thats a bet, thanks horsey.

I was looking at the goal & corner markets on this game this morning, but I fell asleep.

We have £55 @ 10/11, under 11 corners, S'Land v Newcastle Utd, Sporting Bet. (£55 rather than £60 becasue we like to be symmetrical @ 10/11. )

ON


Bet Type: Single
Sunderland v Newcastle United - Corners Total Corners
Under 11
10/11
Football Possible Payout 105.00 GBP
1 bet @
55.00 GBP 
Total Cost: 55.00 GBP Total Possible Payout
(inc. stake): 105.00 GBP

[Bad Beat]

 The Vikings are now -7 at 20/21 with the evil Hills organisation. I can't really see it hitting -7.5 today as it is an early game and the wagons have so many to choose from. The sharper offshore books are still -6.5 with the Vikings minus a dollar twenty so I would suggest now is the time to act.

 On that Cleveland/Indy suggestion I hate it. I think Indy got a lot of support two weeks ago and played to a new intensity because of the coaches cancer announcement. Last week they had the predictable letdown. Meanwhile the Browns had a big moral-boosting victory against the Bengals. I don't think the public have realised yet that Cleveland are just the better team here but I think the syndicates have. The very early line was -3.5 which was taken and then -3. I wish I could be on Browns +3.
 

[Bad Beat]

 On that Colts game I read somehwre that rookie qbs are 0-6 ATS this year and that the Browns have lost just two of their last 13 ATS.

[AceHighSuited]

That's a poor decision to send of Tiote there.  Ref handled that very badly if anything its a foul on Tiote for me first. 

[tikay]

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings Sunday 6pm

Both teams a surprising 4-2

Both teams have "squiggles" as much borne of years of under-performance as anything

I think its a pick-em game

However, the bookmakers disagree and have Minnesota at home 6.5 point favourites

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/arizona-cardinals-at-minnesota-vikings/point-spread

Why might Arizona be interesting?

They have a smothering defense, that has only conceded 16 points a game in the six games of this season, fourth in the league. Logically if this continues in Minneapolis then a spluttering offense only has to score 10 points to cover that spread.

They held the Patriots to 18 points, the Eagles to 6, the Bills to 19 and have only conceded 20 points in one game this season

What Arizona also have though is scoring threats from special teams, notably Patrick Peterson last years first round draft pick. They don't quite match up with the Vikings offensive threats (Peterson and Harvin) but nonetheless have one of the best receivers in Fitzgerald who has 430 receiving yards so far and 3 touchdowns

I spotted this from a Vegas account on Neil Channing's twitter (thoughts please Neil)

"In Vikings games, favorite has covered 1 of last 8. In Cardinals games, favorite has covered 1 of last 12"

This reflects that both teams have been improving and generally winning as underdogs throughout this year


Recommendation (and I am tempted to pick the Cardinals at 5/2 straight) is Cardinals +6.5 at 10/11, generally available

If we saw +7 that would be lovely (I don't think we will)

Gotcha. Thanks Rich, & Neil, too.

We waited, & it came......

We have £63 @ 20/21 with Wm Hill, Arizona Cardinals, +7.

ON




21 Oct 2012 - Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings - Match Spread

Arizona Cardinals (+7.0) @ 20/21

Stake : £63.00

[horseplayer]

6 at half time

not great

sending off not good for the bet as the sunderland wingers are now pushed right on

spread now is at about 12

prayer matt time

[redarmi]

The Vikings are now -7 at 20/21 with the evil Hills organisation. I can't really see it hitting -7.5 today as it is an early game and the wagons have so many to choose from. The sharper offshore books are still -6.5 with the Vikings minus a dollar twenty so I would suggest now is the time to act.

 On that Cleveland/Indy suggestion I hate it. I think Indy got a lot of support two weeks ago and played to a new intensity because of the coaches cancer announcement. Last week they had the predictable letdown. Meanwhile the Browns had a big moral-boosting victory against the Bengals. I don't think the public have realised yet that Cleveland are just the better team here but I think the syndicates have. The very early line was -3.5 which was taken and then -3. I wish I could be on Browns +3.
 

I think this is the important issue with the Colts and agree totally.  I could only back Cleveland here.

[Nico29]

That's a poor decision to send of Tiote there.  Ref handled that very badly if anything its a foul on Tiote for me first. 

Completely wrong, absolute nailed on red card. Could have broke guys leg, awful.

[pleno1]

Ref is a fkn joke

[Nico29]

Ref is a fkn joke

Biased much mate?

[MajorMajor]

If Fletcher's foot was planted its a leg breaking challenge. 

[horseplayer]

sunderland are all straight lines

very much a typical o neill side hard working but predictable