Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

While we are in racing mode Mr Chompy.

Been looking at the Oaks again today, and the only perceived value I can still see is Mr Beckett's other horse Talent. On collateral form lines SG lost its first race to Lady Nouf, but Talent beat her in the Pretty Polly. Talent is 16s still

I know that form lines can lead you up garden paths between 2-3 year olds, and so wondered if your original recommend was based on any inside knowledge of one working x amount better than the other?

I don't think Talent will stay and also there's a good chance the occasion will get the better of her. She pulled hard in the Pretty Polly and was always in the right place in a race in which the first three were rated in the 80s. Can't have her at all, but just opinion obv.

[BigAdz]

Ok mate. Understood. Cheers.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

A bad tennis bet yesterday but when I went to the bookies in the afternoon and read the Racing Post I saw that their tennis bod had recommended the exact same bet so it can't have been truly awful. However I would like to give a gentle nudge to Mr Tightend about the forthcoming Lions tour. I feel we should place the series bet before next Saturday when the tour begins. I believe he likes Australia to win 2-1, I am happier with just Australia to win so a bit of discussion may be needed.

Australia 11/8 Lions 8/11, roughly

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/series-winner

I think the Aussies will have too much gas out wide for the Lions, assuming they obtain parity up front

Given that 2-1 Australia is only a 5-2 shot,

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/series-correct-score

I do think it should be 2-1 either way, can't see either team winning 3-0


I am happy to go with your thoughts Ernie.


I am still big on the Welsh players market, over 7.5 at Evens

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/number-of-starting-welsh-players

Sitting here today I have

Warburton
Halfpenny
North
Phillips
Faletau
Adam Jones
Alun Wyn Jones
Hibbard

as good things for the Test team

and can make cases for Tipuric, Cuthbert, Jamie Roberts, Gethin Jenkins too

7.5 strikes me as on the low side

Obviously injuries, form etc are the usual risks

Your thoughts on that one Hector?

Thanks Rich.

"Over 7.5 Welsh players at Evens".

Best I can see is 1.83?

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/number-of-starting-welsh-players

Also, how does that bet work? Is it JUST the first game?

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/rugby-union/lions-tour-outrights?ev_oc_grp_ids=1228235

First Test Only

Hector reckons 7 or 8 (ie 5/6 each of two is not worth the bet, as the bookie is taking the turn out of an even money bet)

I think 9 or 10 is perfectly possible

5/6 or 1.833 is the best price, as you say, on the link above


Most starters Wales is a 1/5 shot (I am on at 1/4)

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/rugby-union/lions-tour-outrights?ev_oc_grp_ids=1228302

This is buying money, its a 1/10 shot but I am sure you have better uses of £100 or so rather than tieing it up til 23 June at 1/5.

We did not do very well with this......Paddy Power restricted us to £7.50, (well, £7.92, but I prefer roundish numbers) & Bet 365 restricted us to £3.75! Anyway, fwiw, we took both, so we have a bit of interest. Nobody else seems to be offering these Markets.

OVER 7.5 Welsh players in First Lions Test, £7.50 @ 5/6, Paddy Power.

OVER 7.5 Welsh players in First Lions Test, £3.75 @ 4/5, Bet365

ON


27/05/2013

Single To Win

Over @ 5/6
Number of Starting Welsh Players(7.5)
First Test Starting Welsh Players

Pending

£7.50

 _______

Over 7.5 @ 4/5
£3.75  Single

27/05/2013 11:26:51

3.75

0.00

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

A bad tennis bet yesterday but when I went to the bookies in the afternoon and read the Racing Post I saw that their tennis bod had recommended the exact same bet so it can't have been truly awful. However I would like to give a gentle nudge to Mr Tightend about the forthcoming Lions tour. I feel we should place the series bet before next Saturday when the tour begins. I believe he likes Australia to win 2-1, I am happier with just Australia to win so a bit of discussion may be needed.

Australia 11/8 Lions 8/11, roughly

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/series-winner

I think the Aussies will have too much gas out wide for the Lions, assuming they obtain parity up front

Given that 2-1 Australia is only a 5-2 shot,

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/series-correct-score

I do think it should be 2-1 either way, can't see either team winning 3-0


I am happy to go with your thoughts Ernie.


I am still big on the Welsh players market, over 7.5 at Evens

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/number-of-starting-welsh-players

Sitting here today I have

Warburton
Halfpenny
North
Phillips
Faletau
Adam Jones
Alun Wyn Jones
Hibbard

as good things for the Test team

and can make cases for Tipuric, Cuthbert, Jamie Roberts, Gethin Jenkins too

7.5 strikes me as on the low side

Obviously injuries, form etc are the usual risks

Your thoughts on that one Hector?

Best price I could get by far was with Betfair, but I first had to transfer funds from my "normal" wallet to my Australian wallet, what a palaver.

Anyway, we have plunged a little on this......

£100 @ 2.48, Betfair, Australia to win the Series v the Lions.

ON

Australia

Ref: 2815909972  Total bet  2.48  £100.00  £148.00  

[tikay]

Round five of the chess Grand Prix in Thessaloniki starts at 12:

http://www.marathonbet.com/en/betting/Chess

Here are the standings after four rounds:

Click to see full-size image.

The tournament has had a fair few surprises so far. One of the players who has slipped under the radar a little is Vessilin Topalov, who looks like he's been drawing a lot. However, he has been playing progressively more aggressively and taking more risks, in an effort to challenge at the top. He's playing strongly and looks to be in the best shape he's been in since he challenged for the world title.

He plays the cricket-loving Russian, Peter Svidler, who seems capable of anything.

On Saturday, Svidler lost to the bottom seed and Topalov smashed the capitulating Ivanchuk. A rest day can help but I think there is some value in Topalov at 7.3 with the black pieces. The draw at 1.4 is too short (it is entirely correct that the draw is favourite, but the styles of these players and the tournament situation suggests a win from either would enable the tourney to take shape) and Topalov's style of preferring to attack with pieces rather than with pawns tends to mean the game will be decided early (it either ends decisively or it fizzles out to a drawn position).

He's missed a few chances from good positions but he is getting there to miss those chances and I like the look of Topalov in this one.

Recommend £10 on Vessilin Topalov to beat Peter Svidler at 7.3 with Marathon bet.

Can't resist a crosstable, thanks Simon.


£10 @ 31/5, Marathon Bet, Topalov to beat Svidler.

ON


#3
Bet Source: Web

Single @ £10.00 (£10.00)
Total Price: 31/5
12:00 Chess / FIDE Grand Prix / Thessaloniki / Men / Round 5 / Svidler, Peter vs Topalov, Veselin / Result - Topalov, Veselin @ 31/5

[Marky147]

Oioi!! See Tampa Bay Rays smashed the Yankees up last night 8-3

[TightEnd]

Oioi!! See Tampa Bay Rays smashed the Yankees up last night 8-3

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/baseball/mlb/standings/?eref=sinav

the Rays remain 5 games behind the Yankees

The Royals have slid away too, lost 5 on the trot and are 6.5 behind the zillionaire Tigers

Both are looking like long shots from here, though in the AL east especially a run of winning 24 of 30 say will propel any team up because in inter-division play all the teams beat each other up quite regularly

[BigAdz]

Betfred settled Shinn bet.....with a little nudge I must add

[Marky147]

Oioi!! See Tampa Bay Rays smashed the Yankees up last night 8-3

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/baseball/mlb/standings/?eref=sinav

the Rays remain 5 games behind the Yankees

The Royals have slid away too, lost 5 on the trot and are 6.5 behind the zillionaire Tigers

Both are looking like long shots from here, though in the AL east especially a run of winning 24 of 30 say will propel any team up because in inter-division play all the teams beat each other up quite regularly

What about our cover bet on the Red Sox Tighty?

[TightEnd]

Oioi!! See Tampa Bay Rays smashed the Yankees up last night 8-3

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/baseball/mlb/standings/?eref=sinav

the Rays remain 5 games behind the Yankees

The Royals have slid away too, lost 5 on the trot and are 6.5 behind the zillionaire Tigers

Both are looking like long shots from here, though in the AL east especially a run of winning 24 of 30 say will propel any team up because in inter-division play all the teams beat each other up quite regularly

What about our cover bet on the Red Sox Tighty?

In decent shape

Could win the division, currently in a wild card if they don't

The surprise is the form of the Yankees who are badly injury hit but still top.

[TightEnd]

why are we still batting in the Test Match?

429 ahead, five sessions to go

weather around tomorrow

Win 2-0 gets you more points in the WTC than 1-0


Baffled.

[ripple11]

why are we still batting in the Test Match?

429 ahead, five sessions to go

weather around tomorrow

Win 2-0 gets you more points in the WTC than 1-0


Baffled.

Silly...heavy rain tomorrow forcasted....the draw is going to go fav very soon!

[ripple11]

Raining in Manchester says Bumble....right I'm on the draw !

[TightEnd]

This is why the draw has gone odds on

Red button is Leeds..

Click to see full-size image.

[Tal]

Start the canopy!