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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16521191 times)
TL900
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« Reply #23595 on: December 17, 2012, 01:00:06 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-clippers-at-detroit-pistons/point-spread

Clippers travel to Detroit in amazing form winning their last 9 games. CP3 is working this finely tuned outfit to a tee and brushing team after team aside. On average they score 8.4points more than they concede.

Detroit have lost their last 4 although they have a 5-7 home record this year, Clippers have too much in the locker for them.

Thoughts on this game Jaffa/anyone?

I see clippers being 9-10 favourites here on the road. We can get evens @ -6.5 with Coral which is an extra little bit of value. Im in for 3 units.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors-at-cleveland-cavaliers/point-spread

For tomorrow:

Cavaliers have been playing pretty well recently since Kyries return, the kid is absolutely on fire and undefendable at the minute. I think short term form has effected this line because I think its way off. Cavs have lost their last 3 but have been impressive in doing so (almost pulled off a shock win last time out in NYK) and Raptors have won their last 2 however Calderon had to have a Triple Double last game just to barely beat the Rockets at home who are awful on the road. Also, Raptors are alot better at home than away where they have a 1-14 record so far this season.

They also have a very thin squad at the minute with two of their best players (Bargnani and Fields) out for the game. This means their starting line up is worse but more importantly their bench is very weak.

I think Cavs are alot better than the Raptors and they say home court is worth 3 points so they are basically saying Cavs are 1 point better than the Raptors which is wrong imo. (also its probably worth more vs someone with such a bad road record like the Raptors)

Im in for the max 5 units on Cavaliers -4 with Bwin. 100% a Fred bet imo

GL

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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
tikay
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« Reply #23596 on: December 17, 2012, 01:18:15 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-clippers-at-detroit-pistons/point-spread

Clippers travel to Detroit in amazing form winning their last 9 games. CP3 is working this finely tuned outfit to a tee and brushing team after team aside. On average they score 8.4points more than they concede.

Detroit have lost their last 4 although they have a 5-7 home record this year, Clippers have too much in the locker for them.

Thoughts on this game Jaffa/anyone?

I see clippers being 9-10 favourites here on the road. We can get evens @ -6.5 with Coral which is an extra little bit of value. Im in for 3 units.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors-at-cleveland-cavaliers/point-spread

For tomorrow:

Cavaliers have been playing pretty well recently since Kyries return, the kid is absolutely on fire and undefendable at the minute. I think short term form has effected this line because I think its way off. Cavs have lost their last 3 but have been impressive in doing so (almost pulled off a shock win last time out in NYK) and Raptors have won their last 2 however Calderon had to have a Triple Double last game just to barely beat the Rockets at home who are awful on the road. Also, Raptors are alot better at home than away where they have a 1-14 record so far this season.

They also have a very thin squad at the minute with two of their best players (Bargnani and Fields) out for the game. This means their starting line up is worse but more importantly their bench is very weak.

I think Cavs are alot better than the Raptors and they say home court is worth 3 points so they are basically saying Cavs are 1 point better than the Raptors which is wrong imo. (also its probably worth more vs someone with such a bad road record like the Raptors)

Im in for the max 5 units on Cavaliers -4 with Bwin. 100% a Fred bet imo

GL



Thanks Tom.

I'll do these one at a time.

Clippers @ Pistons. Yes, Corals are a bit ool, & we have had £30. For now, to gauge bet confidence, I will assume one of your Units is £10 for Fred.

£30 @ Evens, Corals, L. A. Clippers (-6.5) over Detroit Pistons.

ON

Cannot C & P Betslip at present, Corals site is playing up. Will C & P it when normality returns.
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« Reply #23597 on: December 17, 2012, 01:22:46 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-clippers-at-detroit-pistons/point-spread

Clippers travel to Detroit in amazing form winning their last 9 games. CP3 is working this finely tuned outfit to a tee and brushing team after team aside. On average they score 8.4points more than they concede.

Detroit have lost their last 4 although they have a 5-7 home record this year, Clippers have too much in the locker for them.

Thoughts on this game Jaffa/anyone?

I see clippers being 9-10 favourites here on the road. We can get evens @ -6.5 with Coral which is an extra little bit of value. Im in for 3 units.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors-at-cleveland-cavaliers/point-spread

For tomorrow:

Cavaliers have been playing pretty well recently since Kyries return, the kid is absolutely on fire and undefendable at the minute. I think short term form has effected this line because I think its way off. Cavs have lost their last 3 but have been impressive in doing so (almost pulled off a shock win last time out in NYK) and Raptors have won their last 2 however Calderon had to have a Triple Double last game just to barely beat the Rockets at home who are awful on the road. Also, Raptors are alot better at home than away where they have a 1-14 record so far this season.

They also have a very thin squad at the minute with two of their best players (Bargnani and Fields) out for the game. This means their starting line up is worse but more importantly their bench is very weak.

I think Cavs are alot better than the Raptors and they say home court is worth 3 points so they are basically saying Cavs are 1 point better than the Raptors which is wrong imo. (also its probably worth more vs someone with such a bad road record like the Raptors)

Im in for the max 5 units on Cavaliers -4 with Bwin. 100% a Fred bet imo

GL



The Cavaliers/Raptors bet.

I'm not having a good day here. Only BWin give that quote (or any quote), but their Site is currently down, whilst they introduce "new & enhanced featutres", & they suggest they will be back Online soon.

I'll check again in an hour or so.

If the line holds, we will invest £55, (five units plus a bit....) rather than £50, for the sake of nice round settlement numbers.



https://www.bwin.com/default.htm#en
 
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« Reply #23598 on: December 17, 2012, 01:26:31 PM »

I literally just tried to get onto Bwin too lol, fail. Oh well, line shouldn't move if no-one can bet on it anyway so should be fine. yea £55 is what I'm gona be in for too. 1 unit for me = £11 so I don't end up with loads of pennies floating about Cheesy

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@MtSpewmore
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #23599 on: December 17, 2012, 01:52:55 PM »

Question for NFL bettors please

MNF is a must win game for the Jets. I can't normally countenance backing the Jets with their QB situation, lack of skill position talent etc 29th ranked on offense, but a very serviceable 8th ranked defense keeps them in contention some games

But as a 1.5 pt dog at the Titans, can we consider them tonight?
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« Reply #23600 on: December 17, 2012, 02:01:45 PM »



Tighty  Do you know what kind of team Brentford will be playing tomorrow in the FA cup?

Bradford had said in the papers that they don't really care about the game now

Phil Parkinson may dip into City’s youth ranks to face Brentford tomorrow after calling the FA Cup replay “a game we don’t need”.
The Bantams chief intends to rest as many of his regulars as possible ahead of the demanding League Two schedule over Christmas.
Saturday’s 2-2 draw at Southend has left them in fifth.
Parkinson has been given the green light by the board to make mass changes for the trip to Griffin Park after stressing that the promotion bid must not be affected.


this is going to be bradfords 33 game so far this season more then any other club in the uk the player are in need of a rest

Brentford have lost 1 in the last 12 games and are looking good


so is 4/6 for a brentford win to good to good to say no to?
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« Reply #23601 on: December 17, 2012, 02:02:47 PM »

I haven't looked at Brentford tbh

Interesting info on Bradford though!
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« Reply #23602 on: December 17, 2012, 02:05:12 PM »

I haven't looked at Brentford tbh

Interesting info on Bradford though!

http://www.thetelegraphandargus.co.uk/sport/10111422.Bradford_City_boss_Parkinson_to_give_youth_a_chance_in_FA_Cup_replay/
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« Reply #23603 on: December 17, 2012, 03:23:20 PM »

Murray no bigger than 3-1 for SPOTY now everywhere bar Sportingbet. Obv someone felt they were able to price up this event and have forced him from 4-1 into 3 with Willy Hilly.

REC £100 @ 4-1 with Sportingbet. He won't be bigger than 5-2 anywhere by the end of the week. Trust me!
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« Reply #23604 on: December 17, 2012, 03:38:44 PM »

Chelsea get back infrom Japan today.

On Wednesday striaght up to Elland Road, with an opposition up for it

Leeds been performing much better now the £ situation is being resolved

Chelsea not the strongest squad rotation in the world, particularly up top where Torres and Sturridge apart they don't have the bodies...


Can we see a case to backing Leeds at 7/2 or laying Chelsea and getting the draw too?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup


(declare an interest, On Swansea for the comp at 9-2 pre Middlesborough, when Chelsea were already evens)
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« Reply #23605 on: December 17, 2012, 03:42:39 PM »

Chelsea get back infrom Japan today.

On Wednesday striaght up to Elland Road, with an opposition up for it

Leeds been performing much better now the £ situation is being resolved

Chelsea not the strongest squad rotation in the world, particularly up top where Torres and Sturridge apart they don't have the bodies...


Can we see a case to backing Leeds at 7/2 or laying Chelsea and getting the draw too?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup


(declare an interest, On Swansea for the comp at 9-2 pre Middlesborough, when Chelsea were already evens)

I can only see an Arsenal situation happening here where they are left with only League and FA Cup to actually win something.

Not going to be easy, but can see Chelsea putting a full team out here.
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« Reply #23606 on: December 17, 2012, 03:44:42 PM »

If Chelsea put out their first XI, those guys can't possibly be 100% with jetlag

An Arsenal situation? Arsenal lost at Bradford, eventually, with a first choice team in action....
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« Reply #23607 on: December 17, 2012, 03:47:47 PM »

If Chelsea put out their first XI, those guys can't possibly be 100% with jetlag

An Arsenal situation? Arsenal lost at Bradford, eventually, with a first choice team in action....

I would avoid a bet here, I am not at all sure 7/2 is that big of price to get a bet on really.
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tikay
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« Reply #23608 on: December 17, 2012, 03:58:21 PM »

Murray no bigger than 3-1 for SPOTY now everywhere bar Sportingbet. Obv someone felt they were able to price up this event and have forced him from 4-1 into 3 with Willy Hilly.

REC £100 @ 4-1 with Sportingbet. He won't be bigger than 5-2 anywhere by the end of the week. Trust me!

What is the logic here Mr W? Are we betting simply to trade out in the near term?

Why will everyone pile into Murray in the next week?

Not doubting your wisdomness, just interested in the thought train.

I don't really wish to tie up the cash for 12 months on a Novelty TV market, but if we are betting for Trading purposes, maybe yes. 
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« Reply #23609 on: December 17, 2012, 04:01:04 PM »

Chelsea get back infrom Japan today.

On Wednesday striaght up to Elland Road, with an opposition up for it

Leeds been performing much better now the £ situation is being resolved

Chelsea not the strongest squad rotation in the world, particularly up top where Torres and Sturridge apart they don't have the bodies...


Can we see a case to backing Leeds at 7/2 or laying Chelsea and getting the draw too?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup


(declare an interest, On Swansea for the comp at 9-2 pre Middlesborough, when Chelsea were already evens)

I see where you are coming from here, Rich, & we can add-in the aged Leeds-Chelsea rivalry. Elland Road will be a tad hostile on Wednesday night, I would imagine.

Whether we can find any value, I have to leave to you guys.
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