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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16574861 times)
Dubai
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« Reply #34920 on: March 22, 2013, 04:20:36 PM »

£40ew Lampard 5/1 Pp
£40ew AOC 8/1 Pp

For all reason stated before about the place part given both of these are apparently starting

If you can get any 3/1 Defoe ew this would warrant a max bet
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horseplayer
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« Reply #34921 on: March 22, 2013, 04:24:56 PM »

southwell bet from last time gouray girl wins by half the track at donny presumably aware i had finally given up on her Sad
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« Reply #34922 on: March 22, 2013, 04:26:29 PM »

£40ew Lampard 5/1 Pp
£40ew AOC 8/1 Pp

For all reason stated before about the place part given both of these are apparently starting

If you can get any 3/1 Defoe ew this would warrant a max bet

It is only first 5 goals at Paddy Power.  I asssumed this is is still fine.  Cheers
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #34923 on: March 22, 2013, 04:27:47 PM »

southwell bet from last time gouray girl wins by half the track at donny presumably aware i had finally given up on her Sad

Damn flop-lag.
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redarmi
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« Reply #34924 on: March 22, 2013, 04:28:34 PM »

I think the England bets are fairly clearly the best ones because the extra places come into play then.  The others are definitely value but not massive value in the same way.  Think I would rather have doubles with England players than a treble involving say RvP, Villa and Gomez if that makes sense.
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Dubai
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« Reply #34925 on: March 22, 2013, 04:30:17 PM »

Yeah has to be. AOC probably be subbed anyway so more than likely wont be on pitch for 6th. Tilting if Lampard scores 6th+ but 2.66 for him to score is just too big.
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edgascoigne
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« Reply #34926 on: March 22, 2013, 04:31:41 PM »

I think the England bets are fairly clearly the best ones because the extra places come into play then.  The others are definitely value but not massive value in the same way.  Think I would rather have doubles with England players than a treble involving say RvP, Villa and Gomez if that makes sense.

Yep, if the decision is that the Eng players have the highest margin on the place bet (owing to higher goal expectation) and the others are also +EV perm doubles with Eng players as bankers.
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Allez!!
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« Reply #34927 on: March 22, 2013, 04:32:30 PM »

southwell bet from last time gouray girl wins by half the track at donny presumably aware i had finally given up on her Sad

Damn flop-lag.

Yeah live horse racing is rigged.

Hang on...
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
typhoon13
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« Reply #34928 on: March 22, 2013, 04:43:43 PM »

Some very interesting discussion on thread today.

Lets try and put it into perspective.

Red and Dubai are 100% correct in what they say no arguing.

Tikay is running a ship to firstly make money that is paramount, he is also trying to improve and be fair to everyone with no bias.

Now that takes some doing, in which he is doing a tremendous job.

From what i see a lot of the contributors have full time jobs and get involved when time allows, now these contributors like to have their say and vouch their opinions in an orderly manner. This thread brings great joy to them because they feel part of it and can have some great sweats without having to invest money themselves, it makes for good camaraderie and banter.

I have been trading for what seems like donkeys years now and can understand where the professionals on here are coming from, thats what i do in my 24 hour a day job, now, it takes a lot of time and effort to succeed out there in the real life and you have to be alert to every opportunity possible but tikay is not sat there 24 hours a day on call so he has to cull the punts and execute what he sees best value in his spare time. If tikay was sat there all day  just committed to running this thread to make his total yearly income then it would be a total different ball game and Dubais and Reds punts for today would have to be executed as a matter of course.

This is not having a go at anyone, i totally understand both sides.

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tikay
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« Reply #34929 on: March 22, 2013, 04:46:43 PM »

£40ew Lampard 5/1 Pp
£40ew AOC 8/1 Pp

For all reason stated before about the place part given both of these are apparently starting

If you can get any 3/1 Defoe ew this would warrant a max bet

Sorry Dave, but after all that hard work by you, this is all Paddy Power would allow me.......


Maximum stake for F Lampard is 1.70, for event San Marino v England.

Maximum stake for A Oxlade-Chamberlain is 6.60, for event San Marino v England.


Do we have any alternative bokies with similar odds & places paid?
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JoeBeevers
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« Reply #34930 on: March 22, 2013, 04:50:45 PM »

I have a couple of questions regarding the ew unlimited places on the FGS in the England game. I have looked but can't find the answer very easily.

If a goal has been scored and a selection comes on as a sub are both parts of the bet on that player void or are you still on for the place part?

Can a player 'place' more than once if he scores multiple goals or can you only get paid on the place part once.

I am fairly sure I can guess the right answers but I don't think it's 100% clear.

Any ideas?

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Dubai
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« Reply #34931 on: March 22, 2013, 04:52:46 PM »

Pretty sure

Both void

No

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Dubai
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« Reply #34932 on: March 22, 2013, 04:54:42 PM »

Blue sq 8/1 AOC 9/2 Lamps

Reduce lamps to 37.50 ew and AOC 40ew
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tikay
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« Reply #34933 on: March 22, 2013, 04:56:41 PM »

Blue sq 8/1 AOC 9/2 Lamps

Reduce lamps to 37.50 ew and AOC 40ew

OK, I'll try, but I'm semi restricted there, too.

PS - Don't be late tomorrow. My line for you & Flushy arriving is 2 hours late.
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Dubai
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« Reply #34934 on: March 22, 2013, 04:58:27 PM »

£40ew Young 13/2 bs. We are getting 3.16 to score and could lay ~2.3 on bf
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