Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

I don't know much about creekit but why on earth would they have the boundaries so far in?

Purely to induce more attempts at sixes?

Is it impossible that the boundary rope is forward for a different reason now and will be moved back by kick off or bully off or whatever the opening of a 20:20 game is called?

[TightEnd]

I don't know much about creekit but why on earth would they have the boundaries so far in?

Purely to induce more attempts at sixes?

Is it impossible that the boundary rope is forward for a different reason now and will be moved back by kick off or bully off or whatever the opening of a 20:20 game is called?

Entertainment and spectacle is the reason to bring the boundaries in. Random punters like high scoring/big hitting

Its possible the rope could be back, though it would be unusual. Why go to the bother of having to bring it in, then move it all back?

[tikay]

E V A T20

The two T20 matches are a day-nighter at Southampton on Thursday and a day game at Durham on Saturday.

I think there is a mis-price, Top Australain bowler

Australia have a stand out T20 performer with the ball in all rounder James Faulkner, priced at nearly 4-1 and fourth favourite behind new ball bowlers less skilled than he is at white ball cricket.

What put me onto this was the final day of the Oval Test. England were chasing late on, and looking like getting up. Faulkner, a renowned One day death bowler, switched to left arm round, started bowling in one day mode - yorkers, slower balls, and really tied England up, taking a couple of wickets. I resolved to check the T20 markets when they went up

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-australia-t20s/top-australia-bowler

The reason he is fourth favourite is he has only played 3 International T20 games, taking 7 wickets. However he does not lack for experience.
He’s played 50 matches in T20 lifetime in Australian domestic cricket and The IPL and has taken 66 wickets, at under 20 a piece with three four/five wicket hauls. From watching the Big bash and IPL, I know he gets wickets in bunches, a bi-product of bowling at the death really

http://www.espncricinfo.com/the-ashes-2013/content/player/270484.html

He’s certainly a value price, I would think will play both games as he is a genuine all rounder and balances the side

Who is he up against?

McKay - new ball swing bowler. Very little success in T20 Internationals, 2 wickets in 5 games.
M Johnson - he bowls to the left, he bowls to the right. Plenty of experience but a bit inconsistent to want to be backing as Joint fav.
Starc -  a threat for sure, but will he play both games?
Spinners Steve Smith and Fawad Ahmad. Think both games should be on fresh pitches, which mitigates against the right conditions for them


So

£20 James Faulkner Top Australian Bowler in the two match T20 series 15/4 Bet365, if you can get on

Small beer, as its beer cricket with the usual randomising factors anyone betting T20 has to be aware of.

Sorry Rich, bit busy yesterday, missed this.

The price is now 15/4, but that still seems reasonable.

We ARE on with Bet365, for a sum between Zero & £20, but before I detail the bet, would anyone like to test Camel's theory, & guess how much they were prepared to allow me, in total, if I pressed "MAX BET"?

Shilling says nobody gets it right.

Half a crown Camel guesses wrong.


ON


JP Faulkner (Australia)  

England vs Australia (Twenty20 Series)
Top Team Bowler
 
31/08/2013
 
15/4
 
To Run

??

Bumped for Lucky Guess Camel

[TightEnd]

Bale was booked several times for diving in the Premier League last season. three I can recall.

What price would you make him to be booked at least once in La Liga this season?

No oddschecking before you answer....

[tikay]

Southampton

I assume the pitch for tonight is to the right, with the groundstaff working on it. Would make sense as the nets on the square are the other side

Just LOOK how far the boundaries are in! On all sides but particularly near bottom of the photo

Click to see full-size image.

The batting line ups have big hitters

England's could be Carberry/Hales/Lumb  followed by Wright, Morgan, Bopara and Buttler

Australia's will have Warner, Watson, Marsh etc

The total sixes market prices are a touch skinny, except for Paddy Power but that requires 10 sixes...Do-able but not a fantastically generous quote

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-v-australia-%5B1st-t20%5D/total-6s

The England sixes market at 4.5 should be too low, unless of course they bat second and chase a low score

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-v-australia-%5B1st-t20%5D/england-no-of-sixes

A total boundaries market of 35.5 is interesting too as if you add up the quotes from the 4's and 6's markets you get to 36.5-37.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-v-australia-%5B1st-t20%5D/total-boundaries

good weather, looks from a distance to be a straw coloured pitch, small boundaries, powerful batting sides

I would have thought a combination bet on England sixes over 4.5 (PP) and total boundaries over 35.5 (WH) (half a stake each, say £20 each) would give a decent sweat

Lovely stuff Rich, thanks.

We are on, but not in the suggested amounts, I got Restricted by PP, so I've balanced the smaller bet with PP with a bigger bet with Wm Hill. I actually think the WH bet is a much better bet. 

We have £9.91 @ 10/11, Paddy Power, England, OVER 4.5 x Sixes.

And £30 @ 5/6, Wm Hill, OVER 35 Boundaries.


ON



 
29 Aug 2013 - England v Australia - 1st Twenty20 - Total Match Boundaries

Over (35.5) @ 5/6

____


England v Australia
29-08-2013 18:00
Team A Total Match 6's
Over (4.5) @ 10/11


Your Bets

Win
Single: Over (4.5) @ 10/11
1 line at £9.71 per line
Total stake for this bet: £9.71
 Potential returns: £18.54
No: O/23146337/0000346
 

Total stake: £9.71
 Free bets voucher: £0.00
 Total Cost: £9.71


Stake : £30.00


Estimated Returns : £

55.00

Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000568/F

[Tal]

Bale was booked several times for diving in the Premier League last season. three I can recall.

What price would you make him to be booked at least once in La Liga this season?

No oddschecking before you answer....

Does anyone ever get booked in La Liga for diving?

[tikay]

Bale was booked several times for diving in the Premier League last season. three I can recall.

What price would you make him to be booked at least once in La Liga this season?

No oddschecking before you answer....

Does anyone ever get booked in La Liga for diving?

Well that is the point - how do they interpret & enforce these things in Spain?

[ripple11]

Southampton

I assume the pitch for tonight is to the right, with the groundstaff working on it. Would make sense as the nets on the square are the other side

Just LOOK how far the boundaries are in! On all sides but particularly near bottom of the photo

Click to see full-size image.

The batting line ups have big hitters

England's could be Carberry/Hales/Lumb  followed by Wright, Morgan, Bopara and Buttler

Australia's will have Warner, Watson, Marsh etc

The total sixes market prices are a touch skinny, except for Paddy Power but that requires 10 sixes...Do-able but not a fantastically generous quote

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-v-australia-%5B1st-t20%5D/total-6s

The England sixes market at 4.5 should be too low, unless of course they bat second and chase a low score

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-v-australia-%5B1st-t20%5D/england-no-of-sixes

A total boundaries market of 35.5 is interesting too as if you add up the quotes from the 4's and 6's markets you get to 36.5-37.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-v-australia-%5B1st-t20%5D/total-boundaries

good weather, looks from a distance to be a straw coloured pitch, small boundaries, powerful batting sides

I would have thought a combination bet on England sixes over 4.5 (PP) and total boundaries over 35.5 (WH) (half a stake each, say £20 each) would give a decent sweat

The girls are playing first.....will the boundaries be moved back?

[The Camel]

E V A T20

The two T20 matches are a day-nighter at Southampton on Thursday and a day game at Durham on Saturday.

I think there is a mis-price, Top Australain bowler

Australia have a stand out T20 performer with the ball in all rounder James Faulkner, priced at nearly 4-1 and fourth favourite behind new ball bowlers less skilled than he is at white ball cricket.

What put me onto this was the final day of the Oval Test. England were chasing late on, and looking like getting up. Faulkner, a renowned One day death bowler, switched to left arm round, started bowling in one day mode - yorkers, slower balls, and really tied England up, taking a couple of wickets. I resolved to check the T20 markets when they went up

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-australia-t20s/top-australia-bowler

The reason he is fourth favourite is he has only played 3 International T20 games, taking 7 wickets. However he does not lack for experience.
He’s played 50 matches in T20 lifetime in Australian domestic cricket and The IPL and has taken 66 wickets, at under 20 a piece with three four/five wicket hauls. From watching the Big bash and IPL, I know he gets wickets in bunches, a bi-product of bowling at the death really

http://www.espncricinfo.com/the-ashes-2013/content/player/270484.html

He’s certainly a value price, I would think will play both games as he is a genuine all rounder and balances the side

Who is he up against?

McKay - new ball swing bowler. Very little success in T20 Internationals, 2 wickets in 5 games.
M Johnson - he bowls to the left, he bowls to the right. Plenty of experience but a bit inconsistent to want to be backing as Joint fav.
Starc -  a threat for sure, but will he play both games?
Spinners Steve Smith and Fawad Ahmad. Think both games should be on fresh pitches, which mitigates against the right conditions for them


So

£20 James Faulkner Top Australian Bowler in the two match T20 series 15/4 Bet365, if you can get on

Small beer, as its beer cricket with the usual randomising factors anyone betting T20 has to be aware of.

Sorry Rich, bit busy yesterday, missed this.

The price is now 15/4, but that still seems reasonable.

We ARE on with Bet365, for a sum between Zero & £20, but before I detail the bet, would anyone like to test Camel's theory, & guess how much they were prepared to allow me, in total, if I pressed "MAX BET"?

Shilling says nobody gets it right.

Half a crown Camel guesses wrong.


ON


JP Faulkner (Australia)  

England vs Australia (Twenty20 Series)
Top Team Bowler
 
31/08/2013
 
15/4
 
To Run

??

Bumped for Lucky Guess Camel

They've changed the price, so I'm going to have to get my calculator out!

[TightEnd]

The girls are playing first.....!

(Walsall, come in Walsall, you are forgiven)

[tikay]

Whoops!

[tikay]

EsoTightyKral strikes again.

In truth, I hope BOTH bets lose. My word, we can abuse you mercilessly then.

Tomorrow's Report should be a good read, too.

[horseplayer]

Bale was booked several times for diving in the Premier League last season. three I can recall.

What price would you make him to be booked at least once in La Liga this season?

No oddschecking before you answer....

Does anyone ever get booked in La Liga for diving?

Well that is the point - how do they interpret & enforce these things in Spain?

About half as often as over here generally

As of Feb last season these were the stats

Serie A                          48
Premier League            26
La Liga                         12
Bundesliga                     10
Ligue 1                          3

thats for august until end of jan last season

from memory the pattern is pretty similar most seasons

[TightEnd]

Bale was booked several times for diving in the Premier League last season. three I can recall.

What price would you make him to be booked at least once in La Liga this season?

No oddschecking before you answer....

Does anyone ever get booked in La Liga for diving?

Well that is the point - how do they interpret & enforce these things in Spain?

Indeed, essentially that is what I am asking

Ronaldo occasionally booked for diving in LL, or not, for example?

[The Camel]

E V A T20

The two T20 matches are a day-nighter at Southampton on Thursday and a day game at Durham on Saturday.

I think there is a mis-price, Top Australain bowler

Australia have a stand out T20 performer with the ball in all rounder James Faulkner, priced at nearly 4-1 and fourth favourite behind new ball bowlers less skilled than he is at white ball cricket.

What put me onto this was the final day of the Oval Test. England were chasing late on, and looking like getting up. Faulkner, a renowned One day death bowler, switched to left arm round, started bowling in one day mode - yorkers, slower balls, and really tied England up, taking a couple of wickets. I resolved to check the T20 markets when they went up

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-australia/t20-series/england-australia-t20s/top-australia-bowler

The reason he is fourth favourite is he has only played 3 International T20 games, taking 7 wickets. However he does not lack for experience.
He’s played 50 matches in T20 lifetime in Australian domestic cricket and The IPL and has taken 66 wickets, at under 20 a piece with three four/five wicket hauls. From watching the Big bash and IPL, I know he gets wickets in bunches, a bi-product of bowling at the death really

http://www.espncricinfo.com/the-ashes-2013/content/player/270484.html

He’s certainly a value price, I would think will play both games as he is a genuine all rounder and balances the side

Who is he up against?

McKay - new ball swing bowler. Very little success in T20 Internationals, 2 wickets in 5 games.
M Johnson - he bowls to the left, he bowls to the right. Plenty of experience but a bit inconsistent to want to be backing as Joint fav.
Starc -  a threat for sure, but will he play both games?
Spinners Steve Smith and Fawad Ahmad. Think both games should be on fresh pitches, which mitigates against the right conditions for them


So

£20 James Faulkner Top Australian Bowler in the two match T20 series 15/4 Bet365, if you can get on

Small beer, as its beer cricket with the usual randomising factors anyone betting T20 has to be aware of.

Sorry Rich, bit busy yesterday, missed this.

The price is now 15/4, but that still seems reasonable.

We ARE on with Bet365, for a sum between Zero & £20, but before I detail the bet, would anyone like to test Camel's theory, & guess how much they were prepared to allow me, in total, if I pressed "MAX BET"?

Shilling says nobody gets it right.

Half a crown Camel guesses wrong.


ON


JP Faulkner (Australia)  

England vs Australia (Twenty20 Series)
Top Team Bowler
 
31/08/2013
 
15/4
 
To Run

??

Bumped for Lucky Guess Camel

They've changed the price, so I'm going to have to get my calculator out!

I'm going to go with a not very confident £2.67.

Might have moved the limits up on the day of the game too.