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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16417173 times)
DungBeetle
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« Reply #44490 on: July 03, 2013, 11:24:14 AM »

When buying generally I like total points in the womens games and total games in the Mens games, due to the fact you get a lot of "deuce" games on the women's side.

I've bought both in this case with a mate at mid price, but now I've heard of a Del Potro potential injury which I suspect the tinker had already heard about.  Oh well, not massive stakes in any case and gets settled at mid if there is a retirement.

Looking at all the games I am starting to think Murray making short work of Verdasco might be the way to go.  Think the firms are giving Verdasco too much respect.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #44491 on: July 03, 2013, 12:03:49 PM »

interesting you say that Dung

been emailed this from somebody who is pretty good this morning

"Verdasco has won 100 games in 25 sets vs Murray. Verdasco under 14.5 games looks fair as if expected Murray wins in straight sets.

So far Murray lost  11 (Younzy), 11 (Robredo), 11 (Lu), 9 (Becker)

According to the ratings i use Verdasco is rated lower on grass than Younzy or Robredo"


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TightEnd
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« Reply #44492 on: July 03, 2013, 12:23:29 PM »

I hope Brent doesn't mind, but he knows his tennis

Brent Horner @ b________ho

7-6 either way 1st set of Kubot v Janowicz big prices with bet365 @ /10s



Looks very good for two huge servers on grass doesn't it? breaks at a premium?
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #44493 on: July 03, 2013, 12:37:25 PM »

Seems reasonable.

Kubot has faced 13 break points this tournament (5 converted)
Jano has faced 17 break points this tournament (4 converted)

Worth noting however that both players had either a walkover or a game where opponent pulled out early.  Either way they seem to be serving well.
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Doobs
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« Reply #44494 on: July 03, 2013, 12:39:31 PM »

Kubrick now 11s.  Get on mere Smiley
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
JaffaCake
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« Reply #44495 on: July 03, 2013, 12:48:08 PM »

rumour that ferrer has done his shoulder and is struggling with injury, not del boy
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #44496 on: July 03, 2013, 12:49:31 PM »

Thanks Jaffa Cake.  Guess it doesn't matter which one it is if you are long games but cheers anyhow.

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TightEnd
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« Reply #44497 on: July 03, 2013, 12:51:25 PM »

@NeilHarmanTimes

Suggestions that an ankle injury is hampering David Ferrer. Will be intriguing to see how he shapes up against JMDP in 15 minutes
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #44498 on: July 03, 2013, 12:52:38 PM »

Not sure how much value you put in the BF forum, but they are both carrying injuries apparently.
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #44499 on: July 03, 2013, 01:18:51 PM »

Marv, backed Del Potro. Bad fall in first game, could be gonzo
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Dubai
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« Reply #44500 on: July 03, 2013, 01:21:27 PM »

Who you bet him with Jeff? as all firms have different rules on tennis
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #44501 on: July 03, 2013, 01:26:50 PM »

Billy Hills I think....does that mean I'm funking for him to stop trying now? He's defo not moving well
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Dubai
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« Reply #44502 on: July 03, 2013, 01:29:58 PM »

99% sure Hills need whole match to be completed so you get refund if he retires at any point
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #44503 on: July 03, 2013, 01:32:12 PM »

Oh cool tx Dave....McEnroe reckons this won't go more than a set. Just waiting for him to hurt his knee again, feels like a boxer who won't get up from the next big hit
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Dubai
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« Reply #44504 on: July 03, 2013, 01:33:27 PM »

The set is a sweat for some bookmakers as that's their benchmark for a game played. Laddies and corals are 1 ball served
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