Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

spot on doobs

looks a good speculative price to me

4-1 on Laddies now

[Karabiner]

Is 5/6 +3 Seattle better that 10/11 +2.5?

I've a feeling it is due to "3" being a good number but just need confirmation.

[aaron1867]

Thoughts on Villa?

I had them at the weekend and just got there, but fancy them again tonight at Bradford.

They have quite a few players back from injury now, will be putting a full side out and are close to a final. I think they will turn up here and beat Bradford by a few goals here. They are best priced at 68/67 with Pinnacle, but odds on everywhere else to the tune of 10/11 on Oddschecker, but when you actually check the actual bookie themselves, they are a lot smaller. I'd get on with Pinnacle at £50. Think price is just good enough.

PS - Didn't put a 100% side out for Ipswich, so was able to rest a couple of players, by the looks of it. So should have some fresher legs.

[tikay]

spot on doobs

looks a good speculative price to me

4-1 on Laddies now

No - Laddies STILL go 10/1, & Blue Square go 8/1.

I just took 10/1 a few minutes ago. (Details later).


http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/india-v-england/odi-series/india-england-odis/top-india-batsman



http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/ble/ble/ble-e216708162&AFF_ID=69790&ASSET_ID=8179

[AndrewT]

Is 5/6 +3 Seattle better that 10/11 +2.5?

I've a feeling it is due to "3" being a good number but just need confirmation.

Yes it is - it's a very wise question to ask.

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=58905.msg1696095#msg1696095

[tikay]

With our Pujara bet we're essentially betting that the Indian selectors go against type and actually drop an established player who is playing shit (Gambhir & Sehwag) rather than continuing with them until they collect their pension.

Think he would be roughly 3/1 if he plays.  If he is 50/50 to play, that means we should back at 7/1.  50/50 feels about right from my sofa.  So I think 10/1 is a good price, so we should bet more than a tenner.  If we are assuming the 50/50 chance of playing then the price should be a bit less than , as he can miss one game and still be top series batsman (though his price after arriving in the 2nd game is likely well into double figures).

I think 9/2 is a bad price, but we should forget about that when deciding the amount we bet at 10s.  Suggest we up our new bet to £30 or so.

Saying that we have a good price at 9/2 if he plays the first game is woolly thinking.  Part of the 9/2 effectively includes the possibility he won't play match one.

Love it when Doobsy gets on his logical sofa.

We have had a FURTHER £20 @ 10/1, Ladbrokes, Pujara, Top India Batter, India v England ODI Series.

This further £20 bet is owned, I would suggest, by Doobsy, unless anyone thinks otherwise?


ON

Selection10/1 - C Pujara

EventIndia v England - ODI Series - Top India Series Runscorer International

MarketTop series batsman
 Your bets (1) Single - C Pujara
1 line at £20.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential Return: £220.00
Time: 08/01/13 12:15
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000234

[tikay]

PS - Thanks Doobs.

[tikay]

Thoughts on Villa?

I had them at the weekend and just got there, but fancy them again tonight at Bradford.

They have quite a few players back from injury now, will be putting a full side out and are close to a final. I think they will turn up here and beat Bradford by a few goals here. They are best priced at 68/67 with Pinnacle, but odds on everywhere else to the tune of 10/11 on Oddschecker, but when you actually check the actual bookie themselves, they are a lot smaller. I'd get on with Pinnacle at £50. Think price is just good enough.

PS - Didn't put a 100% side out for Ipswich, so was able to rest a couple of players, by the looks of it. So should have some fresher legs.

Thanks Aaron,

I think that price - to my mind anyway - is a bit skinny.

7/2 Bradford or 11/4 the Draw also appeal!

Villa's price has been sliding all morning, it was 4/5 most spots (4/1 Bradford, 3/1 Draw) at 7am.

For me, it is not a match I feel we should bet on, it is not a "value standout", though I'll defer to wiser heads & logical sofas.

PS - Well done on your fine effort & deep run in the DTD £300.

[kukushkin88]

Is 5/6 +3 Seattle better that 10/11 +2.5?

I've a feeling it is due to "3" being a good number but just need confirmation.

Yep, the 3 is key. Some signs of the line moving toward Atlanta, so I reckon we might see 10/11 +3. It´s unlikely to happen imo but +3.5 really would be great. I´m assuming the sharp money will come back in for Seattle at some stage. Would be really interesting to hear what Neil, Red et al think.

[tikay]

Pujara - will he, won't he?


http://www.espncricinfo.com/india/content/current/story/600023.html

[atdc21]

Hi Tikay, Devon and Exeter racecourse is one of my local tracks, its always cold and often foggy there.
Best mate died there during the big race, the Haldon gold cup one year.

[tikay]

Hi Tikay, Devon and Exeter racecourse is one of my local tracks, its always cold and often foggy there.
Best mate died there during the big race, the Haldon gold cup one year.

Don't believe you - the sun ALWAYS shines in Devon. My Granny told me, & she was never wrong.

In which locality do you live?

PS - I'm glad you refuse to use the new name - "Exeter". Yuk, that is so wrong.

Exeter, amazingly, has SEVEN railway stations, but St Davids is the Daddy, as befits any Brunel creation.

The Diesel Loco below is a Warrior Class, which I believe were the first Diesels on the GWR (DMU's excepted), & which my Dad was amongst the first to be trained on & drive.  

Click to see full-size image.

[atdc21]

oi drinks zider and droives a tracker if that helps 

[Doobs]

With our Pujara bet we're essentially betting that the Indian selectors go against type and actually drop an established player who is playing shit (Gambhir & Sehwag) rather than continuing with them until they collect their pension.

Think he would be roughly 3/1 if he plays.  If he is 50/50 to play, that means we should back at 7/1.  50/50 feels about right from my sofa.  So I think 10/1 is a good price, so we should bet more than a tenner.  If we are assuming the 50/50 chance of playing then the price should be a bit less than , as he can miss one game and still be top series batsman (though his price after arriving in the 2nd game is likely well into double figures).

I think 9/2 is a bad price, but we should forget about that when deciding the amount we bet at 10s.  Suggest we up our new bet to £30 or so.

Saying that we have a good price at 9/2 if he plays the first game is woolly thinking.  Part of the 9/2 effectively includes the possibility he won't play match one.

Love it when Doobsy gets on his logical sofa.

We have had a FURTHER £20 @ 10/1, Ladbrokes, Pujara, Top India Batter, India v England ODI Series.

This further £20 bet is owned, I would suggest, by Doobsy, unless anyone thinks otherwise?


ON

Selection10/1 - C Pujara

EventIndia v England - ODI Series - Top India Series Runscorer International

MarketTop series batsman
 Your bets (1) Single - C Pujara
1 line at £20.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential Return: £220.00
Time: 08/01/13 12:15
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000234

Think it should belong to rfgqqabc.  He suggested the same earlier.  I was just doing some maths to back him and hector up.

[BigAdz]

spot on doobs

looks a good speculative price to me

4-1 on Laddies now

No - Laddies STILL go 10/1, & Blue Square go 8/1.

I just took 10/1 a few minutes ago. (Details later).


http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/india-v-england/odi-series/india-england-odis/top-india-batsman



http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/ble/ble/ble-e216708162&AFF_ID=69790&ASSET_ID=8179

LOL, Johnny RunGood atm.

Looked on Oddschecker and said 10-1, so opened up Laddies and went to market and defo said 4-1, so ended up taking at Billy Hills. Must be going mad.