Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Hi tikay and all. suggestion for a bet.
Champion bumper  THE LIQUIDATOR 25/1 w.hill.    only 24 on betfair, ladbrokes 16/1.  Pipes know how to win this race had it off with liberman few years ago, this one has had some nice runs and dont think 25/1 will last too long.  gl  £5 ew for interest maybe.

I shall be with the Brooky team in the paddock/parade ring on Weds.

Horse did a great piece of work on Sat morning, and Pipe v happy. I'm on at 90s(cough). Expect 25-1 to be nearer 12s, 14s come weds

[TightEnd]

I'm going to put this one out there, because I think it will spark healthy discussion...

Cardiff v Leicester - Cardiff to win are 11/8.

Two out of form teams, probably Leicester more so & it seems like the fans are losing patience with Pearson.

Cardiff been better at home earlier in season, but comfortably have the best home record against a team who are the joint 3rd lowest scorers in the league.

It would seem Leicester would need to score at least a couple to hold any hope of getting something here and looking at how out of form they are & lack of goals away, seems a big ask, not to mention there will be a lot fresher legs in the Cardiff team having not played at the weekend.

I think 11/8 just represents enough value to get on here and I am confident we will have a decent sweat here. Going to recc a big one for me at £80.

Would like to hear Tighty's view on this? If he is the one who can validate my reasoning then he can!

------------------------------

Also not a recc for Fred.... but would like to hear views on Barnsley at 2's at home to Brighton? It seems Brighton have one available striker...

Looks at good price to me, I couldn't make Cardiff more than Evens.

Then again, the bookies know all the relevant info, so maybe its trappy

[aaron1867]

I'm going to put this one out there, because I think it will spark healthy discussion...

Cardiff v Leicester - Cardiff to win are 11/8.

Two out of form teams, probably Leicester more so & it seems like the fans are losing patience with Pearson.

Cardiff been better at home earlier in season, but comfortably have the best home record against a team who are the joint 3rd lowest scorers in the league.

It would seem Leicester would need to score at least a couple to hold any hope of getting something here and looking at how out of form they are & lack of goals away, seems a big ask, not to mention there will be a lot fresher legs in the Cardiff team having not played at the weekend.

I think 11/8 just represents enough value to get on here and I am confident we will have a decent sweat here. Going to recc a big one for me at £80.

Would like to hear Tighty's view on this? If he is the one who can validate my reasoning then he can!

------------------------------

Also not a recc for Fred.... but would like to hear views on Barnsley at 2's at home to Brighton? It seems Brighton have one available striker...

Looks at good price to me, I couldn't make Cardiff more than Evens.

Then again, the bookies know all the relevant info, so maybe its trappy

I was pricing it up similar, but they are now out to 7/5.

Head Leicester may have a player going back to parent club too...

[hector62]

Our only other action yesterday was to get on "No Grand Slam Winner" with some alacrity. Our only other remaining 6N bet, on Tualigi, did not improve, so that is in a bit of a hole. 


Morning Mr T.

I think what you wrote is a tad inaccurate. We backed Tuilagi each way at 16-1. He has 1 try so far and is actually in the place position, admitedly with a lot of other people, and is currently priced at 100/30 2nd fav. If all our bets were in such a hole we would be sitting atop of Everest.

Your Super Nit.

[a.sparrow]

Melodic rendezvous out of the  supreme

[TightEnd]

Four Australians dropped for the 3rd Indian test in Mohali on the 18th.

They were asked to fill in a form for feedback on ways to improve (bat better, bowl better, hold catches?), failed to do so and dropped

Shane Watson
Pattinson and Johnson
Khawaja

Watson has left in a huff (time to fill in a form, Indian Departure visa)

Watson the best batsman Clarke aside, Pattinson the best quick bowler

aussies down to two quicks in the squad for next week, Starc and Siddle, in Mohali


With team spirit in disarray, already 2-0 down, thread has to take India at Evens while it can

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/india-v-australia/test-series/india-v-australia-%5B3rd-test%5D/winner

Recommendation India at Evens chunkyville

[a.sparrow]

Re the will hill offer of 5 places paid.  I'm pretty sure I read that if there were under 16 runners they can change the bet or something.  Now there are 12 runners does anyone know if there have been deductions on the prices we took? I have really bad signal right now and it's taken me a good few minutes to load this blonde forum, will hill app isn't connecting and the website is taking an age to load or I would check myself.

[AlunB]

Any odds against price for Wales in the 6N decider, we should take it

Players coming back into form, home advantage...i'd price them 4/5 to win next week

Would be a travesty if this England side won a Grand Slam, and an indictment of how weak NH rugby is

Really can't agree with that but I'm busy shouting at a referee.

England is very close to being a really good side. Strength in depth and explosive talent.

Wales look like a good side on the way down, with replacements not filling the boots of those they come on for.

Ireland and France aren't helped by team selection and tactics.

Italy played really well today.

Not making any predictions, but will say this is pretty dreadful analysis based on little more than patriotism and getting a little over excited. IMO.

The Welsh team had been in a dreadful slump from the autumn, but had some key injuries not least to their coach! You can't take out 2/3rds of a world class back row (one through injury one through form) and expect to be the same side.

A good side on the way down? The average age in the backs is 24! Or 23 if Lloyd Williams is playing! The average age of the back row if R Jones is injured is 23. There are some old stagers in the front row, sure, but that's about the only place you will find them. This team could play together for another two world cups.

[BigAdz]

Alan with a u.

Wouldnt be Welsh would you?!

[TightEnd]

Any odds against price for Wales in the 6N decider, we should take it

Players coming back into form, home advantage...i'd price them 4/5 to win next week

Would be a travesty if this England side won a Grand Slam, and an indictment of how weak NH rugby is

Really can't agree with that but I'm busy shouting at a referee.

England is very close to being a really good side. Strength in depth and explosive talent.

Wales look like a good side on the way down, with replacements not filling the boots of those they come on for.

Ireland and France aren't helped by team selection and tactics.

Italy played really well today.

Not making any predictions, but will say this is pretty dreadful analysis based on little more than patriotism and getting a little over excited. IMO.

The Welsh team had been in a dreadful slump from the autumn, but had some key injuries not least to their coach! You can't take out 2/3rds of a world class back row (one through injury one through form) and expect to be the same side.

A good side on the way down? The average age in the backs is 24! Or 23 if Lloyd Williams is playing! The average age of the back row if R Jones is injured is 23. There are some old stagers in the front row, sure, but that's about the only place you will find them. This team could play together for another two world cups.

you are right

Patriotism aside, if I gave you my last fiver who would you have it on for Saturday's game?

[AlunB]

Any odds against price for Wales in the 6N decider, we should take it

Players coming back into form, home advantage...i'd price them 4/5 to win next week

Would be a travesty if this England side won a Grand Slam, and an indictment of how weak NH rugby is

Really can't agree with that but I'm busy shouting at a referee.

England is very close to being a really good side. Strength in depth and explosive talent.

Wales look like a good side on the way down, with replacements not filling the boots of those they come on for.

Ireland and France aren't helped by team selection and tactics.

Italy played really well today.

Not making any predictions, but will say this is pretty dreadful analysis based on little more than patriotism and getting a little over excited. IMO.

The Welsh team had been in a dreadful slump from the autumn, but had some key injuries not least to their coach! You can't take out 2/3rds of a world class back row (one through injury one through form) and expect to be the same side.

A good side on the way down? The average age in the backs is 24! Or 23 if Lloyd Williams is playing! The average age of the back row if R Jones is injured is 23. There are some old stagers in the front row, sure, but that's about the only place you will find them. This team could play together for another two world cups.

you are right

Patriotism aside, if I gave you my last fiver who would you have it on for Saturday's game?

Urgh. Can I plead the fifth? I would hate to bok Wales. I think you can read into that what I am saying, but I refuse to say it! 

I think the bookies will make Eng favourites based on games against NZ and Scotland, which seems wrong to me. Eng currently trading at 1.8 for the GS on betfair, which suggests, what, -2 on Saturday? As you say these are pretty evenly matched sides and England are playing away from home.

[AlunB]

Any odds against price for Wales in the 6N decider, we should take it

Players coming back into form, home advantage...i'd price them 4/5 to win next week

Would be a travesty if this England side won a Grand Slam, and an indictment of how weak NH rugby is

Really can't agree with that but I'm busy shouting at a referee.

England is very close to being a really good side. Strength in depth and explosive talent.

Wales look like a good side on the way down, with replacements not filling the boots of those they come on for.

Ireland and France aren't helped by team selection and tactics.

Italy played really well today.

Not making any predictions, but will say this is pretty dreadful analysis based on little more than patriotism and getting a little over excited. IMO.

The Welsh team had been in a dreadful slump from the autumn, but had some key injuries not least to their coach! You can't take out 2/3rds of a world class back row (one through injury one through form) and expect to be the same side.

A good side on the way down? The average age in the backs is 24! Or 23 if Lloyd Williams is playing! The average age of the back row if R Jones is injured is 23. There are some old stagers in the front row, sure, but that's about the only place you will find them. This team could play together for another two world cups.

you are right

Patriotism aside, if I gave you my last fiver who would you have it on for Saturday's game?

Having said that I think I would tell you to keep your money in your pocket.

[TightEnd]

I agree, we took 13/8 Wales with alacrity. Now 11/8 in one spot and 5/4 generally

I am, personal wishes aside for the Grand Slam, a big fan of Wales at odds-against. Good value in what should be a close one

[Karabiner]

Enhanced odds for all of the jollies on Laddies website.

I've just had some 5/2 Hurricane Fly and suggest fred does the same.

[AlunB]

I agree, we took 13/8 Wales with alacrity. Now 11/8 in one spot and 5/4 generally

I am, personal wishes aside for the Grand Slam, a big fan of Wales at odds-against. Good value in what should be a close one

Oops. Hadn't looked this morning, didn't realise the prices were up! 13/8 sounds like a mistake. Good work.