Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Vallarta...beat none home, useless mincebag. You can't eat valoo.

U can eat horse tho. All that one's good for

Note to self: Virgin Atlantic's lasagne is to be avoided

[JaffaCake]

In non Chompy is a bent bookie news, the NBA Finals start tonight. I've written a preview for BettingOn here: http://bettingon.com/articles/2013/06/04/nba-finals-2013-betting-preview

Would love to rec a bet to give u a sweat but as one of my mates told me the other day when he text me to say we should bet on Lampard to score anytime as he'll be keen to get the Chelsea record (and he did) I've become a 'value bore' and nothing looks that exciting. The MVP market interests me, if only because the prices are better that betting on the team, yet Miami can't win without LeBron being MVP, and the Spurs can't win unless Parker or Duncan are MVP. Duncan at 8/1 I could make a case for...but not that much of one.

One of those sporting events that no bet is best idea I think, at least for now

[Tonji]

Dauphine Stage 5.

Open stage but some decent value.

Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner

Sorry busy, more detail later

[tikay]

Dauphine Stage 5.

Open stage but some decent value.

Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner

Sorry busy, more detail later

Stage 5, or Stage 6?

The link takes me to Stage 6 prices. If so, the price is 40/1 now, and Bet365 are prepared to allow me.......£0.25 each way.

Will have a look elsewhere shortly, am multi-table grinding high stakes PLO8 right now.

[Tonji]

Sorry yes stage 6.

40/1 ok imo

[tikay]

Sorry yes stage 6.

40/1 ok imo

Thanks. Details to follow, but we filled our boots with Bet365 @ 40/1. £0.25 EW. Can't afford more, Chompy has sent me busto.

[tikay]

10pm, ITV4, Joey Dunlop, The Man Who Conquered The TT.

Should be well worth watching.

[Tonji]

Dauphine Stage 5.

Open stage but some decent value.

Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner

Sorry busy, more detail later

Stage 5, or Stage 6?

The link takes me to Stage 6 prices. If so, the price is 40/1 now, and Bet365 are prepared to allow me.......£0.25 each way.

Will have a look elsewhere shortly, am multi-table grinding high stakes PLO8 right now.

Stage is set for sprinters who can climb. Its possible QPQS will set a fast pace to drop the fat boys with chubby legs (Bouhanni & Viviani).

This leaves the likes of Meersman, EBH & Gazzavi to fight out the sprint. Gavazzi is always under the radar with the bookies despite some strong results on these types of stages. He must be in decent shape, coming in ahead of his fellow sprinters on todays mountain stage.

I'm also on Michael Matthews. OGE are looking for wins & Matthews is the best bet with a strong 2nd on stage 3, just mistiming the sprint. 18/1 ftw in a few places.

[horseplayer]

bit late for a posting for me but been one of those days and cant sleep

been waiting for all the books to price up the third leg of the triple crown and they now have

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/international/belmont-stakes/winner?selectionName=will-take-charge

Bet Suggestion £10 eway Overanalyze 16-1 corals or ladbrokes first 3 places 1/5th the odds

I have watched this years Kentucky Derby a good few times now and Overanalyze ran a lot better than the 11th finishing position suggests.

This view of mine has been backed up by the excellent trackus website which provides the facts behind the theory. Here is an extract

"A backpedaling Falling Sky may have forced him to slow, but no published video makes it entirely clear why he faded, falling well back to 18th passing the three-eighths pole. He then moves back inside and is on the rail for the next two furlongs, advancing past horses, angling around Charming Kitten, and running on to finish 11th in a scrum that included that rival, plus Lines of Battle, Will Take Charge, Giant Finish, and Palace Malice. Eventual Preakness winner Oxbow finished just 3 ¾ lengths in front of Overanalyze.

Add to all of this that Overanalyze ran the fifth-fastest final furlong of the Kentucky Derby (there’s that one meaningful element of data, and attempting to show that Overanalyze wasn’t just passing tiring horses, he was still lively at the end of an eventful run)."

The horse also is the only horse that is unbeaten at Belmont (1-1) at this stage it seems 50/50 whether the main track will be dry or an off track again. It will be a lot better for the bet if the track is dry but not a disaster if it goes sloppy again.

I expected 12-1 which is the american morning line price, the fact two big firms went 16-1 after the others priced up first at 12-1 worries me somewhat but i make it around a 10-1 shot on a dry track and 14-1 on a wet track.

I have take some small 16-1 today.

[Tal]

£30m on a footballer who can't get in a Brazil squad.

 

[tikay]

bit late for a posting for me but been one of those days and cant sleep

been waiting for all the books to price up the third leg of the triple crown and they now have

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/international/belmont-stakes/winner?selectionName=will-take-charge

Bet Suggestion £10 eway Overanalyze 16-1 corals or ladbrokes first 3 places 1/5th the odds

I have watched this years Kentucky Derby a good few times now and Overanalyze ran a lot better than the 11th finishing position suggests.

This view of mine has been backed up by the excellent trackus website which provides the facts behind the theory. Here is an extract

"A backpedaling Falling Sky may have forced him to slow, but no published video makes it entirely clear why he faded, falling well back to 18th passing the three-eighths pole. He then moves back inside and is on the rail for the next two furlongs, advancing past horses, angling around Charming Kitten, and running on to finish 11th in a scrum that included that rival, plus Lines of Battle, Will Take Charge, Giant Finish, and Palace Malice. Eventual Preakness winner Oxbow finished just 3 ¾ lengths in front of Overanalyze.

Add to all of this that Overanalyze ran the fifth-fastest final furlong of the Kentucky Derby (there’s that one meaningful element of data, and attempting to show that Overanalyze wasn’t just passing tiring horses, he was still lively at the end of an eventful run)."

The horse also is the only horse that is unbeaten at Belmont (1-1) at this stage it seems 50/50 whether the main track will be dry or an off track again. It will be a lot better for the bet if the track is dry but not a disaster if it goes sloppy again.

I expected 12-1 which is the american morning line price, the fact two big firms went 16-1 after the others priced up first at 12-1 worries me somewhat but i make it around a 10-1 shot on a dry track and 14-1 on a wet track.

I have take some small 16-1 today.

Done, thanks horsey.

When is the race, please?

We have £10 EW @ 16/1, Ladbrokes, Overanalyze, Belmont Stakes.

ON

Belmont Stakes Belmont Stakes
2013-06-07 17:30:00
 
Market: Non Runner No Bet| 
 
Selection: Overanalyze @ 16/1 
 
Receipt No.: O/142640973/0000355
 
Placed at: 07:02 07/06/2013

Stake Per Line: £10.00
 
Number of lines: 2
 
Total Paid: £20.00
 
 

[tikay]

Dauphine Stage 5.

Open stage but some decent value.

Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner

Sorry busy, more detail later

CONFIRMATION AND ADDITIONAL BET

As I stated at the time, Bet365 only allowed me £0.25 each way, which I took.

However, as of this morning, WmHill are offering 40/1, so I have plunged, & had a rather extravagent £10 EW with them, too. Balla.


£0.25 EW @ 40/1, Bet365, Gavazzi, Stage 6, Dauphine Bike Race Thing.

£10 EW @ 40/1, Wm Hill, Stage 6, Dauphine Bike Race Thing.

ON


Bet Confirmation  - QT9222719210L   Time of bet:  06/06/2013 21:15:49

Francesco Gavazzi

Criterium Du Dauphine 2013 - Stage 6
(To Win Stage)

07/06/2013

3 Places
1/4 Odds

40/1

To Run
Unit Stake:  0.25   EW Single   Total Stake:  0.50   

_______________


07 Jun 2013 - Dauphine Libere - Stage 6 Winner - Stage 6 Winner

Francesco Gavazzi @ 40/1  EW @ 1/4 1-3

Stake : £20.00 (£10.00 x 2)


Estimated Returns : £

520.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000460/F

[tikay]

Dauphine Stage 5.

Open stage but some decent value.

Francesco Gavazzi 50/1 EW with 365. Recommend £5.00.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/dauphine-libere/dauphine-libere-stage-6/winner

Sorry busy, more detail later

Stage 5, or Stage 6?

The link takes me to Stage 6 prices. If so, the price is 40/1 now, and Bet365 are prepared to allow me.......£0.25 each way.

Will have a look elsewhere shortly, am multi-table grinding high stakes PLO8 right now.

Stage is set for sprinters who can climb. Its possible QPQS will set a fast pace to drop the fat boys with chubby legs (Bouhanni & Viviani).

This leaves the likes of Meersman, EBH & Gazzavi to fight out the sprint. Gavazzi is always under the radar with the bookies despite some strong results on these types of stages. He must be in decent shape, coming in ahead of his fellow sprinters on todays mountain stage.

I'm also on Michael Matthews. OGE are looking for wins & Matthews is the best bet with a strong 2nd on stage 3, just mistiming the sprint. 18/1 ftw in a few places.

Boat well & truly pushed out, we need to recover the Chompy losses.

£5 WIN (they don't offer EW) @ 18/1, BetVictor, Matthews, Stage 6, Dauphine Bike Race.

ON

Outright WinnerMichael Matthews (Stage 6 Winner)Odds: 18/1 Stake: 5.00Possible Return:  95.00

[horseplayer]

bit late for a posting for me but been one of those days and cant sleep

been waiting for all the books to price up the third leg of the triple crown and they now have

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/international/belmont-stakes/winner?selectionName=will-take-charge

Bet Suggestion £10 eway Overanalyze 16-1 corals or ladbrokes first 3 places 1/5th the odds

I have watched this years Kentucky Derby a good few times now and Overanalyze ran a lot better than the 11th finishing position suggests.

This view of mine has been backed up by the excellent trackus website which provides the facts behind the theory. Here is an extract

"A backpedaling Falling Sky may have forced him to slow, but no published video makes it entirely clear why he faded, falling well back to 18th passing the three-eighths pole. He then moves back inside and is on the rail for the next two furlongs, advancing past horses, angling around Charming Kitten, and running on to finish 11th in a scrum that included that rival, plus Lines of Battle, Will Take Charge, Giant Finish, and Palace Malice. Eventual Preakness winner Oxbow finished just 3 ¾ lengths in front of Overanalyze.

Add to all of this that Overanalyze ran the fifth-fastest final furlong of the Kentucky Derby (there’s that one meaningful element of data, and attempting to show that Overanalyze wasn’t just passing tiring horses, he was still lively at the end of an eventful run)."

The horse also is the only horse that is unbeaten at Belmont (1-1) at this stage it seems 50/50 whether the main track will be dry or an off track again. It will be a lot better for the bet if the track is dry but not a disaster if it goes sloppy again.

I expected 12-1 which is the american morning line price, the fact two big firms went 16-1 after the others priced up first at 12-1 worries me somewhat but i make it around a 10-1 shot on a dry track and 14-1 on a wet track.

I have take some small 16-1 today.

Done, thanks horsey.

When is the race, please?

We have £10 EW @ 16/1, Ladbrokes, Overanalyze, Belmont Stakes.

ON

Belmont Stakes Belmont Stakes
2013-06-07 17:30:00
 
Market: Non Runner No Bet| 
 
Selection: Overanalyze @ 16/1 
 
Receipt No.: O/142640973/0000355
 
Placed at: 07:02 07/06/2013

Stake Per Line: £10.00
 
Number of lines: 2
 
Total Paid: £20.00
 
 

Saturday night should be on atr as Belmont usually is

[tikay]

Temporary Service Interruption.

I will be Offline a large part of today & tomorrow, due to SPT Birmingham, & Tighty will be with me.

We are both working, (I am FRONT OF HOUSE) & the computers will be on throughout, so we may be able to action stuff as & when, but please Post suggestions as early as possible. (Except Chompy).