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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16361537 times)
tikay
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« Reply #19020 on: October 28, 2012, 01:47:19 PM »

Another one please

Huge Dallas Cowboys fan since 1982. Don't miss a game, read the forums daily, live stream press-conferences. The lot. Sadly.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-giants-at-dallas-cowboys/point-spread

There has been major injury news in the last 24 hours

When the Cowboys beat the Giants as a three point Dog in the opening game of the season, Sean Lee the leader of the defense (makes the calls, leader on the field) had 14 tackles and a forced fumble. Huge performance

Not as high profile as the loss of say Lewis to the Ravens, but he's now on Injured reserve as of today and profile apart the magnitude of the loss is similar to the Ravens loss. Virtually irreplaceable (they have done so via Ernie Sims, off the street)

In that week one game DeMarco Murray rushed for 131 yards on 22 carries. He is out Sunday too. Furthermore his back up Felix Jones is banged up and may miss the game

As for the Cowboys overall, offense has been spluttering all season, with the OL only now beginning to gel and the skill positions such as Witten, Bryant (million dollar hands, million peanut brain), Austin underperforming


The Giants are healthier, Nicks is back, Bradshaw is back.

The line has not moved for this significant injury news

NYG -1 looks max bet material to me, but I don't know what I am missing?

I am aware of Neil's thoughts on money generally coming in for the Cowboys as we near weekends. Has that held the line up?

I make the NYG a touchdown favourite in this game. NYG were -3 first game of the season since when they are 5-1, Dallas are 2-3 and the injury positions completely reversed

(History is a bit unpopular as a reason for a bet on here, but the Giants are 3-0 at the new Cowboys Stadium. big chip on the shoulder for the Giants players as our idiot owner keeps firing them up with talk, which gets them going. They play up, the Cowboys choke like a Heimlich Manoeuvre training course with alarming frequency)

What am I missing?

Thanks Rich, I'll look at that shortly.

Any input welcome.......
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« Reply #19021 on: October 28, 2012, 01:54:16 PM »

Am mobile but someone take a look please. Chargers at Cleveland points under 43.5. 90% chance of rain and 25mph northerlies forecast, ie straight down from Canada. Cleveland noit a prolific offense and both qbs will struggle. Meanwhile the nygt line has moved a point and a half to -2.5 since I posted it. A shame really, but the main opportunity has passed

Giants line is showing some signs of coming back down again and i like them too.  If we could get 4/5 straight up or -1 10/11 I would suggest a bet.  Cleveland I have a slightly different weather forecast of only 40% rain and 12-22 mph gusty winds.  It has already moved down 3 points and it isn't something I would be rushing to bet tbh.
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« Reply #19022 on: October 28, 2012, 02:04:53 PM »

Well it does look good for Freeney at the moment so shall we pull the trigger on both?

£33 on each? Both at 10/11, McCoy with VC and Indy +3.5 almost across the board.

Also to keep the fun element in the thread how about trying to hit a bit of a home run on the First TD's to get out of it on the month (not recommended as part of any completely serious betting strategy)? PP go near best price on the three I like a so maybe McCoy 6/1 Philly, James Jones 15/2 GB and Dutin Keller 10/1 NYJ. 3 x £3 Doubles and a £3 Treble?

I went for a £3 Patent. Don't tell a soul, I'll never live it down.

£3 Patent with Paddy Power, First TD, Keller @ 10/1, Jones @ 15/2, Mccoy @ 6/1.


ON


NFL Matches Miami Dolphins At New York Jets
28-10-2012 17:00
First Touchdown Scorer
Dustin Keller @ 10/1
 
NFL Matches Jacksonville Jaguars At Green Bay Packers
28-10-2012 17:00
First Touchdown Scorer
James Jones @ 15/2
 
NFL Matches Atlanta Falcons At Philadelphia Eagles
28-10-2012 17:00
First Touchdown Scorer
LeSean McCoy @ 6/1
 
Your Bets Patent
7 lines at £3.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £21.00
Potential returns: £2,733.00
No: O/23146337/0000180

 
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« Reply #19023 on: October 28, 2012, 02:09:51 PM »

Am mobile but someone take a look please. Chargers at Cleveland points under 43.5. 90% chance of rain and 25mph northerlies forecast, ie straight down from Canada. Cleveland noit a prolific offense and both qbs will struggle. Meanwhile the nygt line has moved a point and a half to -2.5 since I posted it. A shame really, but the main opportunity has passed

Giants line is showing some signs of coming back down again and i like them too.  If we could get 4/5 straight up or -1 10/11 I would suggest a bet.  Cleveland I have a slightly different weather forecast of only 40% rain and 12-22 mph gusty winds.  It has already moved down 3 points and it isn't something I would be rushing to bet tbh.

If I understand that correctly, both are available.

4/5 "straight up" is available  in 2 places.

Evens @ -1 is available with PP.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-giants-at-dallas-cowboys/winner


Which is the preferred line?

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« Reply #19024 on: October 28, 2012, 02:14:53 PM »

Evens.
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« Reply #19025 on: October 28, 2012, 02:33:19 PM »

Another one please

Huge Dallas Cowboys fan since 1982. Don't miss a game, read the forums daily, live stream press-conferences. The lot. Sadly.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-giants-at-dallas-cowboys/point-spread

There has been major injury news in the last 24 hours

When the Cowboys beat the Giants as a three point Dog in the opening game of the season, Sean Lee the leader of the defense (makes the calls, leader on the field) had 14 tackles and a forced fumble. Huge performance

Not as high profile as the loss of say Lewis to the Ravens, but he's now on Injured reserve as of today and profile apart the magnitude of the loss is similar to the Ravens loss. Virtually irreplaceable (they have done so via Ernie Sims, off the street)

In that week one game DeMarco Murray rushed for 131 yards on 22 carries. He is out Sunday too. Furthermore his back up Felix Jones is banged up and may miss the game

As for the Cowboys overall, offense has been spluttering all season, with the OL only now beginning to gel and the skill positions such as Witten, Bryant (million dollar hands, million peanut brain), Austin underperforming


The Giants are healthier, Nicks is back, Bradshaw is back.

The line has not moved for this significant injury news

NYG -1 looks max bet material to me, but I don't know what I am missing?

I am aware of Neil's thoughts on money generally coming in for the Cowboys as we near weekends. Has that held the line up?

I make the NYG a touchdown favourite in this game. NYG were -3 first game of the season since when they are 5-1, Dallas are 2-3 and the injury positions completely reversed

(History is a bit unpopular as a reason for a bet on here, but the Giants are 3-0 at the new Cowboys Stadium. big chip on the shoulder for the Giants players as our idiot owner keeps firing them up with talk, which gets them going. They play up, the Cowboys choke like a Heimlich Manoeuvre training course with alarming frequency)

What am I missing?

Yikes. We might sail past the -£,1000 mark without even stopping for breath today......

Can't quite steel myself for a Max, given current form, but we have £100 with Paddy Power @ Evens, New York Giants, -1.

ON

NFL Matches New York Giants At Dallas Cowboys
28-10-2012 20:25
Handicap
New York Giants (-1.0) @ evens
 
Your Bets Win
Single: New York Giants (-1.0) @ evens
1 line at £100.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £100.00
Potential returns: £200.00
No: O/23146337/0000181

 
Total stake: £100.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £100.00
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« Reply #19026 on: October 28, 2012, 03:09:37 PM »

Weather so bad in ny, subway being closed 7pm local. Jets at home. Rain and high wind currently Philly and Cleveland, all from on the spot NFL reporters.
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« Reply #19027 on: October 28, 2012, 03:19:53 PM »

Is this good for the bets, or bad?
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« Reply #19028 on: October 28, 2012, 03:29:19 PM »

Weather so bad in ny, subway being closed 7pm local.

Other sandwich restaurants are available
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« Reply #19029 on: October 28, 2012, 03:35:45 PM »

Is this good for the bets, or bad?

For which bets?
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« Reply #19030 on: October 28, 2012, 03:39:16 PM »

Spurs score their first ever goal at St Mary's, after almost 8 hours of trying.
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« Reply #19031 on: October 28, 2012, 03:39:20 PM »

Ggood for the McCoy bet. Run not pass. Giants bet unaffected as it is in dallas
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« Reply #19032 on: October 28, 2012, 03:46:51 PM »

Fred having anything for the London game?

Am looking at a winning margin bet, as I have the Pats as being in decent form and having played in London before.

http://oddschecker.mobi/american-football/nfl#_american-football-nfl-st-louis-rams-at-new-england-patriots-winning-margin

Any thoughts?
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« Reply #19033 on: October 28, 2012, 03:50:15 PM »

Have the London game as v tight. Rams will keep it close IMO
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« Reply #19034 on: October 28, 2012, 04:01:25 PM »

Have the London game as v tight. Rams will keep it close IMO

If the rams can run through the OL, there's been a lot of space in the backfield this season.

I'm expecting points, tbh.
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