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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16747865 times)
AndrewT
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« Reply #31665 on: February 26, 2013, 08:09:53 PM »

Michael Crick on C4News has just said that the UKIP could "pull off a shock win" this Thursday

The LD campaign maanger said earlier he thought the UKIP would have won if the campaign went on a week

Camel's saver looking very interesting for the by-election

The Libs remain 1/2 on lol

UKIP are following a similar betting pattern to that of Respect in Bradford last year, when they, from out of nowhere, absolutely pissed up.

Votes of all 3 main parties seem to be vulnerable right now as no one has any real faith in any of them.

If UKIP are turning it into a genuine 3way then the earlier bet I mentioned about a majority under 1000 at 2/1 could be back in play.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #31666 on: February 26, 2013, 08:15:59 PM »

Craig Dawson scores.....
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« Reply #31667 on: February 26, 2013, 08:16:33 PM »

i love that boy i do
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rfgqqabc
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« Reply #31668 on: February 26, 2013, 08:30:36 PM »

i love that boy i do

Thanks for this and Athletico!
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
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« Reply #31669 on: February 26, 2013, 08:48:10 PM »

nearly the jackpot Sad
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ripple11
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« Reply #31670 on: February 26, 2013, 09:01:23 PM »

Michael Crick on C4News has just said that the UKIP could "pull off a shock win" this Thursday

The LD campaign maanger said earlier he thought the UKIP would have won if the campaign went on a week

Camel's saver looking very interesting for the by-election

The Libs remain 1/2 on lol

UKIP are following a similar betting pattern to that of Respect in Bradford last year, when they, from out of nowhere, absolutely pissed up.

Votes of all 3 main parties seem to be vulnerable right now as no one has any real faith in any of them.

If UKIP are turning it into a genuine 3way then the earlier bet I mentioned about a majority under 1000 at 2/1 could be back in play.

Local newspaper goes:

 Lib Dem 21.9% Conservative 21.5%  UKIP 17.9% Labour 11.8% others 4.9% .... and 22 % wont vote!
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #31671 on: February 26, 2013, 09:35:54 PM »

I'd like to send a welcome message to the Stan James odds compiler who is currently reading this thread:







Do your own research please.
Altho if you're the clown who priced up Reading to win the championship at 150/1 halfway through last season just like to thankyou before u leave
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TightEnd
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« Reply #31672 on: February 26, 2013, 09:48:27 PM »

No good on the Leicester lay

Confusing team!



In better news, Doncaster Rovers going top tonight on one of the ante-posts...
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« Reply #31673 on: February 26, 2013, 10:10:28 PM »

and bournemouth lose 3 in a week

long way to go just spoke to somebody at game said bournemouth played as well as they have for years just could not get the equaliser

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ripple11
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« Reply #31674 on: February 26, 2013, 10:46:19 PM »

and bournemouth lose 3 in a week

long way to go just spoke to somebody at game said bournemouth played as well as they have for years just could not get the equaliser



yes listened to the game,...just couldn't score  Sad
It's not helped losing two of the solid back four for the last few matches.(prob both out for the season) Also Pugh didn't play tonight , out injured.
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« Reply #31675 on: February 26, 2013, 11:20:50 PM »

I see a reference every now and then to the liquidity of the betfair market. When does illiquid become liquid?

The reason I ask is I want to find a good price for the upcoming chess tournament I mentioned the other day and a company I've never heard of (marathon bet?) is offering a better price than betfair on the favourite, Magnus Carlsen:

http://www.marathonbet.com/en/betting/Chess/

Betfair (if I'm understanding the numbers correctly) has taken just £920, which even I understand isn't soaking wet. When should I start taking notice of the fact that a bookie's price is bigger than the machine?
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« Reply #31676 on: February 26, 2013, 11:29:05 PM »

I see a reference every now and then to the liquidity of the betfair market. When does illiquid become liquid?

The reason I ask is I want to find a good price for the upcoming chess tournament I mentioned the other day and a company I've never heard of (marathon bet?) is offering a better price than betfair on the favourite, Magnus Carlsen:

http://www.marathonbet.com/en/betting/Chess/

Betfair (if I'm understanding the numbers correctly) has taken just £920, which even I understand isn't soaking wet. When should I start taking notice of the fact that a bookie's price is bigger than the machine?

£920 is irrelevant really but the back side on betfair (to small amounts) is 114% which is ok for a minor event betting wise (i am presuming it is minor in terms of £ trading)

The link providing is betting to about 108% which is more than fair

I am sorry have never heard of the firm to be honest



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« Reply #31677 on: February 26, 2013, 11:30:30 PM »

You may be able get better than 1.83 matched on BF if you stick a  price in, try 1.99 and see if it gets matched, it may well do, he's been bet at 2.4.
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« Reply #31678 on: February 26, 2013, 11:33:51 PM »

yes the 2.4 on betfair looks like a bit of a rick by somebody or maybe somebody chanced there arm early

i would guess there is probably one guy who has made a very small book on the event on betfair

according to google marathon bet are a russian based firm that dont take much of a bet but are ok in regards to payouts e.t.c
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Tal
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« Reply #31679 on: February 26, 2013, 11:34:36 PM »

You may be able get better than 1.83 matched on BF if you stick a  price in, try 1.99 and see if it gets matched, it may well do, he's been bet at 2.4.

Wowzers! 2.4 is bananas
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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