Tips for Tikay

[Marky147]

And the third.....

Hopefully the 4th...

not the 4th lol

[Doobs]

And the third.....

Hopefully the 4th...

not the 4th lol

was watching with fingers over eyes.  I can rest a bit easier now.

[TightEnd]

We have Brees, Stafford and Ryan in the NFL Passing Yards market

One game in, but the link to follow it is

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/passingYardsPerGame

Brees, Stafford and Ryan are in the top ten after week 1


Only two NFL rushers ran for over a 100 yards yesterday. One was a QB, from the Raiders. Unusual day!

A solid start for our three guys tho the one worry was Roddy White seems to be in trouble on that bad ankle which deprived Ryan of one of his main targets. The other worrying thing was the line which had been pretty poor in pre season didn't really protect him very well yesterday either. I had put it down to new players/positions  taking time to gel but it didn't look great yesterday.

Falcons OL got beat for pressure on 21 of 42 dropbacks. Worst in league. By comparison Bengals beaten 3 times on 34 passing plays

[DungBeetle]

Preston v Oldham live game tonight - according to theory I imagine Preston should be too short given

1) Live TV game, and live games have been in short supply this weekend, so punters will be straining at the leash.
2) Punters will want to smash into the home favourite
3) Preston while reasonably fashionable in the division seem to draw a lot more than they win

Thinking the draw might offer a little bit of value at 13/5 with Victor at small stakes?

Obviously Preston win most likely, but they will almost certainly go off too short tonight and I can't have them at 4/5 in places.

Thoughts?

[aaron1867]

Preston v Oldham live game tonight - according to theory I imagine Preston should be too short given

1) Live TV game, and live games have been in short supply this weekend, so punters will be straining at the leash.
2) Punters will want to smash into the home favourite
3) Preston while reasonably fashionable in the division seem to draw a lot more than they win

Thinking the draw might offer a little bit of value at 13/5 with Victor at small stakes?

Obviously Preston win most likely, but they will almost certainly go off too short tonight and I can't have them at 4/5 in places.

Thoughts?

Well 4/5 is definitely no good, as I am sure they was EVS in the early hours

personally think 13/5 is a bit if value to be fair

[Marky147]

And the third.....

Hopefully the 4th...

not the 4th lol

was watching with fingers over eyes.  I can rest a bit easier now.

Haha, you were safe from a long way out there.

[horseplayer]

Spent a fair while on that game earlier Dung

Preston are a solid typical Simon Grayson side will give a solid performance. From reading around the OLdham fans love the side they have now but have said they have gone from playing brilliantly to poorly and back again within 30 minutes of games.

Overall could not find a bet

[horseplayer]

BET SUGGESTION £5 FIRST £5 ANYTIME ROBIN LOD FOR FINLAND V ENGLAND UNDER 21'S KICK OFF 5PM

Right going for most obscure bet on thread

Keeping stakes to a minimum i am not going to pretend to have seen Robin play but he has 29 goals in 75 games including 3 in 4 for Finland Under 19's.

He from what i can tell is an attacking midfielder and i presume Hills having nothing to go on have presumed he is a defensive one or even a defender for whatever reason.

Obviously England are strong favourites so that does not help the bet but the other firms go 20's or 16's first which looks more like it.

[aaron1867]

Spent a fair while on that game earlier Dung

Preston are a solid typical Simon Grayson side will give a solid performance. From reading around the OLdham fans love the side they have now but have said they have gone from playing brilliantly to poorly and back again within 30 minutes of games.

Overall could not find a bet

Yeah +1 to this, not a game I look the like of, but the 13/5 is a little bit of value, considering a draw price is generally 11/5 stuff and doesn't seem to be that much apart to say it should be bigger than 12/5

PS - 2nd in the 5th....

[DungBeetle]

I don't really like the look of the game either to be honest, but I think it is a valid point that bookies will know that punters will want to smash into Prestron tonight after a dry football weekend (and dry week ahead apart from England game) and they'll likely go off too short.  How to take advantage of this I am less sure.

[rinswun]

So, the NHL season starts in the next few weeks with the pre-season schedule beginning later this week. With this in mind I'd like to put up a bet which I think represents good value.

The Ottawa Senators finished the lockout- shortened 2012/13 season at 7th in the Eastern Conference and eliminated the 2nd placed Montreal Canadiens in the playoffs before bowing out in the 2nd round. On the face of it this was a decent if unremarkable season for the franchise. However, a little drill down into their stats indicates that this was actually a remarkable effort  for a team which saw it's starting goalie, best defenceman, and 2 starting top-liners all out with season ending injuries before the half way point in the season. The lineup was decimated and yet coach Paul McLean managed to galvanise them to not only make the playoffs but then win a series. He was subsequently rewarded with the NHL coach of the year award for his efforts.

The off-season was an interesting one for the team. Firstly their captain of 14 years, Daniel Alfredsson, left to join a divisional rival. They then went out and acquired one of the best young power forwards in the game, a giant by the name of Bobby Ryan, giving up a blue-chip prospect and a 1st round pick in the process. It was clear to all observers that Alfredsson effectiveness had been on the wane so the addition of Ryan represents a big step forward. The also found new sponsors for their arena, along with a promise to regenerate the surrounding area.

I've logged some pros and cons.

Pros:
- Best coach in hockey in Paul McLean.
-Goalie Craig Anderson had the best numbers of all NHL goaltenders and was the prime candidate for winning the Vezina award as best goalie prior to his injury after 24 games. He has reported back to camp in full health.
-D-man Eric Karlsson was the Norris award winner as best defenceman in the game in 2012. He was injured after 10 games last year but returned to log heavy minutes in the playoffs. He is 23 years old and an absolute weapon on the blue-line.
-Centre, and likely new captain, Jason Spezza has reported to camp in full health having missed all bar 5 games of last season. He has perennially been one of the top 10 centres in the game and at 30 years old has scope to improve with the added responsibility of the captaincy.
-Bobby Ryan is a significant offensive upgrade on Alfredsson. The franchise paid a lot of their future to get him which indicates to me that they feel their future is now.
-Younger role players who stepped up last year will have improved immeasurably due to having to face the tougher matchups in the absence of all the above players. Dropped back to face secondary line matchups they should be better placed for success.

Cons:

-The two market leaders are very strong and worthy favourites. However, the NHL is not like the NBA where realistically few teams have a shot. Two years ago 8th seeded (8 make the playoffs in each conference) LA Kings shipped the lot for example.
-The NHL has rejigged it's divisions and the Senators look to be in the tougher half of the Eastern Conference. However, there are not as many games against each divisional rival this season which negates this somewhat.
-Injury worries. Are the above injuries likely to reoccur or lead to slow starts?
-Leadership. With Alfreddson gone and a relatively young core, how will the team cope with adversity? They did ok last year, and with the coach of the year in charge I see them being ok.

The bookies currently have them priced up as the 8th best team in the conference but they look to have been lazy and pretty much priced on last years finishing standings only. I see plenty of overrated big market teams ahead of them whose fans back them way too short. I have them as the 3rd best team in the conference and see them making the playoffs relatively easily. Once their they will be a match up the others will want to avoid.

They are currently 33/1 with Lads and Will Hill and I would recommend that £30 should get you a real decent run for your money.

[rinswun]

Wow, that was long, sorry!

[tikay]

BET SUGGESTION £5 FIRST £5 ANYTIME ROBIN LOD FOR FINLAND V ENGLAND UNDER 21'S KICK OFF 5PM

Right going for most obscure bet on thread

Keeping stakes to a minimum i am not going to pretend to have seen Robin play but he has 29 goals in 75 games including 3 in 4 for Finland Under 19's.

He from what i can tell is an attacking midfielder and i presume Hills having nothing to go on have presumed he is a defensive one or even a defender for whatever reason.

Obviously England are strong favourites so that does not help the bet but the other firms go 20's or 16's first which looks more like it.

Sorry John, missed it, fell asleep.

[horseplayer]

BET SUGGESTION £5 FIRST £5 ANYTIME ROBIN LOD FOR FINLAND V ENGLAND UNDER 21'S KICK OFF 5PM

Right going for most obscure bet on thread

Keeping stakes to a minimum i am not going to pretend to have seen Robin play but he has 29 goals in 75 games including 3 in 4 for Finland Under 19's.

He from what i can tell is an attacking midfielder and i presume Hills having nothing to go on have presumed he is a defensive one or even a defender for whatever reason.

Obviously England are strong favourites so that does not help the bet but the other firms go 20's or 16's first which looks more like it.

Sorry John, missed it, fell asleep.

no problem Midfielder scored first but not lod

[horseplayer]

Thought this was a strange transfer at the time



“Because of the racist incidents, Boateng wanted to leave Italy,” Peters said. “He had an arrangement with president Silvio Berlusconi that he could leave if AC Milan qualified for the Champions League group stage.”

When he arrived in Germany in late August, Boateng said only that “sporting reasons” had been behind his decision.

In early January, he walked off the pitch during a friendly match against Pro Patria, whose fans had racially abused him. He was joined by his team-mates, and the game was abandoned.

He has since made a United Nations speech about the problem of racism and said: “Now it’s crazy. It happens every game.”

Boateng was praised for his strong stance against racism. His half-brother Jerome, of Bayern Munich, told Berlin’s Tagesspiegel newspaper he was proud of him and said: “It takes a lot of courage. He showed everyone that enough is enough.

“A lot of players should have done that much earlier, giving a visible sign against daily racism in stadiums just like Kevin and his team-mates did.”

In an interview with ESPN, Kevin-Prince Boateng said: “It’s happened to me before” and looked back at his time on the cinder pitches of Berlin, the city in which he grew up.

He recalled one incident when the father of an opponent racially abused him, saying: “I will never forget the father. He had a big beard and no hair. I even remember his son. I wanted to kick his son so hard. I didn't. I scored a goal, and we won the game. This I remember."