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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16521183 times)
tikay
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« Reply #41505 on: May 22, 2013, 07:40:34 PM »


Lancs ended with 244 , & hit FOUR sixes.

So we need two sixes from Hants to get home.
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« Reply #41506 on: May 22, 2013, 07:41:00 PM »

Toooooooo slow.

Beaten by a whole minute.
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« Reply #41507 on: May 22, 2013, 08:00:47 PM »

bet suggestion

over 4 cards @ 33/20 with ladbrokes in the champions league final with ladbrokes

suggest £44

reasoning to follow tonight/later
Haha incred

I was going to put the exact same bet up and myself and Dubai have been waiting for other prices since we knew who the ref was earlier this week and 30mins before HP put up this bet have placed a big bet by my standards on it as I'm sure he would confirm.

Here are his season stats http://www.soccerway.com/referees/nicola-rizzoli/44754/


I would also recc 20% so £8 of the bet on "Sending off in match" @ 7/2 Hills

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/bor-dortmund-v-bayern-munich/sending-off-in-match

reasoning being this ref has sent off 9 players this season in 26 games and also the price seems very generic plus the other way of playing the bookings market was over 45 bookings points with Billy Hills at 11/8 (next best price) but by playing the sending off market for £8 we book a good win when the make up is 4 yellow+ and a red card and lose a small amount of equity if there are 5 yellows and no reds.

Recc £8 Sending off @ 7/2
Not sure if you missed this Tikay but Mr S tells me that after we have been waiting for prices to get on since the start of the week this was a headline tip in today's RP

Ooh, well reminded. I had forgotten it, but safely aboard now, thanks both to you, & Mr Jamie Shallow.

£8 @ 7/2, Wm Hill, Red Card in CL Final, Saturday.

ON

25 May 2013 - Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich - Red Card In The Match?

Tip It

Yes @ 7/2

Stake : £8.00


Estimated Returns : £

36.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000439/F


15/4 with BV. Their market worded differently as sending off in final
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« Reply #41508 on: May 22, 2013, 08:24:19 PM »

Toooooooo slow.

Beaten by a whole minute.

That's what happens when you type with one finger.
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« Reply #41509 on: May 22, 2013, 08:29:56 PM »

Six sixes with 32 overs to spare.
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« Reply #41510 on: May 22, 2013, 08:41:47 PM »

Toooooooo slow.

Beaten by a whole minute.

That's what happens when you type with one finger.

Denied. I use a different finger for the return key.
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« Reply #41511 on: May 22, 2013, 08:42:33 PM »

Six sixes with 32 overs to spare.

Great bet by Nick.
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« Reply #41512 on: May 22, 2013, 09:13:02 PM »

After last weeks Premier League Darts Final the top 8 Darts Players in the PDC rankings are in Dubai this week for a new Tournament.
Format is best of 21 Legs in each match which is Knockout.

James Wade (3) v Simon Whitlock
 Adrian Lewis (2) v Raymond van Barneveld
 Michael van Gerwen (4) v Wes Newton
 Phil Taylor (1) v Andy Hamilton

Now all these matches have been priced up as if it was played in any of the PLD venues but their is one thing that's lets say slightly different

 Click to see full-size image.


Yes, it's outside.
It's going to be about 33 degrees, very humid and also a little breezy.

http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/dubai

Until today we were only getting Live covergae on the Semis and Final but now Eurosport are showing tomorrow nights Quarter Final and thats sprung the bookies into action.

First up we have Wade v Lewis who met in a semi final at the Ally Palace 2 years ago and walked off stage because of a  draft.I have seen Lewis moan about this on at least 2 occasions so it interests me how he will manage playing in 18mph winds?
I have seen somene on Twitter who works with the Broadcast and has been in Dubai since Monday say their will defo be a Breeze on stage.The Temperature and Humidity is also a Bonus.It will feel like 40 degrees.

Below is the matches and weight of each Dart for every Player I could find

James Wade 19g v Simon Whitlock 22g
 Adrian Lewis 21gv Raymond van Barneveld 25g
 Michael van Gerwen 25g v Wes Newton n/a
 Phil Taylor 26g v Andy Hamilton 23g

Now Victor Chandler have priced up match averages and to be honest I see value in all of them but some more than others
Wade under 97.5 @5/6 looks big even before we take into account the Venue as his form has dropped a bit of late but considering he has previous for complaing about drafts and has the lightest Darts then this looks to be the best bet of the Night.
Next best would be Lewis under 95.5 @4/5 I have seen Lewis on more than one occasion complain about slight breezes in Indoor Arenas so lets see how this effects him.

For what it's worth I have singled and doubled Wade and Lewis to go under their average line and done trebles and accas on others.
A four fold is the max you can do as you can't put Players in the same match on the one line.

I dare say going under on Players/Match 180's could be an angle to.

I would also suggest taking Whitlock at 11/10 with Victors as this should be odds on.

« Last Edit: May 22, 2013, 09:25:25 PM by Snowball » Logged
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« Reply #41513 on: May 22, 2013, 09:20:00 PM »

I'm going to do this...

 



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« Reply #41514 on: May 22, 2013, 09:43:24 PM »

Not sure what part of Oz Whitlock is from but I would imagine heat like this will be easier for him to acclimatise to than the rest, and also looks to be one of the "fittest" in this line up, which must help.

Love the bet
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« Reply #41515 on: May 22, 2013, 09:53:55 PM »

Preview of our UFC bet for the weekend.

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« Reply #41516 on: May 22, 2013, 09:56:08 PM »

Loving the look of those darts bets. Absolutely on.
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« Reply #41517 on: May 22, 2013, 10:19:41 PM »

After last weeks Premier League Darts Final the top 8 Darts Players in the PDC rankings are in Dubai this week for a new Tournament.
Format is best of 21 Legs in each match which is Knockout.

James Wade (3) v Simon Whitlock
 Adrian Lewis (2) v Raymond van Barneveld
 Michael van Gerwen (4) v Wes Newton
 Phil Taylor (1) v Andy Hamilton

Now all these matches have been priced up as if it was played in any of the PLD venues but their is one thing that's lets say slightly different

 Click to see full-size image.


Yes, it's outside.
It's going to be about 33 degrees, very humid and also a little breezy.

http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/dubai

Until today we were only getting Live covergae on the Semis and Final but now Eurosport are showing tomorrow nights Quarter Final and thats sprung the bookies into action.

First up we have Wade v Lewis who met in a semi final at the Ally Palace 2 years ago and walked off stage because of a  draft.I have seen Lewis moan about this on at least 2 occasions so it interests me how he will manage playing in 18mph winds?
I have seen somene on Twitter who works with the Broadcast and has been in Dubai since Monday say their will defo be a Breeze on stage.The Temperature and Humidity is also a Bonus.It will feel like 40 degrees.

Below is the matches and weight of each Dart for every Player I could find

James Wade 19g v Simon Whitlock 22g
 Adrian Lewis 21gv Raymond van Barneveld 25g
 Michael van Gerwen 25g v Wes Newton n/a
 Phil Taylor 26g v Andy Hamilton 23g

Now Victor Chandler have priced up match averages and to be honest I see value in all of them but some more than others
Wade under 97.5 @5/6 looks big even before we take into account the Venue as his form has dropped a bit of late but considering he has previous for complaing about drafts and has the lightest Darts then this looks to be the best bet of the Night.
Next best would be Lewis under 95.5 @4/5 I have seen Lewis on more than one occasion complain about slight breezes in Indoor Arenas so lets see how this effects him.

For what it's worth I have singled and doubled Wade and Lewis to go under their average line and done trebles and accas on others.
A four fold is the max you can do as you can't put Players in the same match on the one line.

I dare say going under on Players/Match 180's could be an angle to.

I would also suggest taking Whitlock at 11/10 with Victors as this should be odds on.



Fatastic Snowy, thank you. You've put a lot of research & work into that & ignored gut feel.

The Darts bets you give us (Bazza, too) are excellent, & we so have pushed the boat out a bit here, as you never suggested stakes, so we've speculated a rather monsta £160 in total, across three bets.  I've ignored the dubs, trebs & accas, as per usual. Nit rules & all that.

These are all with BetVictor, & all on the "Dubai Duty Free" jobbie.

Lewis 3 Dart Ave, v Barney, £50 @ 4/5

Wade 3 Dart Ave, v Whitlock, £60 @ 5/6

Whitlock to beat Wade, £50 @ 11/10

ON


22/05/2013 GBP 50.00 Single: UNDER 95.5 @ 4/5

Betid 31842759600 Time: 22:39 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 50.00

Adrian Lewis v Raymond Van Barneveld Dubai Duty Free Masters 2013 Matches
3-Dart Average - Adrian Lewis

Under 95.5

4/5

 
______


Returns: £0.00 22/05/2013 GBP 60.00 Single: UNDER 97.5 @ 5/6

Betid 31842750500 Time: 22:38 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 60.00

James Wade v Simon Whitlock Dubai Duty Free Masters 2013 Matches
3-Dart Average - James Wade

Under 97.5

5/6

Win only


___________


Returns: £0.00 22/05/2013 GBP 50.00 Single: SIMON WHITLOCK @ 11/10

Betid 31842740800 Time: 22:37 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 50.00

James Wade v Simon Whitlock Dubai Duty Free Masters 2013 Matches
Match Betting - Match

Simon Whitlock

11/10

 
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« Reply #41518 on: May 22, 2013, 10:27:48 PM »

Had me sold at the weather report tbh

9½/10.

Would have got the full house for some isobars.
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« Reply #41519 on: May 22, 2013, 10:33:15 PM »

No problem, lets hope it all goes to Plan.
I wouldn't normally do trebles and upwards but I just feel it could turn into a bit of a farce if the Wind gets into the Oche.
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