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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #43365 on: June 18, 2013, 09:23:30 AM » |
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Corals just tweeted
5/4 Animal Kingdom unlimited (2/1 online at £25 limit)
11/8 Dawn Approach unlimited
Thanks Tighty |
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The Camel
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« Reply #43366 on: June 18, 2013, 09:28:17 AM » |
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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MahoganyVic
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« Reply #43367 on: June 18, 2013, 09:36:46 AM » |
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Fred is going double SP if Animal Kingdom wins by more than 2 lengths. Worth a pop?
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Doobs
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« Reply #43368 on: June 18, 2013, 09:49:30 AM » |
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Fred is going double SP if Animal Kingdom wins by more than 2 lengths. Worth a pop?
Say the horse is evens it has a 50% chance of winning. By backing it at 2/1 we saying two thirds of the time he wins, he wins by more than 2 lengths. I have looked at the distance he wins, and that suggests a bet, but I think that is variance and races are won by less than 2 lengths more often than 1 race in 3. I'd also expect shannigans if it wins by exactly 2 lengths too. Not for me, but maybe somebody can do the stats better. |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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MahoganyVic
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« Reply #43369 on: June 18, 2013, 09:52:11 AM » |
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Cheers doobs
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TightEnd
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« Reply #43370 on: June 18, 2013, 09:56:59 AM » |
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Canberra Heavy rain and sleet, cold too this is the pitch  The Total Points markets are unchanged since I looked last night, a couple of pips in at a couple of places but apart from that....no change Take a look at under 48.5 Ladbrokes http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/brumbies-v-lions/total-points Match starts 10.40am Not sure if you did Brumbies with the 11 point spread, but this is an extra/alternative Shouldn't be condusive to tries, Lions not playing a first choice kicker.... 5 minutes ago on the touchline | Click to see full-size image. |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43371 on: June 18, 2013, 10:09:08 AM » |
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Coral 2/1 animal kingdom 2.35 £25 go go
OnFred gets the credit for this one. Animal Kingdom Enhanced Price Offer2/1Animal Kingdom 2/1 - 18/06/2013
Stake £25.00
Estimated Return:£75.00 |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43372 on: June 18, 2013, 10:11:09 AM » |
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I think we need to bet against the Lions
I favour the outright but should we take the handicap.
Recommendation, please.
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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TightEnd
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« Reply #43373 on: June 18, 2013, 10:15:54 AM » |
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I think we need to bet against the Lions
I favour the outright but should we take the handicap.
Recommendation, please.
Wet weather favours a close game and the Brumbies have a good positional/kicking game. Depends how nitty you want to be Famous last words, can't see too many tries either |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43374 on: June 18, 2013, 10:25:34 AM » |
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I think we need to bet against the Lions
I favour the outright but should we take the handicap.
Recommendation, please.
Wet weather favours a close game and the Brumbies have a good positional/kicking game. Depends how nitty you want to be Famous last words, can't see too many tries either He who hesitates is usually tikay. However on this occasion it's me. I decided to bet both and have miissed the price. However, I have placed £10 at 3/1 on Brumbies and £22 at 10/11 on Brumbies+11. I'll take the blame for the former and Tighty for the latter. Let me know before kick-off if this is not acceptable. |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43375 on: June 18, 2013, 10:34:27 AM » |
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On
Bet365
ACT Brumbies +11.0 @ 10/11
£22.00 Single 18/06/2013 10:21:32 22.00 0.00
BetFred
6/18/2013 10:31:01 AM 88/
88 W:10.00 Single Act Brumbies v British And Irish Lions/80 Minute Betting Act Brumbies 7/2 Open O £10.00 £0.00
As you can see I got 7/2 eventually.
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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Dubai
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« Reply #43376 on: June 18, 2013, 10:37:22 AM » |
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Surely you missed the prices, Lions drifted last couple days- everyone is against them, would suggest they are probably underrated at the current prices rather than overrated.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43377 on: June 18, 2013, 10:40:15 AM » |
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Surely you missed the prices, Lions drifted last couple days- everyone is against them, would suggest they are probably underrated at the current prices rather than overrated.
Still looks decent to me. We shall see but you're right that getting on earlier would have been better. |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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Doobs
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« Reply #43378 on: June 18, 2013, 11:12:00 AM » |
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Paddy Power are offering money back if Animal Kingdom wins the Queen Anne. This is also a good way race. I have did a few calcs that I talked about last night here http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794041#msg1794041I have just redone the calcs, and the 12/1 (14.75 Betfair) about Trade Storm is now the best bet. The offer more than makes up for the bad price. It is also a good e/w race, so suggest £25 e/w Trade Storm in the Queen Anne with Paddy Power |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #43379 on: June 18, 2013, 11:14:37 AM » |
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I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.
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