Tips for Tikay

[jakally]

hector!

Charles Kent, Rosslyn Park. Now that was a team

Andy Ripley, Bob Mordell, John Scott, Phil Keith Roach, Peter Warfield etc etc

(I grew up watching that team, and then played U21 county Rugby, a bit for Quins and Park before Injury did for me)

(I was not a scrum half)

I thought that you were announcing that Hector is 'Charles Kent'. Guessing now that you were not.

[TightEnd]

Dallas Cowboys against Atlanta Falcons

NFL late game


The Dallas Cowboys are mentally weak. They lose games they should win, choke regularly and make mistakes

It breaks my heart, on a weekly basis

This mistakes manifest themselves as turnovers. Throws are intercepted, rushes are fumbled

Last week, tikay watched the Cowboys commit six turnovers against the Giants (four interceptions, two fumbles)

Romo has thrown 13 interceptions in 7 games

This year they have committed 11 more turnovers than they have forced the opposition to make

the Cowboys play the Atlanta Falcons.

Along with being undefeated the Falcons have also been one of the best teams in terms of turnovers ratio. (Dallas -11, Atlanta +10)

In an earlier game this season on Monday Night Football against the Denver Broncos, the Falcons defense intercepted Peyton Manning three times in the first half.


What is worse for the Cowboys is their best running back Murray is out again and a half fit Felix Jones plays.

Jones is a turnover machine. Unreliable, and a coach killer. He has fumbled 12 times in a four year career

If he is not trusted to run it much, the Cowboys throw.

They throw to Dez Bryant a receiver who wouldn't know how to run the right route if it was painted in red on the field in front of him. Daft sod, great talent but another coach killer


So we have a posibility that the Cowboys will once again beat themselves

Its nice of William Hill to offer 13/2 over 3 Dallas turnovers. 13/2? Over 3 is not 13/2!!

Yes please, £20 please thread

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/dallas-cowboys-at-atlanta-falcons/total-dallas-cowboys-turnovers

[tikay]

Dallas Cowboys against Atlanta Falcons

NFL late game


The Dallas Cowboys are mentally weak. They lose games they should win, choke regularly and make mistakes

It breaks my heart, on a weekly basis

This mistakes manifest themselves as turnovers. Throws are intercepted, rushes are fumbled

Last week, tikay watched the Cowboys commit six turnovers against the Giants (four interceptions, two fumbles)

Romo has thrown 13 interceptions in 7 games

This year they have committed 11 more turnovers than they have forced the opposition to make

the Cowboys play the Atlanta Falcons.

Along with being undefeated the Falcons have also been one of the best teams in terms of turnovers ratio. (Dallas -11, Atlanta +10)

In an earlier game this season on Monday Night Football against the Denver Broncos, the Falcons defense intercepted Peyton Manning three times in the first half.


What is worse for the Cowboys is their best running back Murray is out again and a half fit Felix Jones plays.

Jones is a turnover machine. Unreliable, and a coach killer. He has fumbled 12 times in a four year career

If he is not trusted to run it much, the Cowboys throw.

They throw to Dez Bryant a receiver who wouldn't know how to run the right route if it was painted in red on the field in front of him. Daft sod, great talent but another coach killer


So we have a posibility that the Cowboys will once again beat themselves

Its nice of William Hill to offer 13/2 over 3 Dallas turnovers. 13/2? Over 3 is not 13/2!!

Yes please, £20 please thread

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/dallas-cowboys-at-atlanta-falcons/total-dallas-cowboys-turnovers

Brilliant. I think......That LOOKS like value to me, & we are on a roll 

We have that, Rich, £20 @ 13/2, Wm Hill, 4 or more Dallas turnovers.

ON

05 Nov 2012 - Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons - Total Away Turnovers

4 or more @ 13/2

Stake : £20.00


Estimated Returns : £150.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000153/F

[TightEnd]

Finn is injured and Meaker has been called up for cover

Now Broad faces a scan on his heel


I don't think this is terminal for England's prospects, the battle between the Indian Spinners and the England top six decides the series, but it isn't good news


Ian Bell's wife is still pregnant

[Tal]

Finn is injured and Meaker has been called up for cover

Now Broad faces a scan on his heel


I don't think this is terminal for England's prospects, the battle between the Indian Spinners and the England top six decides the series, but it isn't good news


Ian Bell's wife is still pregnant

Finn offers steepling bounce, as well as his other attributes. On flat, 4th inning pitches, we need someone to do more than keep it tidy and I worry about England without a big guy.

[Tal]

Some old school F1 going on in Abu Dhabi. Plenty of crashes, the championship leader 21seconds behind the race leader but having already pitted. Can he make his tyres last 40 laps?

Hamilton leading well but gets a transmission failure and is out. Raikonnen now could actually get the win everyone has been predicting all season.

Webber is trying brute force today as a tactic. Brilliant fun.

[horseplayer]

hughes out a cert surely if they dont claw this back?

[Tal]

Given that 'Arry didn't get on with Taraabt at spurs, it would be interesting to see what happened if he did take over.

[Tal]

Somehow possible that Vettel could win this Grand Prix, having started from the pits and having ruined his front wing twice.

[class]

The EW part of the Tony Watt FGS bet gets home.

[horseplayer]

evidence so far is that reading are a team were as qpr are not

[TightEnd]

they have tried to stick by him, but if they lose Hughes is a goner right? Redknapp waiting in the wings....

[horseplayer]

this game making a complete mockery of the sky pundits and most others who cant have "zonal marking"

qpr are using man to man and are awful

doesnt matter which you use you need desire to head a ball

[horseplayer]

wonder if hughes might do a bit better if he concentrated on his own side rather than berating the ref and the opposition all game?

[doubleup]

Can someone explain the price on Liverpool this weekend to me because I don't understand it.  I have looked at it again and again and I cannot comprehend it.

The other week I was mistaken in my belief that Liverpool had improved.  They now appear to be as bad as they were before.  I have laid at 1.59. 

Bump for tikay.  There was lots of agreement on laying Liverpool before this post

I also quoted this article.
http://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/article/165/8217270/newcastle-value-in-anfield-battle

Came across a Sklansky post about this kind of situation (the rest of the thread is useless so don't bother reading)


Its about the theories of Burton Fabricand and my precept that I called the Fundamental Theory of Investing. FTOI sates that if you can't explain why people are taking the other side of a bet you like, don't bet. Fabricand essentially says that if the odds you can get on something are clearly worse than what it appears you should be able to get, you should actually bet the other side, if the vig is small.


http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showpost.php?p=35353696&postcount=1

So what he is saying is that if odds are a lot bigger than they "should" be and you can't explain why, you not only shouldn't bet, but should probably bet the other side.