blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 20, 2025, 01:53:37 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
Order through Amazon and help blonde Poker
2262343 Posts in 66605 Topics by 16990 Members
Latest Member: Enut
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay		 0 Members and 16 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 2575 2576 2577 2578 [2579] 2580 2581 2582 2583 ... 9208 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16360728 times)
exstream
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2508


View Profile
« Reply #38670 on: April 22, 2013, 08:06:40 PM »
Benteke to score anytime on pp at 4/1.
Does Fred back special prices blind? It beats bf.
Can be layed too..
Logged
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #38671 on: April 22, 2013, 08:09:52 PM »
Tbf dont often disagree with Channing or Camel and never both in 5 mins but think a max is probably too much. 5/6 under 181.5 bf, we are taking 10/11, we've already agreed Kelly is too aggressive staking wise and that only suggest 3.4% of your roll bet. So if we half it then it becomes a bet of 1.7% of roll- so £51 for 3k roll.
Logged
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #38672 on: April 22, 2013, 08:11:18 PM »
And thats first time ive ever said bet less, but it seems we can easily work out what price we are getting, what price it should be and go from there. Unless we got a reason to believe market is wrong on bf and have a view on the totals (obviously betfair market is pretty weak etc but we'd need a reason to believe that market is gonna move before adjusting probabilties of winning imo)
« Last Edit: April 22, 2013, 08:15:02 PM by Dubai » Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #38673 on: April 22, 2013, 08:11:43 PM »
Quote from: exstream on April 22, 2013, 08:06:40 PM
Benteke to score anytime on pp at 4/1.
Does Fred back special prices blind? It beats bf.
Can be layed too..

PP MAXED me at £1.78, so I never bothered, but thank you.

PS - Wm Hill offer 100/30, same bet.
« Last Edit: April 22, 2013, 08:14:05 PM by tikay » Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #38674 on: April 22, 2013, 08:13:16 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on April 22, 2013, 08:09:52 PM
Tbf dont often disagree with Channing or Camel and never both in 5 mins but think a max is probably too much. 5/6 under 181.5 bf, we are taking 10/11, we've already agreed Kelly is too aggressive staking wise and that only suggest 3.4% of your roll bet. So if we half it then it becomes a bet of 1.7% of roll- so £51 for 3k roll.

We had £70.78, so I bet £26 MORE than Dubai suggests.

I AM A CONFIRMED DEGEN LEGEND.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TL900
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2418



View Profile
« Reply #38675 on: April 22, 2013, 08:14:14 PM »
181 definitely isn't massively out of line.

Totals in games involving these 2 teams this season:

In Memphis : 172, 178

In LA : 193, 181, 203(game 1 of playoffs).

Its in LA tonight.

No injuries to speak of from either side the total is never gona be too far out pregame when they have played numerous times this season
Logged
@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #38676 on: April 22, 2013, 08:15:45 PM »
Will add ive got zero opinion on over/under on the total. Just doing some rough maths
Logged
the sicilian
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7089



View Profile
« Reply #38677 on: April 22, 2013, 08:23:06 PM »
Quote from: TL900 on April 22, 2013, 08:14:14 PM
181 definitely isn't massively out of line.

Totals in games involving these 2 teams this season:

In Memphis : 172, 178

In LA : 193, 181, 203(game 1 of playoffs).

Its in LA tonight.

No injuries to speak of from either side the total is never gona be too far out pregame when they have played numerous times this season

Tbh think my nets 1st qtr bet is best Smiley
Logged
Just because you don't like it...... It doesn't mean it's not the truth
Junior Senior
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4628



View Profile
« Reply #38678 on: April 22, 2013, 08:31:30 PM »
The dog I got a strong tip on is Droopys Alfie in 20:37 at Notts. just looked on BF and its 1.3 lol
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16730


View Profile
« Reply #38679 on: April 22, 2013, 08:32:54 PM »
Quote from: Junior Senior on April 22, 2013, 08:31:30 PM
The dog I got a strong tip on is Droopys Alfie in 20:37 at Notts. just looked on BF and its 1.3 lol

It is a very early price, 4 are less than evens.  Need to give it some time.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #38680 on: April 22, 2013, 08:34:00 PM »
Quote from: Junior Senior on April 22, 2013, 08:31:30 PM
The dog I got a strong tip on is Droopys Alfie in 20:37 at Notts. just looked on BF and its 1.3 lol

No market. Look back 3/4 mins before off and go from there.
Logged
Junior Senior
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4628



View Profile
« Reply #38681 on: April 22, 2013, 08:36:45 PM »
Betting SP is that track price?
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16730


View Profile
« Reply #38682 on: April 22, 2013, 08:39:12 PM »
Quote from: Junior Senior on April 22, 2013, 08:36:45 PM
Betting SP is that track price?

Nah, betfair SP.

Just do as Dubai says.  wait til close to the off
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17074


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #38683 on: April 22, 2013, 08:42:19 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on April 22, 2013, 08:09:52 PM
Tbf dont often disagree with Channing or Camel and never both in 5 mins but think a max is probably too much. 5/6 under 181.5 bf, we are taking 10/11, we've already agreed Kelly is too aggressive staking wise and that only suggest 3.4% of your roll bet. So if we half it then it becomes a bet of 1.7% of roll- so £51 for 3k roll.

Wasn't saying I thought it was a max bet, just saying why Neil thought it was a max bet.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #38684 on: April 22, 2013, 08:43:11 PM »
Nah i was disagreeing with ur 100/30 terrible value should be 5/1 about Utd winning by 1 goal mate
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 2575 2576 2577 2578 [2579] 2580 2581 2582 2583 ... 9208 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.222 seconds with 20 queries.