Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Daily Summary, as @ 0900, Monday  January 7th                 

PROFIT on Month = £325.60

Unsettled Bets  - £971.00



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

Ryan Moloney to win CBB?  Knew you'd come to your senses!

[ripple11]

Our DoI bet is not looking good, we are on Samia Ghadie @ 15/2, now freely available at 16/1 & above.

There is no such thing as bad publicity............unfortunately for us, probably not true in Samia's case, with other halves being dumped, as her heart is melted by Mr. skating partner.

Thought she skated OK last night.....definite potential as spotted ringside by Phil  

Early days...hopefully Corrie fans will vote in their droves.

[tikay]

in some ways a bad thing in a lot of ways a good thing that

Morning horsey,

Remind me what is good about it?!

it shows you are punting on things they dont want you to

it shows you are probably nearly always beating the price

it shows you are probably a winner or in there view not a big loser

Ahh, I see, yes, viewed like that, you are quite correct.

I really study the sub-markets in depth, & I work hard at it, & so yes, I was a winner with them, as they often had some really cranky lines on stuff. I cannot do it with other firms, as their prices are not ool as often as SJ are.

It's too easy just to look at Outrights & think you can be a winner without making much effort, "I fancy West Ham today" sorta thing, but there are no short cuts. The guys on this thread who make money all work hard at spotting opportunities, they "look behind" the headline bets, & study for hours, it seems to me, & so I've tried to do the same in my off-thread betting since I broke my sabbatical. This thread is a terrific learning resource if we are prepared to admit we don't know it all.

When I see some of the excellent stuff Posted here, the very first thing that enters my mind is "jeez, he must have really studied that market to spot that".  

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0900, Monday  January 7th                 

PROFIT on Month = £325.60

Unsettled Bets  - £971.00



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

Ryan Moloney to win CBB?  Knew you'd come to your senses!

Damn you Doobsy, damn you.

I will NOT be watching it, trust me.

[Doobs]

Daily Summary, as @ 0900, Monday  January 7th                 

PROFIT on Month = £325.60

Unsettled Bets  - £971.00



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

Ryan Moloney to win CBB?  Knew you'd come to your senses!

Damn you Doobsy, damn you.

I will NOT be watching it, trust me.

I think you must have backed Chompy's tip, which was Rylan.  My tip for Ryan was met with indifference.

[kukushkin88]

We should back Seattle +3 @ Atlanta with VC or PP. This looks a pick em to me and with a key number on our side, it looks a good bet @ 4/5. Recommened £40 Seattle +3 @ Atlanta 4/5 with Victor Chandler or Paddy Power.

It´s hard to know exactly what to make of the games last night as RG3´s knee was a huge factor, they really should have replcaed him sooner i think. Seattle are just so composed on offense at the moment, it´s hard not to be impressed. They will put Ryan under loads of pressure too and Atlanta have had trouble running it against much weaker teams than this, we have plenty in our favour.

I have warmed to Seattle since my investment on them for the Conference, one of the features of their spell of great from has been Wilson, the rookie QB getting out in front of Lynch and making some great blocks down the field. Great to watch, I´ve got a lot of time for the Wilson and Lynch even if most of the rest of the team aren´t the most endearing bunch.

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0900, Monday  January 7th                 

PROFIT on Month = £325.60

Unsettled Bets  - £971.00



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

Ryan Moloney to win CBB?  Knew you'd come to your senses!

Damn you Doobsy, damn you.

I will NOT be watching it, trust me.

I think you must have backed Chompy's tip, which was Rylan.  My tip for Ryan was met with indifference.

Well I was rather hoping everyone would forget about CBB, & it would never foul this thread again, but in a moment of madness I tried bluffing Chompy, & that was a mistake, he does not have a pass button. 

There is even a whole CBB thread, ffs! What is the matter with people?

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=59950.0

[tikay]

We should back Seattle +3 @ Atlanta with VC or PP. This looks a pick em to me and with a key number on our side, it looks a good bet @ 4/5. Recommened £40 Seattle +3 @ Atlanta 4/5 with Victor Chandler or Paddy Power.

It´s hard to know exactly what to make of the games last night as RG3´s knee was a huge factor, they really should have replcaed him sooner i think. Seattle are just so composed on offense at the moment, it´s hard not to be impressed. They will put Ryan under loads of pressure too and Atlanta have had trouble running it against much weaker teams than this, we have plenty in our favour.

I have warmed to Seattle since my investment on them for the Conference, one of the features of their spell of great from has been Wilson, the rookie QB getting out in front of Lynch and making some great blocks down the field. Great to watch, I´ve got a lot of time for the Wilson and Lynch even if most of the rest of the team aren´t the most endearing bunch.

Thanks Kuku.

There seems to be a huge disparancy in the line offered on this, & +3 is at the extreme end.

Are Seattle the Team you mentioned at length to do well a while back?

Anyway, we have £40 @ 4/5, BetVictor, Seattle Seahawks (+3) over Atlanta Falcons.

ON

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons
Seattle Seahawks +3
(Handicap)
Odds:  4/5
Stake:  40.00
Possible Return:  72.00

[Tal]

How can you call yourself a bookmaker and then ban people from betting with you because you keep cocking up?

You're either doing a good job and should therefore encourage winners to come back and gamble so they give it all back (à la a casino) or you are doing a rubbish job and should therefore try harder.

What other walk of life would that happen in?

I'm a little sad, but only for selfish reasons, & I'm certainly not going to make a hoohah about it. It is my (painful) experience that when folks get banned by a Poker Site, Poker Forum or Bookie, they get a bit uppity, but that makes no sense at all to me, as personally why would I want to do business, or interact with, any organisation or Company that does not welcome my involvement or custom?

Bookmakers are accountant driven, quite right too, as they are using Shareholders money, so I can perfectly understand the logic. Dislking it does not make it wrong. 

I was told a tale by a mate last night of a chap who can get £30,000 on with Ladbrokes for ANY bet he wants. How so? He is a Premier League footballer, & probably drops a 6 figure sum per annum. If Laddies were your company, if you managed them, or you were a Shareholder of theirs, you'd agree with them managing & culling their Client-Base the most optimal way, surely?

Yes, long and unrepeatable story short, a friend of a friend let a premiership footballer use his betfair account a few months ago for a weekend. He had £150k go through it in a weekend. Fair to say that footballer has a gambling problem.

[horseplayer]

How can you call yourself a bookmaker and then ban people from betting with you because you keep cocking up?

You're either doing a good job and should therefore encourage winners to come back and gamble so they give it all back (à la a casino) or you are doing a rubbish job and should therefore try harder.

What other walk of life would that happen in?

I'm a little sad, but only for selfish reasons, & I'm certainly not going to make a hoohah about it. It is my (painful) experience that when folks get banned by a Poker Site, Poker Forum or Bookie, they get a bit uppity, but that makes no sense at all to me, as personally why would I want to do business, or interact with, any organisation or Company that does not welcome my involvement or custom?

Bookmakers are accountant driven, quite right too, as they are using Shareholders money, so I can perfectly understand the logic. Dislking it does not make it wrong. 

I was told a tale by a mate last night of a chap who can get £30,000 on with Ladbrokes for ANY bet he wants. How so? He is a Premier League footballer, & probably drops a 6 figure sum per annum. If Laddies were your company, if you managed them, or you were a Shareholder of theirs, you'd agree with them managing & culling their Client-Base the most optimal way, surely?

Yes, long and unrepeatable story short, a friend of a friend let a premiership footballer use his betfair account a few months ago for a weekend. He had £150k go through it in a weekend. Fair to say that footballer has a gambling problem.

if said footballer earns £150k a month (which he almost certainly will probably more maybe a lot more) why is this any different to somebody with another job earning £900-£2000 per month who loses that?

[LeedsRhodesy]

i'm not one for betting on TV shows  but are we missing some value in Spash

after your dive you get scores from the judges then its a phone vote,  you add the phone vote with your judges score and thats your score!! 1st gets into final 2nd dives again and judges vote again

Looking at who is in it i think our man could smash the phone votes and end up winning it just cos of that

looking at who is in it

Jake Canuso          30k followers n twitter
Anthony Ogogo     35k on twitter
Omid Djalili twitter 153k on twitter
Charlotte Jackson   202k
Eddie 'The Eagle' Edwards  cant find him
Dom Joly              158k  
caprice                 15k
Linda Barker           4k
Diarmuid Gavin        cant find him
Tina Malone            cant find
our man we should go for    

Mr Joey Essex  1.8 million followers on twitter   1.6 more then anyone else

every time he tweets about it he has #joeyessextowinspash trending in 5 mins

he is 8/1 atm he dives this saturday  but i thing £10-£15

[Tal]

You make a fair point, HP, but this incident was apparently the tip of a pretty insane iceberg.

[Sheriff Fatman]

How can you call yourself a bookmaker and then ban people from betting with you because you keep cocking up?

You're either doing a good job and should therefore encourage winners to come back and gamble so they give it all back (à la a casino) or you are doing a rubbish job and should therefore try harder.

What other walk of life would that happen in?

I'm a little sad, but only for selfish reasons, & I'm certainly not going to make a hoohah about it. It is my (painful) experience that when folks get banned by a Poker Site, Poker Forum or Bookie, they get a bit uppity, but that makes no sense at all to me, as personally why would I want to do business, or interact with, any organisation or Company that does not welcome my involvement or custom?

Bookmakers are accountant driven, quite right too, as they are using Shareholders money, so I can perfectly understand the logic. Dislking it does not make it wrong. 

I was told a tale by a mate last night of a chap who can get £30,000 on with Ladbrokes for ANY bet he wants. How so? He is a Premier League footballer, & probably drops a 6 figure sum per annum. If Laddies were your company, if you managed them, or you were a Shareholder of theirs, you'd agree with them managing & culling their Client-Base the most optimal way, surely?

I've never understood how bookies should be allowed to get away with this, and I certainly wouldn't try to defend them for doing it.  Similarly for casinos who treat being talented at blackjack as cheating.

If I was a shareholder of a big retail chain, I wouldn't want to ban those customers who only shop with them in the January sales or who are particularly adept at spotting a bargain, and there'd be an outcry if anyone tried to do this.  This is no different to what the bookies do with shrewd punters, so why condone it?

At the end of the day, they're the one's who set the prices for people to bet.

[horseplayer]

You make a fair point, HP, but this incident was apparently the tip of a pretty insane iceberg.

probably was there are plenty who have no clue and are in a mess with it but that isnt alone with footballers

one ex international (goalkeeper irish but not irish benefited from this. He is a decent judge not brilliant but put a lot of work in and had basically unlimited accounts for a long while even after playing because his card was marked as "complete mug" within two weeks

[kukushkin88]

We should back Seattle +3 @ Atlanta with VC or PP. This looks a pick em to me and with a key number on our side, it looks a good bet @ 4/5. Recommened £40 Seattle +3 @ Atlanta 4/5 with Victor Chandler or Paddy Power.

It´s hard to know exactly what to make of the games last night as RG3´s knee was a huge factor, they really should have replcaed him sooner i think. Seattle are just so composed on offense at the moment, it´s hard not to be impressed. They will put Ryan under loads of pressure too and Atlanta have had trouble running it against much weaker teams than this, we have plenty in our favour.

I have warmed to Seattle since my investment on them for the Conference, one of the features of their spell of great from has been Wilson, the rookie QB getting out in front of Lynch and making some great blocks down the field. Great to watch, I´ve got a lot of time for the Wilson and Lynch even if most of the rest of the team aren´t the most endearing bunch.

Thanks Kuku.

There seems to be a huge disparancy in the line offered on this, & +3 is at the extreme end.

Are Seattle the Team you mentioned at length to do well a while back?

Anyway, we have £40 @ 4/5, BetVictor, Seattle Seahawks (+3) over Atlanta Falcons.

ON

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons
Seattle Seahawks +3
(Handicap)
Odds:  4/5
Stake:  40.00
Possible Return:  72.00

Yeah it was the Seahawks that I wrote pages and pages about back when I had flu. We were so close to getting the perfect scenario, only a New England win at home vs San Fran away from the 2 seed. They could still do this though, I wouldn´t fancy GB at Lambeau but I think they can win in San Francisco, not a popular view on Fred, the Justin Smith injury is a huge factor.