Tips for Tikay

[Ironside]

fancy another one tonight

BALADY 7.45 WINDSOR (current best price 28-1 vcbet) £10 win

I have watched with interest all of the ex John Dunlop horses this season with the expectation they may improve for leaving him (he had a poor last few seasons).

This has not happened as much as i thought it would but regardless of that this horse is now very well handicapped and has something it has not for its current stable some cut in the ground.

The trainer has booked Adam Kirby once in the past 3 seasons (horse won) and his booking tonight caught my eye.

Baladys only meaningful run this season was over tonights course and distance in June when a respectable 2nd in the same grade on firmish ground.

Tonights race is almost certainly better than that one with unexposed rivals and more depth. The horse won a fairly decent maiden at Goodwood for Dunlop on soft ground and has never faced that ground since, that run on "figures" was the best of the horses career and if as expected improving 3 or 4lbs for returning to a softer surface tonight she can get in the mix.

The horse has also been keen in a number of races so the first time hood should help on that score.

POSITIVES :

Well handicapped

Course, distance and ground fine

Possible positive jockey booking

NEGATIVES :

Has shown temperament a few times.

Unexposed rivals from top trainers (Charlton and Morrison mainly)


Summary

At the price there are enough positives for a modest bet tonight.

The Favourite has never faced ground like this and may be spared a hard race if not in contention, having said that she is bred to be much better than 66and is an obvious worry.

Hughie Morrison has two with similar profiles, neither seem overly popular in the market early on but either or could be better than there marks.

i am assume the 38.0 i have my £2 on at betfair is value even after commision

You can't eat it though.

you sure i am sure its going too be in next weeks burgers in tescos

[Ironside]

ffs i am on the wrong horse

how the heck did that happen

[TightEnd]

Liverpool disposed of Villa by a goal to nil.

Our Lay loses.

Our Pellegrini bet is no longer threatened by Lambert, but enter, stage left, Mr B Rogers.

pettogritti or who ever you say and speel it went out the running with saints drawing today at home

Pochettino

It's not that difficult, they are your own team as well!

(been waiting 8 years for an Ironside spell check, too)

[Ironside]

ok cover my ass with betting at 34.0 on betfair for £2

[tikay]

Liverpool disposed of Villa by a goal to nil.

Our Lay loses.

Our Pellegrini bet is no longer threatened by Lambert, but enter, stage left, Mr B Rogers.

pettogritti or who ever you say and speel it went out the running with saints drawing today at home

Pellegrini is the Manager of Manchester City, not Southampton. Right name, wrong horse.

[Tal]

The best player always wins the world cup.

I'm afraid to tell you the world cup isn't run by James Cameron in Hollywood

How about this fella? Minus one Tal point if you don't know who he is.

[Ironside]

i cant keep up with all these names
what happened too good old fashioned names

like smith and jones

[horseplayer]

ran a strange race

travelling fine until 2 out looked to stop and then stayed on again to take a fairly close 4th at the the line

not devoid of promise maybe needs a 0-60 to actually win though

[TightEnd]

The best player always wins the world cup.

I'm afraid to tell you the world cup isn't run by James Cameron in Hollywood

How about this fella? Minus one Tal point if you don't know who he is.

We don't need to back Argentina yet either

very much doubt their price shortens by more than half a point before June 2014

All about opportunity cost and utility of money.

[Ironside]

think i managed too bet £2 on the horse that was leading most of rce than finished dead last
with i had laid it off in running
did our horse start i never heard its name mentioned once though

[horseplayer]

think i managed too bet £2 on the horse that was leading most of rce than finished dead last
with i had laid it off in running
did our horse start i never heard its name mentioned once though

were you listening/watching?

got mentioned at least 6 times before emptying out

[Spudy]

Sorry I am not the bets at explaining things, I meant when you get a truly great player who plays for Italy, Germany, Argentina and Brazil, they will win the World Cup. There are exceptions such as Ronaldo for Portugal, Pushkas, Hungary etc etc.

[TightEnd]

Out of interest horseplayer, with your modus operandi being long prices and low hit-rates/big hits when they come in

why never each way?

[Spudy]

They also play Brazil soon, should they win that, there could well be a reversal of places for favouritism for the World Cup. Ive put it up, do what you like. Im hammering it on a monthly basis anyway.

[redarmi]

Liverpool disposed of Villa by a goal to nil.

Our Lay loses.

Our Pellegrini bet is no longer threatened by Lambert, but enter, stage left, Mr B Rogers.

pettogritti or who ever you say and speel it went out the running with saints drawing today at home

Pochettino

It's not that difficult, they are your own team as well!

(been waiting 8 years for an Ironside spell check, too)

LOL - I wrote out a post the other day admonishing him for spelling Middlesbrough wrong as it tilts me beyond belief but deleted it....can I add it to the list?