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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16746697 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #42090 on: May 30, 2013, 11:21:43 AM »

Sporting Gesture position looks fine to me

Might consider Moth to cover the Aidan O'Brien stake back. Would probably let the Derby ride and hope Dawn Approach wins
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« Reply #42091 on: May 30, 2013, 11:22:32 AM »

We are in a world of anti-pain obv.

It's just whether you want to take the Camel route, tough it out and not urinate on a pile of bricks, or gay-green it to cover your steak?

The choice is yours.

Second maximum bet of the season coming on Saturday and I'll make sure I post this one. Oi oi!

Sod that, I'm, not taking the heat, abuse here is reserved for Adzy, not me.

YOU decide!

Shame on you Tikay.

Transplant patient six months in, and ur happy to let me be bullied to save your own ass.......shame on you.

Leave it out, I was told you were busy tupping yesterday. If you are fit enough to tup, you are fit enough to be abused.


As I said before. We have been together 9 years. Midweek tupping is no longer acceptable to Mrs C unless my birthday is on a weekday....
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tikay
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« Reply #42092 on: May 30, 2013, 11:22:58 AM »

FML, like getting blood out of a stone, getting Chompy to make a decision.

Bit exciting watching the Oaks tomorrow, with all that profit coming our way. If it is close when they round Tattenham Corner, might need to don my nappy. Accidents can happen when excited.
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« Reply #42093 on: May 30, 2013, 11:23:17 AM »

Sporting Gesture position looks fine to me

Might consider Moth to cover the Aidan O'Brien stake back. Would probably let the Derby ride and hope Dawn Approach wins


Plus one
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« Reply #42094 on: May 30, 2013, 11:24:29 AM »

In situations like this I look for bets (against my original position) that I perceive as +EV (standard), neutral EV (a bet I wouldn't normally make owing to senseless volatility, but that increases my utility in such an instance by decreasing exposure with no reduction in £EV), and even bets where I have a slightly -ve £ expectation (for the same reasons as the neutral EV bets are considered).

The first two basically should be enacted. The latter is a matter of personal preference.

Sorry, overly technical, but essentially what I'm saying is have a look if we can get decent each-way prices in the Derby.

EDIT: I know I took about Moth....that was because I perceived it as a bet with a +ve expectation, and it obviously had the corollary of an implied decrease in volatility.
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« Reply #42095 on: May 30, 2013, 11:24:57 AM »

It's just whether you want to take the Camel route, tough it out and not urinate on a pile of bricks, or gay-green it to cover your steak?


I'm going to get technical for a second...

What the actual fudge does any of this mean?

"Gay-green it to cover your steak" There are barely two adjacent words that make sense in that.

Must be the language of Punterese. Would someone (straight talking Adz? Art clobbering Tikay? Wembley-bound Sir T of E?) play cunning linguist and help a monoglot out, please?
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« Reply #42096 on: May 30, 2013, 11:27:23 AM »

If to tup is to engage in sheep copulation, what amounts to tuppence?
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« Reply #42097 on: May 30, 2013, 11:29:29 AM »

On the subject of e-w darts in the Derby, its quite a good e/w race isn't it

Chopin stood out for me, 3rd highest rated, 10-1


but will defer to the racing experts, and Chompy.
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tikay
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« Reply #42098 on: May 30, 2013, 11:30:24 AM »

It's just whether you want to take the Camel route, tough it out and not urinate on a pile of bricks, or gay-green it to cover your steak?


I'm going to get technical for a second...

What the actual fudge does any of this mean?

"Gay-green it to cover your steak" There are barely two adjacent words that make sense in that.
Must be the language of Punterese. Would someone (straight talking Adz? Art clobbering Tikay? Wembley-bound Sir T of E?) play cunning linguist and help a monoglot out, please?


Chompy comes from the Fens, what do you expect?
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« Reply #42099 on: May 30, 2013, 11:32:05 AM »

In situations like this I look for bets (against my original position) that I perceive as +EV (standard), neutral EV (a bet I wouldn't normally make owing to senseless volatility, but that increases my utility in such an instance by decreasing exposure with no reduction in £EV), and even bets where I have a slightly -ve £ expectation (for the same reasons as the neutral EV bets are considered).

The first two basically should be enacted. The latter is a matter of personal preference.

Sorry, overly technical, but essentially what I'm saying is have a look if we can get decent each-way prices in the Derby.

EDIT: I know I took about Moth....that was because I perceived it as a bet with a +ve expectation, and it obviously had the corollary of an implied decrease in volatility.



Just lol.
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« Reply #42100 on: May 30, 2013, 11:46:21 AM »

On the subject of e-w darts in the Derby, its quite a good e/w race isn't it

Chopin stood out for me, 3rd highest rated, 10-1


but will defer to the racing experts, and Chompy.
seems hard for it to be bad, especially if combined with one of the money-back if wins on the win part
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« Reply #42101 on: May 30, 2013, 11:49:32 AM »

It's just whether you want to take the Camel route, tough it out and not urinate on a pile of bricks, or gay-green it to cover your steak?

What the actual fudge does any of this mean?

"Gay-green it to cover your steak" There are barely two adjacent words that make sense in that.


Smiley

Ima not sure what to do with my Adrian bet at the mo tbh. Listen, I'm still not sure Moth will handle the track or stay but, listen, I've already had a cover bet on he'm having one Classic winner. Think I'll just watch and shout "Fk off Moth, gtfo Mothy" and so on.

Obv thread's worst result would be a Moth win and a Gesture unplace.

Think you just have to don the pampers and suck this one up tbh.
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« Reply #42102 on: May 30, 2013, 12:06:27 PM »

did you speak to Betfred about voiding the other Ms Shin please?

You didn't. Could you do so though? I have spreadsheet OCD.

ty
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tikay
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« Reply #42103 on: May 30, 2013, 12:10:39 PM »

did you speak to Betfred about voiding the other Ms Shin please?

You didn't. Could you do so though? I have spreadsheet OCD.

ty

How do you know that?

I resent that.
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« Reply #42104 on: May 30, 2013, 12:13:21 PM »


By sheer coincidence, I am speaking to BetFred Customer Chat (David D) right now.

What were the chances of that?
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