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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16420040 times)
tikay
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« Reply #48630 on: August 16, 2013, 06:51:48 PM »

Lewis/Salas v Nordqvist/Hedwell

Hills are standout 17/10 on the Europeans.

Lewis lost 2011 foursomes 3&2 and 6&5 playing with Angela Stanford (who has picked up 1.5 points in foursomes before). Undoubtedly Lewis is a better player now but this format is a different beast. Hedwell was on the winning side of the 6&5 Lewis suffered. Nordqvist is a tidy player and has experience of this format. Salas is a rookie.

17/10 the Euros is pretty big.



Lang/Stanford v Pettersen/Recari

Lang and Stanford have terrible records really. Pettersen has 6-2-2 record. Recari doesn't have to play out her skin for Europe to win here just decent.

11/10 pretty generally.

Sandy

Great stuff, thanks.

I cannot get on the Lewis/Salas v Nordqvist/Hedwell ggame, Hills have suspended betting, & I can't find the match elsewhere. I'll keep an eye on Oddschecker, & Wm Hill.

I got on the other one though.

Am watching the Solheim Cup now, & the raucous crowd are proving rather tiresome already, shrieking, trilling, hooting & hollering.

We have £44 @ 11/10, Wm Hill, Petersen/Racaro over Lang/Stanford.

ON

Pettersen/Recari @ 11/10Friday Foursomes LiveLive

Lang/Stanford. v Pettersen/Recari.

Stake: £44.00Potential Returns: £92.40


WINNER!

Very nice work Sandy, 2 from 2. Shame I only put £20 on the other one, but we were 1 down @ the time & the price was all over the place.

In your third bet, Top American, (9/1), Pressel is 3 up with 4 to play in her first match, though likely to lose this hole.
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« Reply #48631 on: August 16, 2013, 06:53:09 PM »

Bent scored a lot of goals for Charlton in their first season in the prem IIRC and the vast majority were pens. Will he get the spotkicks for the Fulham Jags?

He scored 18 league goals in that season, I don't know how many pens but you think the 'vast majority'? Like 14 pens or something?
I don't know if he'll get pens at Fulham, I'm sure he'll want them and I'm sure he'll expect them. Berbatov and Sidwell are the Fulham takers at present.

Bent has got to get the ball off berbatov first..not a fan of any bet on bent at all.

Yes, that is a valid point. But I'm assuming he'll be the main striker and Berba will have to take a more withdrawn role. It would have been better if he had signed a few weeks back and we could have gotten more of an indication of what his role would be.
If you are going to sign Bent, you play him and he scores goals as well as anybody. If you don't play him, you really don't want him at the club as he's somewhat disruptive if things aren't going his way.
Martin Jol signed him for Spurs and obviously that spell didn't work out well as Jol got the chop soon after and his replacement didn't fancy him so much.
Jol likes him clearly and I assume he'll be the main man. That's my thinking and @ 80/1 I think he represents value.
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tikay
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« Reply #48632 on: August 16, 2013, 06:53:33 PM »

Guys I've got a post ante suggestion for La Liga if there's interest in getting on with 888 or Unibet...

Personally, I don't have accounts with either, but deffo worth Posting please, as the other lads may well fancy following your suggestion.
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tikay
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« Reply #48633 on: August 16, 2013, 06:55:06 PM »

Bent scored a lot of goals for Charlton in their first season in the prem IIRC and the vast majority were pens. Will he get the spotkicks for the Fulham Jags?

He scored 18 league goals in that season, I don't know how many pens but you think the 'vast majority'? Like 14 pens or something?
I don't know if he'll get pens at Fulham, I'm sure he'll want them and I'm sure he'll expect them. Berbatov and Sidwell are the Fulham takers at present.

Bent has got to get the ball off berbatov first..not a fan of any bet on bent at all.

Yes, that is a valid point. But I'm assuming he'll be the main striker and Berba will have to take a more withdrawn role. It would have been better if he had signed a few weeks back and we could have gotten more of an indication of what his role would be.
If you are going to sign Bent, you play him and he scores goals as well as anybody. If you don't play him, you really don't want him at the club as he's somewhat disruptive if things aren't going his way.
Martin Jol signed him for Spurs and obviously that spell didn't work out well as Jol got the chop soon after and his replacement didn't fancy him so much.
Jol likes him clearly and I assume he'll be the main man. That's my thinking and @ 80/1 I think he represents value.

We took it, but you get shot if we lose.
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tikay
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« Reply #48634 on: August 16, 2013, 07:00:19 PM »

Solheim cup.

Top American.

Stacy Lewis is favourite. Good golfer terrible record. Tough first game. 1-3-0
Paula Creamer. Good golfer. Great record. 11-3-5
Cristie kerr. Not as good but good enough. Poorish Record. 11-12-3
Angela Stanford. Decent. Terrible record. 3-7-3
Morgan Pressel. Good golfer. Terrific record. 7-2-2

A few more also rans who in all probability won't be 5 match players.

Take out Stanford whose record is awful. Lewis could do anything. Kerr will hopefully only do ok if she splits from Creamer. Creamer is probably most likely to win this if our pick doesn't.

Pressel should get 5 games unless all players get a rest so she'll never be at a disadvantage. She does have an interesting 1st game v Matthew with both having a rookie to play with. However 9/1 each way 1/4 top 3 is a very good price in my mind. Creamer is 9/2 and there is no way Pressel is twice the price.

Pressel each way 9/1 top American.

Sandy

Thanks Sandy, we are on.

We took £25 EW (qtr, 1,2,3) but if any of our other golf experts or big hitters were to even slightly encourage me, I think I'd double that bet, but for now, lets not be too greedy.

We have £25 EW  @ 9/1 (qtr, 1,2,3), Corals, Morgan Pressel, Top American Golfer Lady, Solheim Cup.


ON

16/08/2013 09:52 AM    Sportsbook    Sportsbook bet    Stake: |Top American| - |Morgan Pressel| |Solheim Cup| |-| |Top American| @ 9/1 (Live)    Web    -£50.00   


Pressel books her first point, 1 from 1.

Importantly, USA look likely to lose the morning session 3 & 1, which must help this bet I think.

Vey good Solheim start.
« Last Edit: August 16, 2013, 07:02:27 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #48635 on: August 16, 2013, 07:01:13 PM »

Early days, but a lovely start for the Ms Pressel bet.
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« Reply #48636 on: August 16, 2013, 07:01:53 PM »

Solheim cup.

Top American.

Stacy Lewis is favourite. Good golfer terrible record. Tough first game. 1-3-0
Paula Creamer. Good golfer. Great record. 11-3-5
Cristie kerr. Not as good but good enough. Poorish Record. 11-12-3
Angela Stanford. Decent. Terrible record. 3-7-3
Morgan Pressel. Good golfer. Terrific record. 7-2-2

A few more also rans who in all probability won't be 5 match players.

Take out Stanford whose record is awful. Lewis could do anything. Kerr will hopefully only do ok if she splits from Creamer. Creamer is probably most likely to win this if our pick doesn't.

Pressel should get 5 games unless all players get a rest so she'll never be at a disadvantage. She does have an interesting 1st game v Matthew with both having a rookie to play with. However 9/1 each way 1/4 top 3 is a very good price in my mind. Creamer is 9/2 and there is no way Pressel is twice the price.

Pressel each way 9/1 top American.

Sandy

Thanks Sandy, we are on.

We took £25 EW (qtr, 1,2,3) but if any of our other golf experts or big hitters were to even slightly encourage me, I think I'd double that bet, but for now, lets not be too greedy.

We have £25 EW  @ 9/1 (qtr, 1,2,3), Corals, Morgan Pressel, Top American Golfer Lady, Solheim Cup.


ON

16/08/2013 09:52 AM    Sportsbook    Sportsbook bet    Stake: |Top American| - |Morgan Pressel| |Solheim Cup| |-| |Top American| @ 9/1 (Live)    Web    -£50.00   


Pressel books her first point, 1 from 1.

Importantly, USA lost the morning session 3 & 1, which must help this bet I think.

Vey good Solheim start.

Just went to check my BetVictor account and remembered I had 4 goes at putting the bet on and failed badly each time.  £&£(££(!  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #48637 on: August 16, 2013, 07:02:26 PM »

Mo 4/5 with Laddies. Looks like insta-trimmage.

Yup, gone before I got there.

4/5 now, which is a different deal altogether.

Generally hate being on people for SPOTY just after they have done something.  Would much rather back Murray today if he drifted too much.

this was to be runner up. Not to win it where Murray would have to be revealed as Jimmy Saville's long lost grandson to lose

Anyway, the price lasted less than 5 minutes

Yeah was more a general point and I should have been more specific.  Was obviously a slightly stale price which means it prob was value but as a general rule betting on someone for SPOTY when they have just won means you get the nut worst price on them.
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« Reply #48638 on: August 16, 2013, 07:03:38 PM »

Mo 4/5 with Laddies. Looks like insta-trimmage.

Yup, gone before I got there.

4/5 now, which is a different deal altogether.

Generally hate being on people for SPOTY just after they have done something.  Would much rather back Murray today if he drifted too much.

this was to be runner up. Not to win it where Murray would have to be revealed as Jimmy Saville's long lost grandson to lose

Anyway, the price lasted less than 5 minutes

Yeah was more a general point and I should have been more specific.  Was obviously a slightly stale price which means it prob was value but as a general rule betting on someone for SPOTY when they have just won means you get the nut worst price on them.

Yes and I wouldn't ahve written the post if the price wasn't stale. Not daft.
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« Reply #48639 on: August 16, 2013, 07:04:52 PM »

Bent scored a lot of goals for Charlton in their first season in the prem IIRC and the vast majority were pens. Will he get the spotkicks for the Fulham Jags?

He scored 18 league goals in that season, I don't know how many pens but you think the 'vast majority'? Like 14 pens or something?
I don't know if he'll get pens at Fulham, I'm sure he'll want them and I'm sure he'll expect them. Berbatov and Sidwell are the Fulham takers at present.

Bent has got to get the ball off berbatov first..not a fan of any bet on bent at all.

Yes, that is a valid point. But I'm assuming he'll be the main striker and Berba will have to take a more withdrawn role. It would have been better if he had signed a few weeks back and we could have gotten more of an indication of what his role would be.
If you are going to sign Bent, you play him and he scores goals as well as anybody. If you don't play him, you really don't want him at the club as he's somewhat disruptive if things aren't going his way.
Martin Jol signed him for Spurs and obviously that spell didn't work out well as Jol got the chop soon after and his replacement didn't fancy him so much.
Jol likes him clearly and I assume he'll be the main man. That's my thinking and @ 80/1 I think he represents value.

We took it, but you get shot if we lose.

Rather than shooting me, could I not just refund you the £10?
Just on this market, I really like Horseplayers bet on Jay Rodriguez @ 200/1. Fred is already on it but I meant to say at the time, I think it's a really, really great spot.
J-Rod has basically been scoring at the same rate as his (much shorter priced) strike partner Rickie Lambert since the new managers arrival.
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tikay
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« Reply #48640 on: August 16, 2013, 07:13:42 PM »

Solheim cup.

Top American.

Stacy Lewis is favourite. Good golfer terrible record. Tough first game. 1-3-0
Paula Creamer. Good golfer. Great record. 11-3-5
Cristie kerr. Not as good but good enough. Poorish Record. 11-12-3
Angela Stanford. Decent. Terrible record. 3-7-3
Morgan Pressel. Good golfer. Terrific record. 7-2-2

A few more also rans who in all probability won't be 5 match players.

Take out Stanford whose record is awful. Lewis could do anything. Kerr will hopefully only do ok if she splits from Creamer. Creamer is probably most likely to win this if our pick doesn't.

Pressel should get 5 games unless all players get a rest so she'll never be at a disadvantage. She does have an interesting 1st game v Matthew with both having a rookie to play with. However 9/1 each way 1/4 top 3 is a very good price in my mind. Creamer is 9/2 and there is no way Pressel is twice the price.

Pressel each way 9/1 top American.

Sandy

Thanks Sandy, we are on.

We took £25 EW (qtr, 1,2,3) but if any of our other golf experts or big hitters were to even slightly encourage me, I think I'd double that bet, but for now, lets not be too greedy.

We have £25 EW  @ 9/1 (qtr, 1,2,3), Corals, Morgan Pressel, Top American Golfer Lady, Solheim Cup.


ON

16/08/2013 09:52 AM    Sportsbook    Sportsbook bet    Stake: |Top American| - |Morgan Pressel| |Solheim Cup| |-| |Top American| @ 9/1 (Live)    Web    -£50.00   


Pressel books her first point, 1 from 1.

Importantly, USA lost the morning session 3 & 1, which must help this bet I think.

Vey good Solheim start.

Just went to check my BetVictor account and remembered I had 4 goes at putting the bet on and failed badly each time.  £&£(££(! 

You were seriously unlucky there Doobs, I had exactly that problem with BetVictor, kept saying "ERROR HAS OCCURRED", so I switched to Coral instead, same price & terms. I might just go check my BV Account now, as I had 3 attempts. They might all be on........
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« Reply #48641 on: August 16, 2013, 07:36:27 PM »

FFS Pressel dropped Wtf

Only plus is Korda is out too so we are at worst joint leader overnight.

Sandy
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« Reply #48642 on: August 16, 2013, 07:47:33 PM »

Anyway price info is slow.

Hate Kerr/Wie as Kerr was mince and Wie has putting issues which it seems from the first round of games is an issue. Hull is unknown and Matthew is soso in fourballs. Got to side with Matthew here.

Again Hedwall and Masson against a terrible Stanford and rookie Piller.

Lang played well as did Nordqvist so nothing there.

Pettersen/Ciganda v Lewis/Thomson could be anything depending on Lewis and whether she rebounds or sulks.

Sandy

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« Reply #48643 on: August 16, 2013, 07:49:26 PM »

FFS Pressel dropped Wtf

Only plus is Korda is out too so we are at worst joint leader overnight.

Sandy

Yes, bit surprising, given how things panned out this morning.

Anyway, we cannot extend our lead now, but we do at least have a point in the bag.
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« Reply #48644 on: August 16, 2013, 07:56:49 PM »

Just a note for Doobs, or any others who like the Will Hill bet, betfred have been offering it for the last few weeks too and i don't think it needs to be done on mobile either.  So if there are any particularly strong fancies for the channel 4 races it might be worth doubling up over the two sites.
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