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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16571100 times)
tikay
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« Reply #25545 on: January 06, 2013, 01:32:39 AM »

We´re in with the unders again here, unless Rodgers completely tears them apart.

Fingers crossed, be nice to get them both up.

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« Reply #25546 on: January 06, 2013, 04:18:23 AM »

I love it when a plan comes together.
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« Reply #25547 on: January 06, 2013, 09:08:24 AM »

Great work on both playoff games
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tikay
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« Reply #25548 on: January 06, 2013, 10:18:24 AM »


Well done the NFL Crew - back to back wins overnight.
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tikay
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« Reply #25549 on: January 06, 2013, 10:20:50 AM »


Daily Summary, as @ 1015, Sunday  January 6th               

PROFIT on Month = £285.60

Unsettled Bets  - £931.00



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

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tikay
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« Reply #25550 on: January 06, 2013, 10:36:24 AM »

Daily Report as @ 1030, Sunday January 6th

£56 profit yesterday.

We lost £24 on a Rugby Union affair, but then scooped back to back NFL Unders bets (Kuku & Channing) which contributed £80 of profit.

An odd day really. A lot of football bets were stuck up, but not as much enthusiasm for them as I need, & we ended up not doing a single football bet. We were just not feeling it.

Probably saved a little money, Villa & Reading would have been winners, whilst Newcastle, Wolves, Cardiff (Lay) & 'Boro (over 2.5 first half) would have lost for us.

As far as I know, our only booked bets today are on the BDO Darts, where we have £50 @ 11/10 De Graaf to beat Dekker, & £10 @ 7/1 for him to win 3-0.

There are further NFL Playoffs today, of course.

Late in the day, the two Unders bets came in, & both were easy wins.

Lovely.
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« Reply #25551 on: January 06, 2013, 10:56:49 AM »

Good morning,

The one I´m most keen on today is the Seattle points under 24.5. I´m not sure they´ll generate that much offence through the air away from home in a noisy hostile environment against a team that is really up for it, I think they´ll be relying quite heavily on Marshawn. Lets see what the others think first though. I do think Seattle will win, so I´m quite keen on the total points unders in this one as well.

Nothing much for the Baltimore/Indy game, I would rather be with Baltimore at the 6.5 line, it´s very marginal, no bet. Total points line looks about right.

They weren´t great games last night but nice to book a tidy profit, good games and points unders don´t usually go well together. It was worth staying up, only got about 3 hours sleep and looking forward to tonights games already.
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tikay
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« Reply #25552 on: January 06, 2013, 11:01:34 AM »

Good morning,

The one I´m most keen on today is the Seattle points under 24.5. I´m not sure they´ll generate that much offence through the air away from home in a noisy hostile environment against a team that is really up for it, I think they´ll be relying quite heavily on Marshawn. Lets see what the others think first though. I do think Seattle will win, so I´m quite keen on the total points unders in this one as well.

Nothing much for the Baltimore/Indy game, I would rather be with Baltimore at the 6.5 line, it´s very marginal, no bet. Total points line looks about right.

They weren´t great games last night but nice to book a tidy profit, good games and points unders don´t usually go well together. It was worth staying up, only got about 3 hours sleep and looking forward to tonights games already.

Morning to you, too.

Amen to all that.

bobby1 told me "it won't be pretty to watch" & he was right, but the bets were excellent.

I'll hold off for now, as you suggest, hopefuly we'll get on a bit later.
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« Reply #25553 on: January 06, 2013, 11:29:27 AM »


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« Reply #25554 on: January 06, 2013, 11:32:45 AM »

Hi Tikay,
Cardiff lost 2-1 so the lay bet was a winner.
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tikay
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« Reply #25555 on: January 06, 2013, 11:33:31 AM »

Hi Tikay,
Cardiff lost 2-1 so the lay bet was a winner.

Whoops.

Apologies.
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« Reply #25556 on: January 06, 2013, 11:36:26 AM »


This photo may come back to haunt Mr Pardew.

There'll be a few Caption comps on it, for sure.


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« Reply #25557 on: January 06, 2013, 11:46:08 AM »

 If the lines on the game are Washington -3 and 47 then the teams "should be" 22 and 25 but as you have to pay juice (bet odds-on) to back Washington at that price and as there are 46. and 46's out there you could argue that the "correct" line for Seattle points is 24.5. You'd have to make the line 2.5 and the total 45.5 for it to come out 24.

 I have just bet under 46.5, which this time yesterday I had decided to make my strongest bet of the weekend, and I have also taken Washington +3 at 10/11 which I really like. The fact that I like these two means that I agree with under Seattle - I just wonder if betting under 24.5 at odds-on is the best way to be against them in what is essentially a derivative of the two main markets.
« Last Edit: January 06, 2013, 11:49:29 AM by Bad Beat » Logged
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« Reply #25558 on: January 06, 2013, 11:56:32 AM »

Morning Mr T.

Today London Welsh play Harlequins. We have won money supporting the Welsh but today will be very hard for them as they are a bit lightweight in several areas. Harlequins play an expansive, fast game with lots of offloading and I believe their intention today will be score 35+ points and win the game whatever Welsh can do. Against the lesser teams the Welsh have been able to restrict them from scoring and pick up some decent wins. Against the big teams they are unable to restrict them and have conceded points heavily.

Suggest over 43.5 points £24 @ 5/6 Ladbrokes, Paddy Power and others.
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« Reply #25559 on: January 06, 2013, 12:15:12 PM »

 Think the thread should have an above average bet under 46.5 at 20/21 with Ladbrokes in Seattle Washington. Price won't last long.
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