Tips for Tikay

[Nico29]

Talking of Scottish Cup. I mentioned to Tij=kay yesterday that Celtic were 4/5 -2 at Home to Arbroath, quite simply that's too big.

Where is this price available mate?

Best price now 3/4 with Sporting Bet.

Guess 1.75 isn't a huge diff from 4-5, but not liking missing the price i'm gonna plump for the -3@7/5 with paddys which is ool.

Roll on 3-0 Celtic!

Def think the -2@4-5/3-4 is way too big, the 8/13 and as short as 1/2 offered by other firms seems more the right price range.

[kukushkin88]

I believe there might be a mistake in one of the Rugby Union sub markets

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/autumn-internationals/england-v-new-zealand/highest-scoring-half

England do not have the creativity to score many tries, and won't do today, but they can defend

In the first half Dan Carter will be popping penalities over, and Owen Farrell will be doing the same. from lesser opportunities  I would think you could see 30 points in the first half eg 21-9, 18-12 type scores

Whereas in a lot of RU Internationals defences tire in second halves this is not actually the case for England, who are marshalled well and very very fit. They tend not to crumble, and tend to hang on. Both the games against Australia and South Africa did not see a late capitualtion due to defensive patterns falling apart, as might have been the case prior to professional rugby

NZ's modus operandi is to start fast, win a lot of turnover ball and attack. Carter is back in for Cruden at fly half and this releases the back line far quicker (personally my first tryscorer bets are both wings, Savea and Corey Jane)

Conditions are reasonable for running rugby, and NZ will want to put it to bed early.

If NZ take a lead of more than 10 points, England will begin eschewing kicks at goal for kicking for corners and trying to score tries, which they struggle with as they have the creativity of me in O Level Art. The trend to go for tries will not occur until the second half. After last weekend Robshaw will not be ordering Farrell to kick it with a couple of minutes to go and more than a penalty down...

In the two comparable recent games Northern Hemisphere v New Zealand on this tour, against Scotland 51 points were scored in the first half, and 22 in the second, NZ four tries in the first half, two in the second

Last weekend against Wales 23 in the first half, 20 in the second, NZ two tries first half, one second

Recommend £40 1st Half to be the higher scoring half 5/4 Ladbrokes England v NZ this afternoon

This is very soundly reasoned and a good bet imo. I think it´s at worst even, it seems like they´ve based the price on interntaional games in general and taken no real account of the characteristics of these teams.

[tikay]

I believe there might be a mistake in one of the Rugby Union sub markets

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/autumn-internationals/england-v-new-zealand/highest-scoring-half

England do not have the creativity to score many tries, and won't do today, but they can defend

In the first half Dan Carter will be popping penalities over, and Owen Farrell will be doing the same. from lesser opportunities  I would think you could see 30 points in the first half eg 21-9, 18-12 type scores

Whereas in a lot of RU Internationals defences tire in second halves this is not actually the case for England, who are marshalled well and very very fit. They tend not to crumble, and tend to hang on. Both the games against Australia and South Africa did not see a late capitualtion due to defensive patterns falling apart, as might have been the case prior to professional rugby

NZ's modus operandi is to start fast, win a lot of turnover ball and attack. Carter is back in for Cruden at fly half and this releases the back line far quicker (personally my first tryscorer bets are both wings, Savea and Corey Jane)

Conditions are reasonable for running rugby, and NZ will want to put it to bed early.

If NZ take a lead of more than 10 points, England will begin eschewing kicks at goal for kicking for corners and trying to score tries, which they struggle with as they have the creativity of me in O Level Art. The trend to go for tries will not occur until the second half. After last weekend Robshaw will not be ordering Farrell to kick it with a couple of minutes to go and more than a penalty down...

In the two comparable recent games Northern Hemisphere v New Zealand on this tour, against Scotland 51 points were scored in the first half, and 22 in the second, NZ four tries in the first half, two in the second

Last weekend against Wales 23 in the first half, 20 in the second, NZ two tries first half, one second

Recommend £40 1st Half to be the higher scoring half 5/4 Ladbrokes England v NZ this afternoon

I don't understand RU to your level Rich, but that looks a terrific piece of research & logic, & it has to be bet. Thanks.

We have £40 @ 5/4 with Ladbrokes, England v New Zealand, Highest Scoring Half - FIRST HALF.

ON

Selection5/4 - 1st Half

EventEngland v New Zealand International Matches

MarketHighest scoring half
 
Your bets (1)
 Single - 1st Half
1 line at £40.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £40.00
Potential Return: £90.00
Time: 01/12/12 13:33
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000208

[tikay]

Talking of Scottish Cup. I mentioned to Tij=kay yesterday that Celtic were 4/5 -2 at Home to Arbroath, quite simply that's too big.

Thanks Snowy, that looks a good find..

Missed a bit of price, but we have £40 @ 3/4, Celtic -2, with Sporting Bet.

ON

Bet Type: Single
Celtic v Arbroath Goal Handicap
Celtic(-2)
3/4
Football Possible Payout 70.00 GBP
1 bet @
40.00 GBP 
Total Cost: 40.00 GBP Total Possible Payout
(inc. stake): 70.00 GBP

[Tal]

England will have to play better at the breakdown than we have seen them since Hill and Back were marshalling to be competitive today vs the best player I've ever seen in Mr McCaw.

My concern for your bet would be England's discipline. Cumulative yellows for repeat offences might lead to the game opening up in the second half.

Having said that, I can't and won't dispute the reasoning.

[tikay]

hi mate,

Banzai for you, but you have to promise not to call them debacles or miss fires if they don't win. The next time you beat an NBA line by that far can you put me on too. They were really good bets and good work by the guys to find them.

Lewis averaged in the 80's, was there for the taking but our guy played just as bad. His body language was awful and the fact they would probably have been rolling about in the car park if they had been playing in the pub showed how stressed he was. Debacle hummph.

Scottish Cup today and I fancy taking a shot at some big prices in a couple of the matches, I'm super busy so will have to be brief. There is a chance of some miss matches today so I've backed the following, I will leave you to choose the stakes if you bet em.

Dundee Utd at Stranraer

Singles on Dundee Utd to win

6-0 40/1
7-0 100/1
8-0 225/1
9-0 425/1
10-0 500/1

Morton at Turriff

Singles on Morton to win

6-0 40/1
7-0 100/1
8-0 200/1
9-0 425/1
10-0 500/1

I'm guessing your first thought is wtf but there are big wins every year in some Scots cup games, these might not be added to the list but at these prices it's worth taking a shot.

Imagine how sick you would be if you were on those scores at similar prices in games like this one last season.

http://www.acadvertiser.co.uk/coatbridge-airdrie-sport/lanarkshire-football/airdrie-utd-fc/2011/11/23/airdrie-united-beat-gala-fairydean-11-0-65864-29821874/

 

Thanks Phil.

At around 5pm today, we are either gonna look complete idiots, or very very shrewd......

ALL those bets are on, £5 each, but I don't have time to C & P all the Bet Slips. Mere is gonna love me, about an hours work on the Spready today!


ON

£5 each as follows......


Singles on Dundee Utd to win

6-0 40/1 (Ladbrokes)
7-0 100/1 (Ladbrokes)
8-0 225/1 (Ladbrokes)
9-0 375/1 (Paddy Power, but the 425/1 had gone)
10-0 500/1 (Paddy Power)

Morton at Turriff

Singles on Morton to win

6-0 35/1 (Paddy Power, the 40/1 had gone)
7-0 100/1 (Paddy Power)
8-0 225/1 (Paddy Power)
9-0 500/1 (Paddy Power, this had drifted from 425/1, lol)
10-0 500/1 (Paddy Power)

[Tal]

Fast forward to 4.45 and it's 10-0. The fourth official tells the crowd there will be seven added minutes.

In what size font should you be writing HOLD! ?

[tikay]

Fast forward to 4.45 and it's 10-0. The fourth official tells the crowd there will be seven added minutes.

In what size font should you be writing HOLD! ?

The mind truly boggles. Imagine if it ended 10-1?!

[tikay]

West Ham Chelsea now 1-1.


Carlton Cole = Goalscoring Ledge.

[Tal]

You know Carlton Cole? You know, Carlton...Cole?

He just scored.

Any minute now there will be a break in the space-time continuum and Boadicea will ride through Upton Park on a blue whale.

[bobby1]

Both of these were on the same day last season Tal.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/15705066

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/15705061

Imagine being on up to 10-0 there and after spending most of the day hoping for loads of goals you are then praying they didn't score any more coz it was going to be 11-0 instead. Then waiting 40 mins for a goal in the other game and getting a last minute winner to hit the 6-0.

Lets hope we at least get a sweat today

[tikay]

You know Carlton Cole? You know, Carlton...Cole?

He just scored.

Any minute now there will be a break in the space-time continuum and Boadicea will ride through Upton Park on a blue whale.

Pretty sure Camel said Cole would score. He is a big fan of Carlton.

PS - to be fair, it was a blatant foul!

[Snowball]

Stronger Celtic side than I expected.

Celtic Football Club‏@celticfc

#Celtic: Zaluska; Matthews, Rogne, Ambrose, Chalmers; McGeouch, Brown, Wanyama, Ibrahim; Watt, Miku (LB


Watt and Miku will be the strikers with Ibrahim playing behind them, 7/2 for both Strikers and 12/1 Ibrahim for any ew backers.

[Tal]

Both of these were on the same day last season Tal.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/15705066

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/15705061

Imagine being on up to 10-0 there and after spending most of the day hoping for loads of goals you are then praying they didn't score any more coz it was going to be 11-0 instead. Then waiting 40 mins for a goal in the other game and getting a last minute winner to hit the 6-0.

Lets hope we at least get a sweat today

Blimey! Yes that would be fun. 8 in 80 mins would do.

As a side point, a friend of mine had a lucky 15 yesterday with one of the firms that has a 4x the odds if only one wins deal. First one came in at 33-1. When the next two only came second, he was on a horse in the last that had shortened to 11/8, which he was now funking against!

It won of course!

[tikay]

West Ham lead Chelsea 2-1.