Tips for Tikay

[ripple11]

I know Fred cant get on but Sky Bet seem to be out of line with the rest, on some live cricket tonight

eg Hants "highest first 6 overs" is 5/4....4/7 elsewhere.

[TightEnd]

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[Chompy]

Ladbrokes go 3/1 that Bale is sold for a world record fee of over £80m.

I don't have a Ladbrokes account so can't see the terms - does it include players? - but this could be a way of making money either way.

This is a helluva bet innit?

Racing Post football pullout tomorrow, a must-buy, yep.

[Doobs]

I know Fred cant get on but Sky Bet seem to be out of line with the rest, on some live cricket tonight

eg Hants "highest first 6 overs" is 5/4....4/7 elsewhere.

looks like a palpable error to me.  They have put the prices in the wrong way round.

[horseplayer]

Ladbrokes go 3/1 that Bale is sold for a world record fee of over £80m.

I don't have a Ladbrokes account so can't see the terms - does it include players? - but this could be a way of making money either way.

This is a helluva bet innit?

Racing Post football pullout tomorrow, a must-buy, yep.

Fee must be over £80m without the inclusion of any other player. ie If the deal is £79m plus a £2m player (£81m)- bets will be settled as lose. £81m plus a player - bets will be settled as win.

[Tal]

Ladbrokes go 3/1 that Bale is sold for a world record fee of over £80m.

I don't have a Ladbrokes account so can't see the terms - does it include players? - but this could be a way of making money either way.

This is a helluva bet innit?

Racing Post football pullout tomorrow, a must-buy, yep.

Fee must be over £80m without the inclusion of any other player. ie If the deal is £79m plus a £2m player (£81m)- bets will be settled as lose. £81m plus a player - bets will be settled as win.

Right. This is exactly what I wanted to check. Thanks, HP.

[horseplayer]

No problem

Whilst looking at that this market looks of some interest, anybody have a strong view either way? Think only laddies priced up yet if it happens

Ladbrokes 1/2 Bolt & 6/4 Farah over 600m. 5/6 the pair over 800m.

[ripple11]

I know Fred cant get on but Sky Bet seem to be out of line with the rest, on some live cricket tonight

eg Hants "highest first 6 overs" is 5/4....4/7 elsewhere.

looks like a palpable error to me.  They have put the prices in the wrong way round.

yes looks that way....although in the reverse fixture the other week, Kent won this bet!....so maybe Skybet have some shrewd employees  

[BigAdz]

No problem

Whilst looking at that this market looks of some interest, anybody have a strong view either way? Think only laddies priced up yet if it happens

Ladbrokes 1/2 Bolt & 6/4 Farah over 600m. 5/6 the pair over 800m.

Farah all day long over 800m. Having just beat a 25 yr record over 1500m and his sections mean he could run 100 in sub 11, whereas Bolt would surely be fooked by then.


I know its ancient history, but pretty sure when they did things like Superstars people like Linford and Wells used to finish mid pack over the middle distance races, against a variety of sports people, let alone a distance runner, fwiw.

[tikay]

Banzai and saver recommend time

Top Jockey at Goodwood.

Saver first...Hannon by far top trainer with more than double any other trainer, Johnstone clear second. Naturally Hughes clear top Goodwood jockey with a book of decent rides as per, at 11/8 with Betfred looks a clear saver.

Currently third in the jockeys title is Silvestre de Sousa. This week he is already jocked up in nearly every race for either Johnstone or Godolphin, both whose horses are in terrific form, Johnstone especially targets the meeting. Its a Banzai, but I expected around 12s/16s max in view of the number of rides and the stables involved.

At 33-1 with Stan James(I know we can't use them, but maybe you get Marky on board-I got maxed to £12)

Recommend

£10 Silvestre de Sousa @33-1
£15 Richard Hughes     @11/8 Baldfred

Thanks Adzy.

We have - for now - swerved the SdS suggestion, we can't bet with Stan James, & Lord Rebuff did not seem overly enamoured, but we got on the Hughes bet.

We increased the stake slightly, too, for ease of math(s).

I'd be interested in more views on the Hughes bet, with a view to a bigger bet, perhaps.

For now, we have £16 @ 11/8, BetFred, Richard Hughes, Top Jockey, Goodwood.

ON

 
Glorious Goodwood Specials
Top Jockey - Glorious Goodwood

Richard Hughes

11/8

 
Total stake

£ 16.00

Estimated return

£ 38.00

Full stake

£ 16.00

Full estimated return

£ 38.00

[Karabiner]

Langer loses his two-day playoff for the British Senior's title to Mark Weibe.

Is it just me who experiences schadenfreude every time the 1.01 layers get stuffed?

[tikay]

Was going to post this before the game vs. Sussex, but waited until afterwards.

Jackson Bird Top Aussie wicket taker @ 50/1 - http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/top-australia-bowler

Wickets so far:
Siddle - 11
Pattinson - 7
Harris - 7
Starc - 5
Smith - 4
Agar - 2
Watson - 1

50/1 for a reason as he's not guaranteed to get a game, but I believe that price is a bit too long.

If Jackson Bird is picked for the 3rd test then he will almost certainly take the new ball as he did in the tour game and his first couple of tests, and it'll probably be Starc who will miss out - Surely Harris plays as Australia must win, and there's been no talk of him being rested for the next game. Think there's a good chance Harris doesn't take any further part in the series if Australia lose, and if they win do they drop Bird? Probably not. Bird almost certainly plays the remainder of the series if he gets picked for this test, barring injury.

Peter Siddle has 11 wickets already, but Bird will have the advantages of:

- Being virtually unknown in Test Cricket, and to the England batsmen (See the impact Philander had when he started playing Test Cricket)
- Taking the new ball, whereas Siddle will remain first change.
- Better FC strike rate (Probably bowls a couple of overs less than Siddle in a day though)
- Possibility of Siddle being rested if Australia are 3-0, 3-1 or 4-0 down? Maybe not as I can't remember Siddle being rested before, but there's no chance Bird comes in then gets rested.

To be top Aussie wicket taker, I think Bird needs to take around 20 wickets in the series, maybe a couple more if the Aussie spinners continue being useless. Certainly possible if he plays the remaining 3 tests, picks up one or two 5-fers in that time, and picks up a few wickets in the other innings. Was really impressed by him when he played his first two tests against Sri Lanka. It's between Starc and Bird to replace Pattinson, and the 50/1 being offered by some bookmakers atm is a little bit too long to ignore. Think it's worth a couple of quid.

Hi Andy,

Love the enthusiasm, & a nicely presented suggestion.

Have you had a bet accepted by Fred yet?

Our Cricket Guru is not keen on this, at least not until we see the Teams, but the price qualifies it as a genuine Banzai, if nothing else. Be a helluva sweat if he took a bunch at Old Trafford, too.

Let's dither for a day or two, but if you have never had a bet accepted by Fred, will will dabble for small stakes. The more contributors we have, the better for everyone.

Thanks.

[Tal]

No problem

Whilst looking at that this market looks of some interest, anybody have a strong view either way? Think only laddies priced up yet if it happens

Ladbrokes 1/2 Bolt & 6/4 Farah over 600m. 5/6 the pair over 800m.

Farah all day long over 800m. Having just beat a 25 yr record over 1500m and his sections mean he could run 100 in sub 11, whereas Bolt would surely be fooked by then.


I know its ancient history, but pretty sure when they did things like Superstars people like Linford and Wells used to finish mid pack over the middle distance races, against a variety of sports people, let alone a distance runner, fwiw.

Don't say this often, but I agree with you entirely.

[tikay]

Langer loses his two-day playoff for the British Senior's title to Mark Weibe.

Is it just me who experiences schadenfreude every time the 1.01 layers get stuffed?

No view really Ralph, but one thing that caught my eye over the weekend was I read or heard somewhere that he had won over £15 million on the Seniors Tour. Surely that cannot be true? If it is, that really is remarkable.

Whatever the real figure is, for a bloke that got the yips 20 years or more ago, he has not done too bad, though the upcoming broom handle ban might bugger him up.

I discovered this morning, whilst trying to check his stats oiut, that he is an OBE, too. Seems a little odd, but whatever, he deserves recognition for his sheer consistency & application.

[superwomble]

Posted the following on Tighty's football season bets thread but thought it may be of interest in here too, it's got a bit of support in there:

There might be a possible bet at Boyles - Premier League most assists.

Last season Mata was top with 12 - he is 11/1.

Cazorla was second with 11 but he is 20/1. Each way terms are 1/4 of the odds top 4.

Reckon it's got to be worth putting a bit on Santi e/w. What do you think?

Addendum - it has been noticed that different sites have players last year with different numbers of assists, but all agree Cazorla was up there.

I'd suggest a small amount e/w, hopefully for a season-long sweat (barring injury/transfer...) with chance of a big scoop. Maybe £10 e/w?

Boyles have confirmed that they use stats supplied from the Press Association for their markets.