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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16384182 times)
tikay
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« Reply #52560 on: September 06, 2013, 01:22:39 AM »

Hills are biggest on Garswood.  If we have a free bet left, at least get that on.  

Thanks Doobs.

DONE.

£25 Free Bet @ 8/1 with Wm Hill, Garswood, Haydock Sprint Cup.

Think we definitely need a deluge at Haydock and loads of sunshine at Leopardstown.  Will be pretty bad if it goes the other way.  

Not wrong. Sundays Daily Report will be a thing of beauty if this goes wrong.

The "it is gonna piss down" to "light rain" timeline is comedy gold.

Leopardstown on Saturday is Trading Leather, yes?
« Last Edit: September 06, 2013, 01:25:39 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #52561 on: September 06, 2013, 01:31:18 AM »

Hills are biggest on Garswood.  If we have a free bet left, at least get that on.  

Thanks Doobs.

DONE.

£25 Free Bet @ 8/1 with Wm Hill, Garswood, Haydock Sprint Cup.

Think we definitely need a deluge at Haydock and loads of sunshine at Leopardstown.  Will be pretty bad if it goes the other way.  

Not wrong. Sundays Daily Report will be a thing of beauty if this goes wrong.

The "it is gonna piss down" to "light rain" timeline is comedy gold.

Leopardstown on Saturday is Trading Leather, yes?

Yep, 8 left in, so we could get great place odds.  If it throws it down, I don't know if we get a run, so weather as ordered please.

Weather looks abysmal over Haydock on the BBC slider.  Light rain seems optimistic. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #52562 on: September 06, 2013, 01:46:00 AM »

2-1 on Lamps anytime is now best priced 7-4.

Personally i'd say the best thing now is to back him ew at 6-1 so we still get the 2-1 on the anytime and have a neutral win bet.

You could do £60 ew to go with the advised £120 total stake or just reduce it in total as it's not 'such' a great bet. Though it's def still a good one.

Re-buff stick will be accepted with good grace also! Smiley

From sounds of it fred will be lucky to get on with 365 or pp anyway as they are the only two offering ew bets here.
« Last Edit: September 06, 2013, 01:49:13 AM by Nico29 » Logged
tikay
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« Reply #52563 on: September 06, 2013, 01:50:36 AM »

2-1 on Lamps anytime is now best priced 7-4.

Personally i'd say the best thing now is to back him ew at 6-1 so we still get the 2-1 on the anytime and have a neutral win bet.

You could do £60 ew to go with the advised £120 total stake or just reduce it in total as it's not 'such' a great bet. Though it's def still a good one.

Re-buff stick will be accepted with good grace also! Smiley

Gonna get on that next Dom.

Been a crazy day, not enough hours. Shame I missed the 2/1, but coud not be helped, work and all that.

I gotta get on the road at 7am in the morning, but I want to watch the ball game before I go to bed. Ball game now delayed by lightning, lol. Just not enough hours in the day.
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« Reply #52564 on: September 06, 2013, 01:58:58 AM »

2-1 on Lamps anytime is now best priced 7-4.

Personally i'd say the best thing now is to back him ew at 6-1 so we still get the 2-1 on the anytime and have a neutral win bet.

You could do £60 ew to go with the advised £120 total stake or just reduce it in total as it's not 'such' a great bet. Though it's def still a good one.

Re-buff stick will be accepted with good grace also! Smiley

From sounds of it fred will be lucky to get on with 365 or pp anyway as they are the only two offering ew bets here.

Plan G required.

Bet365 will only allow me £3 EW, Paddy Power the same.

That just leaves  us 7/4 AnyTime now.

What next?
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« Reply #52565 on: September 06, 2013, 02:03:10 AM »

2-1 on Lamps anytime is now best priced 7-4.

Personally i'd say the best thing now is to back him ew at 6-1 so we still get the 2-1 on the anytime and have a neutral win bet.

You could do £60 ew to go with the advised £120 total stake or just reduce it in total as it's not 'such' a great bet. Though it's def still a good one.

Re-buff stick will be accepted with good grace also! Smiley

From sounds of it fred will be lucky to get on with 365 or pp anyway as they are the only two offering ew bets here.

Plan G required.

Bet365 will only allow me £3 EW, Paddy Power the same.

That just leaves  us 7/4 AnyTime now.

What next?

7/4 is ok, like Redarmi said it's probably a 6/4 shot at most.

However, it's around that on the machine and plus we don't get the best price available.

Personally i'd probs leave that one for now.

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« Reply #52566 on: September 06, 2013, 02:04:36 AM »

2-1 on Lamps anytime is now best priced 7-4.

Personally i'd say the best thing now is to back him ew at 6-1 so we still get the 2-1 on the anytime and have a neutral win bet.

You could do £60 ew to go with the advised £120 total stake or just reduce it in total as it's not 'such' a great bet. Though it's def still a good one.

Re-buff stick will be accepted with good grace also! Smiley

Gonna get on that next Dom.

Been a crazy day, not enough hours. Shame I missed the 2/1, but coud not be helped, work and all that.

I gotta get on the road at 7am in the morning, but I want to watch the ball game before I go to bed. Ball game now delayed by lightning, lol. Just not enough hours in the day.

No probs at all mate, just felt was about time I put up a bet.

Sounds like you work too hard.

Something i've never been accused of in my life!  Smiley
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« Reply #52567 on: September 06, 2013, 02:05:44 AM »

2-1 on Lamps anytime is now best priced 7-4.

Personally i'd say the best thing now is to back him ew at 6-1 so we still get the 2-1 on the anytime and have a neutral win bet.

You could do £60 ew to go with the advised £120 total stake or just reduce it in total as it's not 'such' a great bet. Though it's def still a good one.

Re-buff stick will be accepted with good grace also! Smiley

From sounds of it fred will be lucky to get on with 365 or pp anyway as they are the only two offering ew bets here.

Plan G required.

Bet365 will only allow me £3 EW, Paddy Power the same.

That just leaves  us 7/4 AnyTime now.

What next?

7/4 is ok, like Redarmi said it's probably a 6/4 shot at most.

However, it's around that on the machine and plus we don't get the best price available.

Personally i'd probs leave that one for now.



Agree, I've missed the value, no point chasing.
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« Reply #52568 on: September 06, 2013, 02:10:37 AM »


Is that Fantasy League advert during the Sky Sports NFL coverage (with the 3 young ladies trying to read an Autocue) the absolute most cringeworthy advert ever ever ever?
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« Reply #52569 on: September 06, 2013, 02:30:29 AM »


Is that Fantasy League advert during the Sky Sports NFL coverage (with the 3 young ladies trying to read an Autocue) the absolute most cringeworthy advert ever ever ever?

I'll have to keep an eye out for it, though I try not to pay attention to the adverts if I can help it.

Bernard Pierce to make the world green please!

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« Reply #52570 on: September 06, 2013, 07:23:27 AM »

Does anyone have a view on what the Minny at Detroit line might be on the off?

 Had some internet troubles yesterday and just catching up with thread.

 I would say that if MV/DL moves from the current 4.5 it can only go up. We know that once games are in the 3.5 to 5.5 region we are talking about dead (ish) numbers and it's very easy for them to move on nothing as the bookmakers have way less chance of being middled. The professionals have been very bullish of the Lions on the season wins and bearish of the Vikings. They have reflected this by slightly betting the Lions in this game. With so many good games this week, this looks like an unsexy fixture where the public won't have a big influence betting Minnesota.

 I notice that Pinny are now 5 but I think this could very easily go to 5.5 as a general price with 6 and maybe even 6.5 breaking out on Sunday.

 If I was betting the Vikings I would definitely wait and imo 6.5 would be way too high and I would take that.
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« Reply #52571 on: September 06, 2013, 07:27:49 AM »

Does anyone have a view on what the Minny at Detroit line might be on the off?

Minnesota +6 if I had to say. Money on Detroit/home game on the day

One back to you, Giants at Cowboys. Giants +3.5. Do you reckon I might see +4/+5 as the TV punter money goes for Dallas on Sunday?

 On this one I would "normally" expect to see money for the Giants and I would take the 3.5 if I were backing them. However, the Giants have a few injury problems and money has come for the Cowboys. The line is currently at 3.5. I don't see this one pushing towards 4, 4.5 or 5. If it was to move I would expect it to go the other way maybe -3 at -120 the Cowboys.
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« Reply #52572 on: September 06, 2013, 08:01:49 AM »

Daily Report

Profit on the Month £718.68

Outstanding Bets £3077.06

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=26

Free Bets outstanding ONE William Hill use by 12th Sept

A profit of £69 yesterday. A decent day all round with Haydock producing a profit of £37 and a free bet from two winners and a second from four bets. Then Leeds beat Wigan comfortably in Northern Rugby, for a £32 profit

In baseball last night the Rays lost to fall six games behind the Red Sox who beat the Yankees in extra innings. The Yankees legendary closer Mariano Rivera blew a save. The Royals won too.Tampa Bay Rays are clinging onto the wild card spot. Games each night through September and its going to be close!

In cricket we had a right result. Middlesex beat Surrey in three days, claiming the extrahalf hour's play last night to try and wrap it up before inclement weather today. Ollie Rayer took 15 wickets for 118 in the match, the best Conty Championship bowling figures for a decade and the eighth best ever.He also took three catches so was involved in 18 of the 20 wickets to fall

The significance of all this is that Middlesex climb back to third as Sussex lost to Durham. Warwickshire the other third place rivals are in a dog-fight with Notts that might get stymied by the weather. If we do eke a each way return out of Middlesex, and we have two games to go, I will remember Mr Rayner

With Murray's defeat to Wawrinka, winning only 9 games in a straight sets loss, Nadal has gone odds-on 10/11 to win the tournament. He plays his semi-final later
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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« Reply #52573 on: September 06, 2013, 08:11:48 AM »







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« Reply #52574 on: September 06, 2013, 08:23:30 AM »

very good tighty

pleased for Rayner
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