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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16366392 times)
tikay
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« Reply #35160 on: March 26, 2013, 08:24:53 AM »

Obviously wouldnt put anyone off them for the American League Penant at 10/1+ or World Series at 20/1+ either although they are nothing like as strong.

We could maybe take a small interest in both, just £10 or £20 in each?
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tikay
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« Reply #35161 on: March 26, 2013, 08:27:36 AM »

The Trott bet lost in extraordinary circumstances

England were six down just after lunch and that was that

I wake up to see Prior has hit 110 not out over 289 minutes batting, including hitting the ball onto his stumps and the bails not coming off,

and Prior has shepherded the tail to the draw (Broad 6, Anderson 0, Panesar 2 not out), England 9 wickets down!


If anyone was awake that would have been quite the sweat! (for Trott, or if, like me, you had the draw and had given up on it!)

Bugger.

Was looking forward to this morning's squeeze - full on proper squeeze - certain that hector's Trott bet would be a winner.

Ridiculous!


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« Reply #35162 on: March 26, 2013, 08:28:33 AM »

Seems like he is recommending a max.

So £150 @100/30

And £40@10s+  £40@20s+

If bet a wins, you will be in a great spot with the equity for bets b and c
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tikay
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« Reply #35163 on: March 26, 2013, 08:29:27 AM »

Seems like he is recommending a max.

So £150 @100/30

And £50@10s,  £50@20s

If bet a wins, you will be in a great spot with the equity for bets b and c

FML.

What chance was there that you would spot that bet @ 8am in the morning?
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« Reply #35164 on: March 26, 2013, 08:30:42 AM »

Missus works Tuesdays, I gotta be up!

Adjusted figures slightly but think the £150 is mandatory. Redarmi can say how much on other 2
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tikay
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« Reply #35165 on: March 26, 2013, 08:31:06 AM »

For RPO, I will formalise all this shortly.

This is an additional £50 with BetFred. We now have £150 on.

Bet placed, its reference is110/113
Bet ref: 110/113 £50.00 Single
Market Selection Price Hcp
AL East
AL East Division Winner
 Tampa Bay Rays 10/3 
Total stake £ 50.00
Estimated return £ 216.67

Full stake £ 50.00
Full estimated return £ 216.67
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tikay
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« Reply #35166 on: March 26, 2013, 08:32:09 AM »

Missus works Tuesdays, I gotta be up!

Adjusted figures slightly but think the £150 is mandatory. Redarmi can say how much on other 2

The £150 is on, & I will set it all up for Mere shortly.

We can wait & see how much he suggests for the other two bets.

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« Reply #35167 on: March 26, 2013, 08:35:16 AM »

The Trott bet lost in extraordinary circumstances

England were six down just after lunch and that was that

I wake up to see Prior has hit 110 not out over 289 minutes batting, including hitting the ball onto his stumps and the bails not coming off,

and Prior has shepherded the tail to the draw (Broad 6, Anderson 0, Panesar 2 not out), England 9 wickets down!


If anyone was awake that would have been quite the sweat! (for Trott, or if, like me, you had the draw and had given up on it!)
I went to bed with 8 overs left and recorded the rest to watch this morning.Programme overan and the recording cut off at the start of the final over.I was also on NZ
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« Reply #35168 on: March 26, 2013, 08:41:56 AM »

A little snap of some extraordinary diving from Monty to keep his wicket with not many balls to go...

 Click to see full-size image.


And you are right, it was a great sweat.
He dived 3 meters too soon and basically crawled home.
When the Ball hit the stumps but didn't dislodge the bails it looked like the Ball hit the stump which had the Camera is fitted onto, this is visibily thicker than a normal stump.I wonder if this made all the difference?
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tikay
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« Reply #35169 on: March 26, 2013, 08:43:42 AM »

Seems like he is recommending a max.

So £150 @100/30

And £40@10s+  £40@20s+

If bet a wins, you will be in a great spot with the equity for bets b and c

Position reserved & awaits reds, I have taken £40 @ 20/1 with BetVictor, World Series, but will keep the balance for myself if he suggests less.

Ditto the American League, where I have taken £40 @ 12/1 with William Hill.

Single Selections
MLB World Series Winner
Tampa Bay Rays
(World Series Winner 2013)
Odds:  20/1
Stake:  40.00
Possible Return:  840.00



01 Apr 2013 - American League - Outright

Tampa Bay Rays @ 12/1

Stake : £40.00


Estimated Returns : £520.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000337/F



EDIT - these are both confirmed as 100% down to redarmi.
« Last Edit: March 26, 2013, 01:25:26 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #35170 on: March 26, 2013, 08:52:04 AM »


Note, on that Baseball bet, we will now have TWO Teams to win the World Series if Reds confirms his additional bet.

We already have £10 EW on Kansas City Royals @ 80/1, down to singheee. Current price is 66/1.
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« Reply #35171 on: March 26, 2013, 09:02:07 AM »


Daily Report @ 0900, Tuesday March 26th (covering three days)

PROFIT on Month = £902.40

Outstanding bets £704.50


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=22


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« Reply #35172 on: March 26, 2013, 09:20:02 AM »

Daily Summary, @ 0930, Tuesday March 26th (covering three days).

We made Fred history over the last three days - 7 bets completed, ALL 7 LOST.

An eighth bet, on Rugby League, was voided, match postponed, & Sod's Law dictated that hector replaced it with a substitute bet on the Unders in a RU game which won, but I was AWOL & unable to action it.

The loss was.....£155.

It happens, we had value everywhere, variance poked us in the eye, next case. The beauty of being adequately 'rolled, & betting sensibly, within our means, is that these setbacks don't trouble us or cause us angst.  

The Roll of Shame was.....

Gonzaga Bulldogs - what fun that was! -£20.

Anderson, -£40

Trott, -£15

Bell, -£20

Grosjean -£5

Hamilton -£35

Ji-Yai Shin -£20.


So, £75 of that loss was cricket, & another £40 on F1. We are seriously bad at F1, though my Hamilton decision was perhaps ill-judged.

Quite how we bombed all those cricket bets we shall never know, but we did.
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« Reply #35173 on: March 26, 2013, 09:26:50 AM »


On a brighter note......

Our Chess Bet is in tremendous shape, Carlsen is now 1.23, & it is a match with Aronian, who is 5.5. We have Carlsen @ 1.67 ish.

In football, we have £20 @ 12/1 Doncaster to win League One, they are now around 7/4.

We have a bit on Vettel to win the F1 Drivers thing @ 8/5, he is now generally 4/5.

We have two little Banzais on Macclesfield to be promoted from Blue Square Premier, £3 @ 80/1 & £5 @ 50/1, they are now 40/1 tops.
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« Reply #35174 on: March 26, 2013, 09:29:12 AM »


We have nothing at all lined up for today, & hopefully Dubai will be too pre-occupied with Baby Shallow to start putting up any heart-stopping £10,000 @ 1/100 shots, or those dreadful FGS things, on tonights World Cup Qualifying games. Shocking value them.
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