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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16399623 times)
Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44400 on:
July 01, 2013, 12:24:30 PM »
Tour De France update.
Dog survives a near miss
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #44401 on:
July 01, 2013, 02:03:33 PM »
The odds of all the women in the tennis have dropped significantly as Serena loses the first set against the wonderful Sabine Lisicki.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #44402 on:
July 01, 2013, 02:20:25 PM »
Monday's market moves
Eight horses remain in Saturday's Coral Eclipse Stakes at Sandown and Al Kazeem is a general 6/4 favourite.
"Al Kazeem was very impressive at Royal Ascot and Roger Charlton's five-year-old is a worthy favourite," said Leon Blanche of Boylesports. "Aidan O'Brien still holds three entries with Mars supported from 6/1 into 5/1."
The Fugue is a general 4/1 shot along with Declaration Of War, who is 11/4 with a run with bet365.
Mars can still be backed at 6/1 with Stan James, the same price generally available about Mukhadram, while Pastorius has been punted into a best of 9-1 with BetVictor and Stan James.
The latter quote 9/1 about Camelot, too, despite that one being as short as 5/1 elsewhere, and Miblish completes the field at 66/1.
Looks like we have a run with camelot anyway
«
Last Edit: July 01, 2013, 02:24:44 PM by TightEnd
»
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #44403 on:
July 01, 2013, 02:22:02 PM »
Meanwhile we have an Ashes sweat already
Click to see full-size image.
Swann was hit on the arm by the very speedy Tymal Mills in the warm up game v Essex
He is off for an x-ray
Would be a big loss for England for any games, and not great news at the start of July for us (and lots of rewrites for me!"O)
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44404 on:
July 01, 2013, 02:29:12 PM »
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 02:03:33 PM
The odds of all the women in the tennis have dropped significantly as Serena loses the first set against the wonderful Sabine Lisicki.
... and, like the tide, the odds have all gone out again as Serena wins the second set 6-1.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #44405 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:18:55 PM »
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 11:35:50 AM
June 2013 Figures
Closed bets: 169
Amount wagered: £4,401.61
Profit/loss:
£24.19
ROI:
0.55%
Number of "sports" bet on: 15
Most popular:
Horses (97),
Rugby Union (14), Football (11).
Most profitable:
Rugby Union (£306.38)
, Horses (£157.04), Rugby League (£53.00)
Least profitable: Dogs (-£139.00),Boxing (-£90.00), Cricket (-£88.15)
Number of tipsters:
29
including
1
new tipster.
Overall statistics (since February 2012)
Total closed bets: 1,788
Amount wagered:
£59,530.37
Profit/loss:
£1,801.82
ROI:
3.03%
Number of "sports" bet on: 28
Most popular: Football (508), Horses(341), Golf (144), Cricket(127).
Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
Sport Profit Amt Bet ROI No.
Football 1,338.68 17,677.97 7.57 508
NFL 724.25 2,935.00 24.68 77
RU 462.82 2,131.25 21.72 119
...
Golf -343.62 4,139.00 -8.30 144
Tennis -349.18 1,211.35 -28.83 35
Basketball -1,048.12 2,763.66 -37.93 61
The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4
Total number of tipsters: 119
Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 28
Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
Bookie Profit Amt Bet ROI No.
WilliamHill 1,184.09 7,724.00 15.33 226
Betfair 795.98 6,693.30 11.89 171
SportingBet 485.47 1,811.77 26.80 52
...
ToteSport -175.00 175.00 -100.00 4
BetFred -504.87 3,401.00 -14.84 108
PaddyPower -721.73 5,117.26 -14.10 198
The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7
Last month was Fred's busiest ever month with 169 closed bets
; the previous highest was 160 in April.
We closed 97 bets on horses alone, mostly during a frantic Royal Ascot.
June ended in profit after some large fluctuations.
Onwards and upwards.
Thanks for the detailed summary Mere.
Some of those numbers astonish, especially those I have enboldened.
Given our in-house rules & criteria, to try & get as many folks involved as possible, I think a 3% ROI is a stunningly good result. Pros & Elders excepted, I doubt many punters do that well over a sample size of almost 1,800 bets, & £60,000 wagered.
Given the time invested, it is not much of a return I suppose, but the fun factor is incredible.
Special thanks to everyone who contributes, & especially to Mere for all his hard work & patience.
As Mere noted, onwards & upwards.
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44406 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:19:38 PM »
<3 Sabine.
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redarmi
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44407 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:20:34 PM »
On Brazil.....it is generally a very bad idea to bet a team, player, horse or whatever after a very impressive performance. You are backing them on the back of something that everyone has seen including the bookmakers who are aware that they are now going to get bets on them so shorten accordingly. The key to success in this business imo is to find the hidden form, the things that others haven't seen or, even, to understand why a performance that is causing a selection to shorten is actually worse than perceived. In the case of Brazil I think there may have been a difference in motivations for this competition. It was very important to Brazil because it was effectively a warm up for the World Cup and was on home ground. I would imagine the players from the other countries felt a bit less enthused and maybe even resented the fact that they had to delay their vacations for it. If the same game was repeated in a world cup final I wouldn't expect anything like the same result.
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #44408 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:34:09 PM »
Sabine Lisicki now favourite for Wimbledon.
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/tennis/market?id=1.107022137
Bartoli now best priced 14/1. Oh to be on her at 50/1 (or even 150/1).
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44409 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:34:17 PM »
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 03:19:38 PM
<3 Sabine.
23 Lisicki (Ger) v kanepi (Est)
4 Radwanska (Pol) /Pironkova (Bul) v 6 Li (Chn)
Puig (Pur)/Stephens (US) 17 v 15 Bartoli (Fra)/ Knapp (Ita)
8 Kvitova (Cze) v 20 Flipkens (Bel)
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner
Anything stand out, Mere?
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MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44410 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:39:24 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 01, 2013, 03:34:17 PM
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 03:19:38 PM
<3 Sabine.
23 Lisicki (Ger) v kanepi (Est)
4 Radwanska (Pol) /Pironkova (Bul) v 6 Li (Chn)
Puig (Pur)/Stephens (US) 17 v 15 Bartoli (Fra)/ Knapp (Ita)
8 Kvitova (Cze) v 20 Flipkens (Bel)
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner
Anything stand out, Mere?
Li Na at 9/2.
Radwanska has just lost the first set.
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Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44411 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:40:00 PM »
Have just got back home and obviously logged straight in to TfT.
My jetlag must be severe, as I could have sworn I read a suggestion that Brazil would be 9/1 to win the world cup.
Serena getting beaten has made my day. If only I knew which day it was. It was 2pm Sunday when I set out...
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44412 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:47:38 PM »
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 03:39:24 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 01, 2013, 03:34:17 PM
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 03:19:38 PM
<3 Sabine.
23 Lisicki (Ger) v kanepi (Est)
4 Radwanska (Pol) /Pironkova (Bul) v 6 Li (Chn)
Puig (Pur)/Stephens (US) 17 v 15 Bartoli (Fra)/ Knapp (Ita)
8 Kvitova (Cze) v 20 Flipkens (Bel)
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner
Anything stand out, Mere?
Li Na at 9/2.
Radwanska has just lost the first set.
9/2 only on Betfair now
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44413 on:
July 01, 2013, 03:56:24 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on July 01, 2013, 03:47:38 PM
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 03:39:24 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 01, 2013, 03:34:17 PM
Quote from: MereNovice on July 01, 2013, 03:19:38 PM
<3 Sabine.
23 Lisicki (Ger) v kanepi (Est)
4 Radwanska (Pol) /Pironkova (Bul) v 6 Li (Chn)
Puig (Pur)/Stephens (US) 17 v 15 Bartoli (Fra)/ Knapp (Ita)
8 Kvitova (Cze) v 20 Flipkens (Bel)
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner
Anything stand out, Mere?
Li Na at 9/2.
Radwanska has just lost the first set.
9/2 only on Betfair now
Drifting again as Radwanska looking comfortable in the second set.
Sloane Stephens has beaten Puig, too.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #44414 on:
July 01, 2013, 04:42:15 PM »
Swann x ray no fracture, could bowl in this game when the bruising subsides. Phew
Bartoli wins (she better not scoop at 50-1 lol )
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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