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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16228142 times)
tikay
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« Reply #31455 on: February 25, 2013, 06:38:35 PM »

Here is an afternoon's research.

The latest Snooker ranking event has begun, the World Open in China

The draw

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_World_Open_%28snooker%29

The market

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-open/world-open/winner


Important to note that the three market favourites are Selby, Trump and Robertson.

Then we notice that all three are in the same half of the draw


So I look at the other half of the draw. This is interesting as it contans a lot of players with little current form

Last year Mark Allen won this.....seeded 1. Higgins is vulnerable in best of nine matches, he's the second highest seed in the half. Mark Williams? gets homesick if he crosses the bridge into England these days...

So who else is there in this half, that might get us to the later staes where we can trade around it?

Shortlist

Maguire
Bingham
Ding Junhui

Maguire beat Bingham 9-8 to win the Welsh recently

Both he and Ding are 10 to 12-1.

Both though are not serial tournament winners these days and 10-1 ish is miserly

However the value is Bingham, currently available at 27-1 on Betfair

He has a win, two finals, two quarter finals in nine events played this season

I would expect him to beat Higginson in the 32, is no worse than Evens to beat Higgins in the 16 and then we'll see


The recommendation is £5 Bingham to win the Snooker World Open at 27-1 Betfair with a view to trading out if he gets to the later stages

Nice work Tighty. Your ingenuity knows no enginuityness.

We have £5 @ 20 on Betty, full details later. (Betfair).

25-1 with bluesq

28-1 with youwin (no idea if they are reliable e.t.c)

Good spot horsey, thank you. Just out of bed, & I got a train to catch, so I'm a bit all over the place.

I'll take the Betfair bet off-Thread, & I have now placed the Bet with Betfred. (Blue Sq Restricted me to £4).

We have £5 @ 25/1, BetFred, Bingham to win World Open.

ON

Haikou World Open 2013
Outright
 Bingham, Stuart 25/1 
Total stake £ 5.00
Estimated return £ 130.00

Full stake £ 5.00
Full estimated return £ 130.00
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« Reply #31456 on: February 25, 2013, 06:43:46 PM »

Backed Bolton in that one (though it's prob no longer a bet at current prices), make Peterboro shade over 4/1.

Bolton were 19/20 with VC on Saturday evening but the price has collapsed since then.

A lot will depend on the team we field.

If Newell and Mendez-Laing both start I wouldn't be at all hopeful.

However, if Newell is dropped and Swanson comes in, along with Petrucci I wouldn't put you off Poshies. Petrucci is the key name. If he's in we'll have a far better chance.

What's the story with the four who got transfer listed and dropped a few weeks ago?

Seems like two of them have been forgiven at least.

Gabby Zak was never really part of it and he's back in favour.
Mendez-Laing didn't get arrested and is playing at the moment, if you could call it playing.
Tyrone Barnett was shipped out to Ipswich on loan but got injured. He's around two weeks away but FerJu said he'd never play for Posh again.
Emile Sinclair was at Barnsley on loan last I knew but no idea if he still is.
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« Reply #31457 on: February 25, 2013, 06:56:08 PM »

Backed Bolton in that one (though it's prob no longer a bet at current prices), make Peterboro shade over 4/1.

Bolton were 19/20 with VC on Saturday evening but the price has collapsed since then.

A lot will depend on the team we field.

If Newell and Mendez-Laing both start I wouldn't be at all hopeful.

However, if Newell is dropped and Swanson comes in, along with Petrucci I wouldn't put you off Poshies. Petrucci is the key name. If he's in we'll have a far better chance.

What's the story with the four who got transfer listed and dropped a few weeks ago?

Seems like two of them have been forgiven at least.

Gabby Zak was never really part of it and he's back in favour.
Mendez-Laing didn't get arrested and is playing at the moment, if you could call it playing.
Tyrone Barnett was shipped out to Ipswich on loan but got injured. He's around two weeks away but FerJu said he'd never play for Posh again.
Emile Sinclair was at Barnsley on loan last I knew but no idea if he still is.

What exactly happened?

A quick google search reals the punishment for the 4 but not the crime!
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« Reply #31458 on: February 25, 2013, 07:08:14 PM »

Big few Days for your Napoli bet, they are currently away to Udiense and host top of the table Juventus on Friday night.

0-0 @ HT
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« Reply #31459 on: February 25, 2013, 07:50:30 PM »

Here is an afternoon's research.

The latest Snooker ranking event has begun, the World Open in China

The draw

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_World_Open_%28snooker%29

The market

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-open/world-open/winner


Important to note that the three market favourites are Selby, Trump and Robertson.

Then we notice that all three are in the same half of the draw


So I look at the other half of the draw. This is interesting as it contans a lot of players with little current form

Last year Mark Allen won this.....seeded 1. Higgins is vulnerable in best of nine matches, he's the second highest seed in the half. Mark Williams? gets homesick if he crosses the bridge into England these days...

So who else is there in this half, that might get us to the later staes where we can trade around it?

Shortlist

Maguire
Bingham
Ding Junhui

Maguire beat Bingham 9-8 to win the Welsh recently

Both he and Ding are 10 to 12-1.

Both though are not serial tournament winners these days and 10-1 ish is miserly

However the value is Bingham, currently available at 27-1 on Betfair

He has a win, two finals, two quarter finals in nine events played this season

I would expect him to beat Higginson in the 32, is no worse than Evens to beat Higgins in the 16 and then we'll see


The recommendation is £5 Bingham to win the Snooker World Open at 27-1 Betfair with a view to trading out if he gets to the later stages

Nice work Tighty. Your ingenuity knows no enginuityness.

We have £5 @ 20 on Betty, full details later. (Betfair).

25-1 with bluesq

28-1 with youwin (no idea if they are reliable e.t.c)

Don't worry. He probably clicked Higginson anyway.


 Shocked
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« Reply #31460 on: February 25, 2013, 07:52:49 PM »

Apparently Mark Lawrenson has picked the correct results (not scores) of all 9 games in the Premier League this weekend. Now that doesn't happen often.

He has predicted a draw in the game tonight (Wham v Spurs). If that happens, and he has picked all ten, I'm pretty sure it will result in a hole being blown in our reality and Boadicea will ride through Upton Park on Shergar, singing Spice Up Your Life.

Kyle Walker is 9/2 to be booked. I thought he looked a bit off the pace on Thursday. I expect Wham to sit deep and play on the break, so walker could become exposed at RB.

9/2 seems a little generous to me with Betfair.


First Goal Method a free kick 12-1 anyone? Wink



My favourite bet is A Penalty to be Awarded at 10/3 with Hills and others. Two sets of tall, slowish defenders, two sets of jinky midfielders, one Howard Webb.

Views?
« Last Edit: February 25, 2013, 08:00:03 PM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #31461 on: February 25, 2013, 08:00:41 PM »

I'm looking forward to blowing a few walrus-style bubbles..
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« Reply #31462 on: February 25, 2013, 08:04:28 PM »

I'm looking forward to blowing a few walrus-style bubbles..

You sit there and sing songs from the old musicals.

Here's one for you: what connects the first performance of that song on stage to the Oscars last night?

I'll give you a clue: Fred Astaire.
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« Reply #31463 on: February 25, 2013, 08:06:18 PM »

Apparently Mark Lawrenson has picked the correct results (not scores) of all 9 games in the Premier League this weekend. Now that doesn't happen often.

He has predicted a draw in the game tonight (Wham v Spurs). If that happens, and he has picked all ten, I'm pretty sure it will result in a hole being blown in our reality and Boadicea will ride through Upton Park on Shergar, singing Spice Up Your Life.

Kyle Walker is 9/2 to be booked. I thought he looked a bit off the pace on Thursday. I expect Wham to sit deep and play on the break, so walker could become exposed at RB.

9/2 seems a little generous to me with Betfair.


First Goal Method a free kick 12-1 anyone? Wink



My favourite bet is A Penalty to be Awarded at 10/3 with Hills and others. Two sets of tall, slowish defenders, two sets of jinky midfielders, one Howard Webb.

Views?

Please post your suggestions earlier, Spurs Bloke. I just don't have time to action them now, (without making a faux pas......) & we missed your BTS coup last Thursday for the same reason.

Hope they all come in though, really.
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« Reply #31464 on: February 25, 2013, 08:08:32 PM »

I'm sorry. Was just putting these up as interests, rather than formal recommends for Fred. Not done enough research to justify a recommend.
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« Reply #31465 on: February 25, 2013, 08:08:55 PM »

Napoli drew 0-0 Cavani was poor again.A juve win on Friday night and it's over.
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« Reply #31466 on: February 25, 2013, 08:09:20 PM »

on the probable assumption that nolan is on penalties in the absence of noble he is a smidgen big at 10-1 first scorer with laddies i think

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« Reply #31467 on: February 25, 2013, 08:10:25 PM »

Noble injured? suspended?



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« Reply #31468 on: February 25, 2013, 08:10:58 PM »

not in squad injured i think
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« Reply #31469 on: February 25, 2013, 08:11:07 PM »

I'm sorry. Was just putting these up as interests, rather than formal recommends for Fred. Not done enough research to justify a recommend.

Ahh, my apologies young Sir.
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