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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16414581 times)
The Camel
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« Reply #29295 on: February 05, 2013, 02:34:49 PM »

Incred comeback for Seabass just now in a two-mile hurdle.

He started favourite for the National last season and that's obv the target this time.

Suggest £10 @ 20-1 (general).

Ran and jumped great last year, but didn't stay.

He was like a punch drunk boxer in the last 2 furlongs.

Any reason for this not to be the case again?
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #29296 on: February 05, 2013, 02:38:36 PM »

He was in front to the elbow last season after a harder campaign and he stayed better than I thought. I'd expect a more patient ride this time.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #29297 on: February 05, 2013, 03:57:35 PM »

sans loi

well backed again late

went 1.7 in running before looking short of fitness or just not good enough

finished 4th
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The Camel
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« Reply #29298 on: February 05, 2013, 04:00:37 PM »

sans loi

well backed again late

went 1.7 in running before looking short of fitness or just not good enough

finished 4th

Looks like those drawn low in sprints at Southwell are a million atm.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #29299 on: February 05, 2013, 04:08:00 PM »

Nigel Farage has apparently decided not to fight the by election personally which is probably good for the bet on Tories.
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« Reply #29300 on: February 05, 2013, 04:26:05 PM »

Rob Kelly next manager for forest....16s with vic chandler and st james.

Dont have more than £20 on Wink
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« Reply #29301 on: February 05, 2013, 04:43:45 PM »

In 20 years of betting one of the cornerstones of my betting strategy has involved opposing England in international games and it has always paid dividends.  I can only remember betting on them once in those 20 years but today I have made that twice in 20 years because i think they are a huge price at 9/4 tomorrow night.  Brazil are priced purely on reputation in this game and havent really delivered for a while now.  They have even recalled Ronaldinho for this tie.  England, on the other hand, are possibly beginning to be somewhat underrated.  They are pretty good at Wembley and home advantage means a lot in these kind of games especially with all the travelling that the players have to do.  I can't really have Brazil as favourites in this game at all and think it should probably be each of two.  Never thought I would say it but suggest 40 quid at 9/4 or better.
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« Reply #29302 on: February 05, 2013, 05:10:46 PM »

Suggest 30 quid on Cliftonville tonight versus Coleraine with coral at 8/15, Cliftonville are absolutely flying and have won 12 out of 14 at home this season and look well on course to win the Irish Premiership. They have an abundance of talent up front and look great value. Stan Jaames have already cut them from 1.53 to 1.4 this morning.
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« Reply #29303 on: February 05, 2013, 05:19:15 PM »

I believe the match is being completed today, restarting on 76 mins, so for betfair punters the bet is still in play.  From their rules -

- If a match starts but is later abandoned or postponed and is not completed (i.e. 90 minutes of play according to the match officials, plus any stoppage time) within three days of the scheduled start date, all bets will be void except for those on markets which have been unconditionally determined.

The match restarted on 76 mins and Pacos Ferreira scored after 79 mins according to livescore website.
Currently 1-0 with 6 minutes left.
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« Reply #29304 on: February 05, 2013, 05:34:45 PM »

Incred comeback for Seabass just now in a two-mile hurdle.

He started favourite for the National last season and that's obv the target this time.

Suggest £10 @ 20-1 (general).

Ran and jumped great last year, but didn't stay.

He was like a punch drunk boxer in the last 2 furlongs.

Any reason for this not to be the case again?


With Camel.

Having been on Big Fella Thanks a couple of times, I have to agree, if they dont stay, they dont stay.

Big Fella had long/short campaigns, and it didnt matter he got to the last and was spent despite travelling like a beaut!
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tikay
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« Reply #29305 on: February 05, 2013, 05:50:42 PM »

In 20 years of betting one of the cornerstones of my betting strategy has involved opposing England in international games and it has always paid dividends.  I can only remember betting on them once in those 20 years but today I have made that twice in 20 years because i think they are a huge price at 9/4 tomorrow night.  Brazil are priced purely on reputation in this game and havent really delivered for a while now.  They have even recalled Ronaldinho for this tie.  England, on the other hand, are possibly beginning to be somewhat underrated.  They are pretty good at Wembley and home advantage means a lot in these kind of games especially with all the travelling that the players have to do.  I can't really have Brazil as favourites in this game at all and think it should probably be each of two.  Never thought I would say it but suggest 40 quid at 9/4 or better.

Thank you Stu, we don't get many bets from you. Opposing England should be a national pastime, but maybe the tide has turned....

We have £40 @ 9/4, BetVictor, England to beat Brazil, @ 9/4.

ON
England v Brazil
England
(Match Betting)
Odds:  9/4
Stake:  40.00
Possible Return:  130.00
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tikay
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« Reply #29306 on: February 05, 2013, 05:51:41 PM »

I believe the match is being completed today, restarting on 76 mins, so for betfair punters the bet is still in play.  From their rules -

- If a match starts but is later abandoned or postponed and is not completed (i.e. 90 minutes of play according to the match officials, plus any stoppage time) within three days of the scheduled start date, all bets will be void except for those on markets which have been unconditionally determined.

The match restarted on 76 mins and Pacos Ferreira scored after 79 mins according to livescore website.
Currently 1-0 with 6 minutes left.

Thanks Matt. I would assume that as Bet365 Voided our bet last night, the bet is not on.
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tikay
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« Reply #29307 on: February 05, 2013, 05:56:58 PM »

Suggest 30 quid on Cliftonville tonight versus Coleraine with coral at 8/15, Cliftonville are absolutely flying and have won 12 out of 14 at home this season and look well on course to win the Irish Premiership. They have an abundance of talent up front and look great value. Stan Jaames have already cut them from 1.53 to 1.4 this morning.

Thanks spudy.

I really have no idea if that is a good or a bad price to be honest. I can see that Cliftonville look a good thing though.

Thoughts anyone?
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« Reply #29308 on: February 05, 2013, 06:02:54 PM »

League table says it all, Cliftonville have +43 goal diff over 27 games, Coleraine are +0, and have only won 3 away games all season. i would price the Reds at 1.3 myself hence I believe it is a bet. The fact they are shortening everywhere is also an indication!
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The Camel
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« Reply #29309 on: February 05, 2013, 06:14:34 PM »

League table says it all, Cliftonville have +43 goal diff over 27 games, Coleraine are +0, and have only won 3 away games all season. i would price the Reds at 1.3 myself hence I believe it is a bet. The fact they are shortening everywhere is also an indication!

Don't want to sound like a broken record, but the whole world can see the league table mate.

Very unlikely the prices are going to wrong unless you have some insight that the market doesn't.

Who is playing in the middle of the park for Cliftonville tonight?
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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