Tips for Tikay

[hector62]

I visited the book depository place a few years ago. Such a weird experience, everyone walking slowly round it in complete silence. Like being in a vaccuum. Still no idea if he did it though.

[superwomble]

By the way, you missed a loser on Saturday, as Gillingscum edged out Wimbledon 1-0, in a game we were unlucky not to draw. Mr. Kedwell played but did not score; he has now drawn a blank 3 times out of 3 against us since leaving us.

[TightEnd]

That stadium is a double edged sword

So impressive and so OTT that opposing teams can't help but perform in it

Since it opened Dallas are only 14-13 win/loss in it, so (on the evidence of four years play) there's really no home advantage conferred for having it (and we lose a lot of games we should win)

Not at all jealous of bobby1 going there, or his road trip. Not at all.

[TightEnd]

I can't find a bet on Monday Night Football tonight. that'll save you reading on!

San Francisco go to Arizona

Opening Point Spread:  San Francisco -6.5, Current: San Francisco -7
Opening Total:  37 Current Total:  38.5

49ers come off a bye and before that a 13-6 win over the Seattle Seahawks as 7.5-point home favorites, where we won on Gore rushing yards

San Francisco has outscored opponents by a 165-100 margin this season, which was the fourth-best scoring differential in the league entering this week’s action.  Offensively, the team has relied heavily on its ground game ranking first in the league in rushing for an average of 5.9 yards per carry.

Arizona has lost three games in a row, with under the spread coming in in all three

We pushed on Arizona in their last game a 21-14 setback to the Minnesota Vikings

The Cardinals offense has struggled to move the ball due to playing a rookie at right tackle, which has led to scoring just 33 combined points in their last three games.  Arizona is 2-0 against the spread as a home underdog this year, with both going Under the total.

The Cardinals are averaging just 89.3 rushing yards per game, which is nowhere near the 176.6 yards per game their opponent is managing to put up. 

Quarterback John Skelton threw for 262 yards last week, but was sacked seven times due to the struggling offensive line.

Desperately want to be contrarian, and go for overs and the Cardinals +7, but its difficult to do that with the Cardinals Offensive Line and Skelton coming up against a fierce pass rush/top three NFL defense.

In terms of the point spread, its hard to see Overs with San Fran only conceding 14 a game, but 38 is a really low quote


I looked at player indices, but Frank Gore is priced 20 yeards higher than a fortnight ago, and the Cards are strong up front on defense

I don't like the 49er wide receivers with Alex Smith at QB, so looked at Vernon Davis (Class Tight End, great hands) totals, however he is priced at 48 yards and has only beat that in one of seven games this year, and that is generally against worse defenses than tonight.

There could be an interesting bet on method of first score, Field Goal at 11/10, which is probably an odds on shot given the defense superiority to both offenses. The two teams have played 14 games this year field goals have kicked off the scoring in 9 of the 14 games

that's about it though

very interested to know if BadBeat and the NFL shrewdies on the thread can find it in themselves to go Arizona and/or overs.

[TightEnd]

Psephology and Meterology corner

http://blogs.channel4.com/snowblog/hurricane-sandy-rudely-interrupts-american-politics/18927

No idea what no campaigning by either at this stage means to the US polls

I assume it prevents the Republicans spending money, and therefore reinforces Obama's lead?

[tikay]

I can't find a bet on Monday Night Football tonight. that'll save you reading on!

San Francisco go to Arizona

Opening Point Spread:  San Francisco -6.5, Current: San Francisco -7
Opening Total:  37 Current Total:  38.5

49ers come off a bye and before that a 13-6 win over the Seattle Seahawks as 7.5-point home favorites, where we won on Gore rushing yards

San Francisco has outscored opponents by a 165-100 margin this season, which was the fourth-best scoring differential in the league entering this week’s action.  Offensively, the team has relied heavily on its ground game ranking first in the league in rushing for an average of 5.9 yards per carry.

Arizona has lost three games in a row, with under the spread coming in in all three

We pushed on Arizona in their last game a 21-14 setback to the Minnesota Vikings

The Cardinals offense has struggled to move the ball due to playing a rookie at right tackle, which has led to scoring just 33 combined points in their last three games.  Arizona is 2-0 against the spread as a home underdog this year, with both going Under the total.

The Cardinals are averaging just 89.3 rushing yards per game, which is nowhere near the 176.6 yards per game their opponent is managing to put up. 

Quarterback John Skelton threw for 262 yards last week, but was sacked seven times due to the struggling offensive line.

Desperately want to be contrarian, and go for overs and the Cardinals +7, but its difficult to do that with the Cardinals Offensive Line and Skelton coming up against a fierce pass rush/top three NFL defense.

In terms of the point spread, its hard to see Overs with San Fran only conceding 14 a game, but 38 is a really low quote


I looked at player indices, but Frank Gore is priced 20 yeards higher than a fortnight ago, and the Cards are strong up front on defense

I don't like the 49er wide receivers with Alex Smith at QB, so looked at Vernon Davis (Class Tight End, great hands) totals, however he is priced at 48 yards and has only beat that in one of seven games this year, and that is generally against worse defenses than tonight. There could be an interesting bet on method of first score, Field Goal at 11/10, which is probably an odds on shot given the defense superiority to both offenses. The two teams have played 14 games this year field goals have kicked off the scoring in 9 of the 14 games

that's about it though

very interested to know if BadBeat and the NFL shrewdies on the thread can find it in themselves to go Arizona and/or overs.

So why should we not bet UNDER 48 yards?

PS - Thanks Rich. When you said "Monday Night Football", I asumed you were rreferring to Sheffield Weds v Portsmouth......any thoughts on that?

PPS - Just remembered that India - England cricket special. Best go remind myself, & get loaded up.

[TightEnd]

Vernon Davis unders? I just think the quote is too good. Won't be much under



Sheff Wed v Portsmouth?

Sheff U v Portsmouth

As explained a week or so ago when I showed the stats, Unders for Sheff U themselves are generally right, though I am not really up to speed on Pompey at the moment

Someone else can have a view.....

[TightEnd]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_president

[tikay]

Vernon Davis unders? I just think the quote is too good. Won't be much under



Sheff Wed v Portsmouth?

Sheff U v Portsmouth

As explained a week or so ago when I showed the stats, Unders for Sheff U themselves are generally right, though I am not really up to speed on Pompey at the moment

Someone else can have a view.....

OK, but when ytou said he had only beat that line once in 7 attempts, I assumed unders were the way. Ignore me!

And yes, I guess I meant the other Sheffield lot. Same thing.

[TheChipPrince]

I know Sheff Utd are a very solid side, hard to beat, but they don't anyone near Evans' class of last year.

I would play Pompey if they reach 9/2, Allan from WBA is another good addition today.

[TightEnd]

correction 2 over, 4 under, 1 at the line

low of 0 high of 106

http://www.nfl.com/player/vernondavis/2495826/gamelogs

23 receptions in 7 games, average reception 14.8 yards

So 3.28 x 14.8 = 48.6 yards a game

the quote?

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/san-francisco-49ers-at-arizona-cardinals/total-receiving-yds-vernon-davis


I suppose that's why the quote is what it is....

[TightEnd]

I know Sheff Utd are a very solid side, hard to beat, but they don't anyone near Evans' class of last year.

I would play Pompey if they reach 9/2, Allan from WBA is another good addition today.

generally short of firepower and goalscorers yes?

which is why they rarely score 2 a game...and a lot finish 1-0,1-1 as the Maguire led defensive is solid

[TheChipPrince]

I know Sheff Utd are a very solid side, hard to beat, but they don't anyone near Evans' class of last year.

I would play Pompey if they reach 9/2, Allan from WBA is another good addition today.

generally short of firepower and goalscorers yes?

which is why they rarely score 2 a game...and a lot finish 1-0,1-1 as the Maguire led defensive is solid

Short yes.

Strikers like Cresswell/Kitson/Porter will all score a few and put a shift in, only player who could get 12+ is Blackman (with pens).  Miller from Crewe no League impact yet.

They will lose few, but draw a high %.  W23 D17 L6 would be my guess.

Flynn is a player I like for them.

Don't seem to be missing Lowton either, and doing better than I expected.  

Fair play to them for recovering from Evans stuff and p/o loss

[TightEnd]

thanks

I might have a small go at the draw at 11/4, tonight

[horseplayer]

Bet Suggestion

Mauro Boselli 9-2 eway bet365 firstscorer unlimited eway places

So far this season he's started both Cup games, scoring twice at West Ham last time and one against forest in the previous round.

He scored three for the reserves last week and seems pretty determined to try and become a regular again.

The quotes from martinez suggest he will certainly start again, bradford have let 3 or more in away at least 3 times this season and wont find it any easier to defend against wigan whose almost reserve side looks a lot stronger this season ( i was very impressed against  a good forest side were they bossed the game)

suggest whatever they will lay you eway