Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Total number of tipsters: 117

An incredibly pleasing stat.

Much of Fred is about blonde, which Tighty & I need to help promote, so we will continue to widen our range of tipsters.

Some of our more recent additions have been excellent, & we are building a really good team here.

[tikay]

Finally, huge thanks to Mere for all the work he does on the Spready. Without him, Fred would be like Zed.

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

Daily Report @ 8.15am, 2nd May (covers 2 days)


We lost precisely £5 yesterday. Two bets, we ended 1-1.

 

[tikay]

Daily Summary, 0830, Friday May 3rd

A £25 FGS bet went awry, when our lad forgot the script & scored "Anytime". Bastard.

hector chipped in nicely though, with his 195th Fred bet, so we nicked £20 back. 

You might be interested to know (or not....) that our three most prolific tipsters - by number of bets placed - are.....

hector - 195 bets

Tighty - 161 bets

horsey - 110 bets.

All three of them have a positive ROI.

Elsewhere, Chelsea made the Europa League Final last night. We have no direct interest in that, but it is good for two unrelated football bets we have.

We had a bet on yesterday's Elections which is looking "very promising".

In the snooker, our saver on Walden might just save us. How I missed Ronnie is a whole other story.

[typhoon13]

Note that overall profit on horses of £882.54 until the end of March has now become a loss of £58.52.

Amazing, we just ran into the perfect storm.

To be honest, I'd do every one again, in the identical circumstances.

Tikay the one race was what caused the majority of damage.

That race was a hunter chase, on Wednesday Cheltenham held its annual evening of hunter chases, there were 7 races and the favourite got turned over in all 7 races including  a 100/1 qnd 50/1 winner.

Now the race you lost on was exceedingly unlucky, the maths and mechanics were sound, if you were to of found and had more similar bets to that one without doubt you would be in profit but also most of your accounts would be closed.

The bet was correct and if you dwell on it your whole judgement will be clouded.

[Tonji]

Giro d'Italia starts tomorrow until the 26th.

"The toughest race in the world's most beautiful place"



Excited, me, yep 

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=59962.msg1764512#msg1764512

Plenty of betting opportunities. All welcome to get involved

[tikay]

Note that overall profit on horses of £882.54 until the end of March has now become a loss of £58.52.

Amazing, we just ran into the perfect storm.

To be honest, I'd do every one again, in the identical circumstances.

Tikay the one race was what caused the majority of damage.

That race was a hunter chase, on Wednesday Cheltenham held its annual evening of hunter chases, there were 7 races and the favourite got turned over in all 7 races including  a 100/1 qnd 50/1 winner.

Now the race you lost on was exceedingly unlucky, the maths and mechanics were sound, if you were to of found and had more similar bets to that one without doubt you would be in profit but also most of your accounts would be closed.

The bet was correct and if you dwell on it your whole judgement will be clouded.

Thanks Trev.

I was not "dwelling on it" in any negative way. There have been some negative comments (elsewhere) about our bad month, & I was simply putting things in context.

I think it is good - essential - to self-examine with hindsight, that will never change, but it does not always mean we got it wrong. As I noted earlier, I'd do that bet again tomorrow given the chance. It was a superb bet, but nothing is ever guaranteed.

Basketball, I'm not so sure what to do in truth. We'd need a whole lot of £50 winners @ Evens or 10/11 to get out of that hole!

[TightEnd]

So far in the UK elections the UKIP has polled 26% of the vote in wards where it had a candidate

It has won 42 seats, about 75% from the conservatives. Furthermore the UKIP has come second in 85 wards which no doubt in the home of Nigel Farage has elicited sclerotic cries of "crossbar!" on numerous occasions

Current expectation, with the rest of the results to come through today, is that the UKIP will poll about 20% of the national vote, which would make the thread bet a winner.

I have moved from "hopeful" to "confident" on my swing-o-meter.

The press, and Westminster, is full of "this is a seismic change and what a "surprise" this all is

Not to budding psephologists, as you now all are, it isn't

[tikay]

Giro d'Italia starts tomorrow until the 26th.

"The toughest race in the world's most beautiful place"



Excited, me, yep 

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=59962.msg1764512#msg1764512

Plenty of betting opportunities. All welcome to get involved

I'd love Fred to get involved, I'll take a look, thanks.

[TightEnd]

In cricket yesterday we suffered a setback when Durham chases 180 in 25 overs to beat Notts

We have Durham to finish bottom, but they manifestly helped prove the theory that fourth inning chases are much more possible these days with the advent of T20. Even five years ago, a team wouldn't have attempted to chase down 180 in 25, and would have taken the draw


Meanwhile, having scored 475 first up, Derbyshire lost by an innings to Yorks. Derbyshire are the rival team to anyone else to finish bottom

This was the largest ever total batting first by a side losing by an innings in cricket history


Why might this be so?

Well, playing conditions in the LVCC have gone from one extreme to the other. Last year with no heavy rollers sides were being skittled out and it was only appalling weather all summer that kept us cleaning up on result wickets

Because it was so one-sdied administrators brought back heavy rollers this year. At the startof play, and at each innings change, the roller rumbles up the strip. Result is the pitch is completely dead for much of games (helped by cloudless skies, currently). Which is why they were banned in the first place

So  in the Derbyshire game we had 475 plays 675 then Derbyshire fell over having been in the field for 2 days


Not easy running English cricket

[tikay]

Doooooobs - recommending £25 at 5/1 Nakhi, who you think should be a 9-2 shot? Not much of an edge in a FGS market?

Tote/Baldfred are holding the 9/2 about Aidan having no UK Classic winners this year. Apparently they're not taking big bets any more but...GET ON!

Be surprised if Hannon or Bolger don't win the 2000, and he's got an 8-1 shot and a 33-1 outsider in the 1000.

9/2 is so so wrong.

OK, we are now MAXED on this coup.

We have another £50 @ 9/2.

£50 @ 9/2, Totesport, Aiden O'Brien to have NO Classic Winners in 2013. (Deemed to mean "none in the UK").

ON

2013 A O'Brien Trained Classic Winners
Time: 04-05-2013 15:00
BS_MARKET: WIN ONLY
Selection: None @ 9/2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Your Bets Win Single: None
1 line at £50.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential Return: £275.00
No: O/0849138/0000005

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Total stake:£50.00Free bets/vouchers:£0.00Total cost:£50.00

[TightEnd]

Polling expert Professor John Curtice has been number-crunching UKIP's performances. He tells the BBC its share of the vote was 27% in Essex and 25% in Hampshire. In Lincolnshire it was 24%. The party took 22% of votes in Dorset, 20% in Somerset and 16% in Gloucestershire.

Here's a face we can all love.

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

A new month, a few winners and Freds atrabilious feelings are but a distant memory.

A lot of rugby tonight and it has been hard to decide on the best bet for you. I decided to concentrate on the rugby league as the RabPro union matches could be confused by teams with nothing to play for.

I reduced it down to 2 possible bets. In the St Helens/Widnes game I think Widnes are a good bet @ 7-1. They will not have a better chance of beating their rivals as St Helens are in a bad way. No form and injuries make them vulnerable. But it does require Widnes to actually believe in themselves and that is no guarantee away from home. I am still smarting from the 84-6 loser that I gave, but I will back them myself for a small amount and have a bigger bet on the Leeds game.

I think Bradford/Leeds will be low scoring. My opinion on Leeds is well documented on Fred, their attack is not great, but they may have the best defence around. We can get low on points at 52 which is worthwhile doing. Only 3 of Bradfords games have gone over 50 points this season, 2 of them being big wins over 2 bad sides. In their last game against Leeds it ended in an 18-18 draw. So with the better team playing away, and being a local derby this all looks like a low scorer.

Suggest £24 under 52 points @ 5/6 with William Hill.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

A new month, a few winners and Freds atrabilious feelings are but a distant memory.

A lot of rugby tonight and it has been hard to decide on the best bet for you. I decided to concentrate on the rugby league as the RabPro union matches could be confused by teams with nothing to play for.

I reduced it down to 2 possible bets. In the St Helens/Widnes game I think Widnes are a good bet @ 7-1. They will not have a better chance of beating their rivals as St Helens are in a bad way. No form and injuries make them vulnerable. But it does require Widnes to actually believe in themselves and that is no guarantee away from home. I am still smarting from the 84-6 loser that I gave, but I will back them myself for a small amount and have a bigger bet on the Leeds game.

I think Bradford/Leeds will be low scoring. My opinion on Leeds is well documented on Fred, their attack is not great, but they may have the best defence around. We can get low on points at 52 which is worthwhile doing. Only 3 of Bradfords games have gone over 50 points this season, 2 of them being big wins over 2 bad sides. In their last game against Leeds it ended in an 18-18 draw. So with the better team playing away, and being a local derby this all looks like a low scorer.

Suggest £24 under 52 points @ 5/6 with William Hill.

Thanks hector.

Ooh, another new word for my collection.

Atrabilious - adjective 1. gloomy; morose; melancholy ; morbid. 2. irritable; bad-tempered; splenetic

Incidentally, have you noticed how the natives pronounce "Bradford"? - they substitute the first "d" with a "t". Bratford. Most odd. I shall have a small off-thread tickle on Widnes, but Fred is too nitty, & will proceed as recommended.

£24 @ 5/6, Wm Hill, UNDER 52 points, Bradford v Leeds.

ON

03 May 2013 - Bradford v Leeds - Total Match Points

Under 52 @ 5/6

Stake : £24.00


Estimated Returns : £44.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000405/F

[TightEnd]

Must habe a real chance with trump. Neither playing well but trump is further away from his best and is still 6 6