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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16370527 times)
tikay
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« Reply #49665 on: August 21, 2013, 03:29:27 PM »


Tonji,

We did have a bet on last year's Vuelta de Espana, Joachim Rodriguez (sp?), @ 14/1.
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« Reply #49666 on: August 21, 2013, 03:31:06 PM »

Do we really need paragraphs and pages of why the offers are +ev? Just post them, list whatever the bets are and Tikay should snap do it. Discussing it is beyond boring and absolutely pointless as its clear as daylight they are +ev, so nothing needs to be said on that subject- the downsides are some firms then restrict you and label you a nit/potential future arber/custom that don't want. And the obvious downside is the majority of these offers are £25 a pop. Hardly going to set the pulse racing but its fine as a background base that requires no discussion. It obviously also has ZERO relevance on any other bet suggested on the race as some people keep insinuating.

It was done at my request to try & explain to a Fred newbie, Dreenie, who was struggling to grasp it.

I didn't think that was what she was asking, but may be wrong. ~

The day Dreenie converts to betting £25 a pop in order to get future freebets to earn £6 a pop longterm, is the day the music dies Smiley
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tikay
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« Reply #49667 on: August 21, 2013, 03:31:55 PM »

"I like big sam, like to go against the grain mainly myself, especially when betting for value."

I agree with the going against the grain, but I think going against the grain is supporting Newcastle over the next few weeks?   I think they may be under-rated in the short term as people as the fact that they are in "crisis" is all over the media.  Ditto Arsenal.

Fair point.

I think the market hasn't reacted enough though.

West ham for me should be about a 2-1 shot and Newcastle should be nearer 6-4 than 11-10 in some spots.

Pretty sure by the weekend that will have happened.



That is the whole thing really. Pretty sure a lot of Teams far better than Newcastle will get battered by Man C this season, & there really ought to be a Newcastle backlash, surely?

If not, it is going to be a long, long season for them.

We shall see.
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« Reply #49668 on: August 21, 2013, 03:33:21 PM »


Tonji,

We did have a bet on last year's Vuelta de Espana, Joachim Rodriguez (sp?), @ 14/1.

Yep, decent sweat, he was leading & in control until the final week & a mistake by his team on one stage allowed Contador to snatch time & the win overall. Great race though!
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tikay
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« Reply #49669 on: August 21, 2013, 03:33:39 PM »

Do we really need paragraphs and pages of why the offers are +ev? Just post them, list whatever the bets are and Tikay should snap do it. Discussing it is beyond boring and absolutely pointless as its clear as daylight they are +ev, so nothing needs to be said on that subject- the downsides are some firms then restrict you and label you a nit/potential future arber/custom that don't want. And the obvious downside is the majority of these offers are £25 a pop. Hardly going to set the pulse racing but its fine as a background base that requires no discussion. It obviously also has ZERO relevance on any other bet suggested on the race as some people keep insinuating.

It was done at my request to try & explain to a Fred newbie, Dreenie, who was struggling to grasp it.

I didn't think that was what she was asking, but may be wrong. ~

The day Dreenie converts to betting £25 a pop in order to get future freebets to earn £6 a pop longterm, is the day the music dies Smiley

Ha! You suggesting she is an out & out premium gold star degen? An outrageous suggestion.

 
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« Reply #49670 on: August 21, 2013, 03:34:04 PM »

Harry Herbert defo wants to supplement Telescope for the Leger.

If this was owned by a single owner, I think Stoute would get his own way and he'd probably take in one more Group 2 before getting stuck away for next year. He'll crush next summer.

However, as it is, I reckon the syndicate will get their way and he'll go for the Leddddger. Suits us.
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« Reply #49671 on: August 21, 2013, 03:34:10 PM »

Harry Herbert far more bullish about our Leger aspirations.

Lets get it on Highclere!
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« Reply #49672 on: August 21, 2013, 03:34:51 PM »

142 games in the regular season so we are roughly 125 or so through that

Each of three division winners in each conference make the play offs, and two best runners up

So ten teams total

the two wild cards play each other in a one off match and play the team with the best record in a semi final, the other two division winners  play

then the AL/NL final, then the World Series

The World Series concludes in October, the divisions before the play offs in September

A massive rarity this, but Tighty has made a mistype (I presume!)

162 games in the baseball regular season. Hope this doesn't come across as douchey!
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« Reply #49673 on: August 21, 2013, 03:36:13 PM »

142 games in the regular season so we are roughly 125 or so through that

Each of three division winners in each conference make the play offs, and two best runners up

So ten teams total

the two wild cards play each other in a one off match and play the team with the best record in a semi final, the other two division winners  play

then the AL/NL final, then the World Series

The World Series concludes in October, the divisions before the play offs in September

A massive rarity this, but Tighty has made a mistype (I presume!)

162 games in the baseball regular season. Hope this doesn't come across as douchey!

Not at all, thanks

Ahem, mistype. Not.

(must check google next time)
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« Reply #49674 on: August 21, 2013, 03:44:13 PM »

Dreenie probably got some action on her accounts so defo could take the offers for a while without it being a pisstake. Her downside is she is female, firms not a lover of female accounts and always suspect its a males "second account"
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« Reply #49675 on: August 21, 2013, 03:46:01 PM »

Dreenie probably got some action on her accounts so defo could take the offers for a while without it being a pisstake. Her downside is she is female, firms not a lover of female accounts and always suspect its a males "second account"

They made me send photo ID early days, but not had hassle since.  That said, I don't put near as much on as Dreenie does.  She's a proper bloke about it.
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« Reply #49676 on: August 21, 2013, 03:47:32 PM »

Oh dear.  Just saw the race.  Cue heart failure from our proper bloke.
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« Reply #49677 on: August 21, 2013, 03:47:58 PM »


Wow @ D-O-W!
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« Reply #49678 on: August 21, 2013, 03:48:18 PM »

My missus account got restricted other day when its a losing account after 1 winner that wasn't even a big winner
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« Reply #49679 on: August 21, 2013, 03:48:31 PM »

War what is it good for
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