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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16391543 times)
pleno1
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« Reply #54750 on: September 23, 2013, 03:53:27 PM »

in opposition to the Spurs bet, i just think they have such a good squad.

Lamela, Holtby and Sandro will likely come in after being on the bench yesterday. These are 3 seriously good players and Holtby and Lamella looked crazy good vs Cardiff.

If Bale was still here and they didnt buy truck loads of players I would agree, but their squad is just very good at the moment. Given that Villa lost benteke I think they will really struggle.

Villas top striker out.


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They havent conceded a goal in their last 8 matches. Read ALL SEASON, so a team who relies so heavily on one guy AND him being injured just makes me feel like it will be a very difficult task for villa.
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« Reply #54751 on: September 23, 2013, 03:54:20 PM »

looking forward to X factor too, have a few thoughts of my own.
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tikay
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« Reply #54752 on: September 23, 2013, 03:55:22 PM »

The cricket has been abandoned Mr T.

OK hector, thanks for letting us know. Hurry back,. the bath plug seems to have developed a leak.

Why was it abandoned? 
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« Reply #54753 on: September 23, 2013, 03:55:43 PM »

looking forward to X factor too, have a few thoughts of my own.

FML, don't you start too.
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« Reply #54754 on: September 23, 2013, 03:57:48 PM »

in opposition to the Spurs bet, i just think they have such a good squad.

Lamela, Holtby and Sandro will likely come in after being on the bench yesterday. These are 3 seriously good players and Holtby and Lamella looked crazy good vs Cardiff.

If Bale was still here and they didnt buy truck loads of players I would agree, but their squad is just very good at the moment. Given that Villa lost benteke I think they will really struggle.

Villas top striker out.


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They havent conceded a goal in their last 8 matches. Read ALL SEASON, so a team who relies so heavily on one guy AND him being injured just makes me feel like it will be a very difficult task for villa.

OK, we are with you there.

Now Part B.

At what price WOULD Villa be value? There IS a price at which they must be backed, irrespective of who we think will win.

It's hypothetical of course, as we are on now, but good hypothetical.
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« Reply #54755 on: September 23, 2013, 04:00:20 PM »

"He's Chomping at the bit to come back" says his manager

So far this season the Premier League top goalscorers are

Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    4
Olivier Giroud    Arsenal    4
Daniel Sturridge    Liverpool    4
Sergio Aguero    Manchester City    3
Aaron Ramsey    Arsenal    3
Yaya Toure    Manchester City    3
Robin van Persie    Manchester United    3

On Saturday, Suarez's ban is up

Last season he scored 23 goals in 33 league games and coincidentally 33 league games remain this season

He was runner up to RVP last season

Robin Van Persie    Manchester United    26
Luis Suárez    Liverpool    23
Gareth Bale    Tottenham Hotspur    21
Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    19
Michu    Swansea City    18
Romelu Lukaku    West Bromwich Albion    17
Demba Ba    Chelsea / Newcastle United    15
Dimitar Berbatov    Fulham
Rickie Lambert    Southampton
Frank Lampard    Chelsea

This season the top of the league is more competitive than last. You have squad rotation up front at Man C and Chelsea

You probably have no rotation if fit for RVP and Giroud. It could be argued that RVP is in a less dominant team than last seaosn, especially in midfield. Giroud obviously has Ozil providing, but Arsenal were after a striker in August and presumably would be in January. Rotation might be a possibility then

Liverpool are not in Europe. I am assuming if fit Sturridge and Suarez will play as a pair up top.

You obviously have suspension risk with Suarez, but no more injury risk than any other player.

You have some risk in the next transfer window, how much is difficult to quantify.

e/w prices in this market are 1/4 1,2,3,4

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

At 20-1 you receive 5-1 Suarez finishing in the top 4. After 5 games, there are "only" four goals to make up. Benteke is just out, for how long we do not know, RVP missed the last game. Highly unlikely that a majority of those who are on 3-4 goals this season will play all 38 games

I think I'd take 5-1 Suarez being in the top 4 Premier League goal-scorers at the end of this season, bearing in mind that until Sturridge's arrival he was the only real focus for Liverpool's opponents last season and still scored 23

Suggest £20 e/w Suarez 20-1 BoyleSports or Ladbrokes unless you can get the 22-1 StanJames
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« Reply #54756 on: September 23, 2013, 04:09:21 PM »

Monsoon or rainy season, lasting from July to September. The season is dominated by the humid southwest summer monsoon, which slowly sweeps across the country beginning in late May or early June. Monsoon rains begin to recede from North India at the beginning of October. South India typically receives more rainfall.


I am guessing the same people who organised the World cup to take place in a desert in the Summer organised this tournament.
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tikay
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« Reply #54757 on: September 23, 2013, 04:11:45 PM »

Monsoon or rainy season, lasting from July to September. The season is dominated by the humid southwest summer monsoon, which slowly sweeps across the country beginning in late May or early June. Monsoon rains begin to recede from North India at the beginning of October. South India typically receives more rainfall.


I am guessing the same people who organised the World cup to take place in a desert in the Summer organised this tournament.

They have RAIN in India?

Good grief.
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« Reply #54758 on: September 23, 2013, 04:11:59 PM »

Abi Alton
5/1

Would SNAP lay
this. Anyone on here can have for as much as they want. She has a very weak voice, wont be great in most of the weeks and think she is very capable of getting annoying very quickly. im not even sure she will amke it out of judges houses with all the strong female vocals this year.

Id back Rough Copy at 28s. They are very good and were told by x factor to come back. They were supposed to go through last year but there were visa issues. Everybody loves them and the groups look weak this year. Its likely they will get through a few weeks and then not do well in a band week ro something. In week 1 the most important and common thing is lack of nerves and being stage scared, they absolutely love the stage and will smash week 1, I would then lay them as they will or should drop to or something making a tidy profit.

There will most likely be a boy or girl band put together as there are a lot of good voices around the similar age range.

Nicole will take the girls this year and out of the 4 favourites so far, 3 of them are girls so backing her as top judge would be a good idea, but girls dont usually win these days so i would bet to lay this again.

http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-tv/the-x-factor/161296-x-factor-2013-sam-callahans-splits-from-girlfriend-for-the-show.html

This guy had to split with his gf meaning its likely he is through, it was the same as matt cardle and guys like this generally do well so at 10s he looks like good value but there is legit chance that he will be put in a boy band, im not sure how that works with bettings if he wins but is in a band.

Gary will have the groups and I think he will do a good job, especially if he puts together a boyband himself, obviously he knows what it takes. You can get on him at 9/2 which is 3rd favourite, which seems like a good bet.

Lets see what chompy thinks.
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« Reply #54759 on: September 23, 2013, 04:14:17 PM »

"He's Chomping at the bit to come back" says his manager

So far this season the Premier League top goalscorers are

Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    4
Olivier Giroud    Arsenal    4
Daniel Sturridge    Liverpool    4
Sergio Aguero    Manchester City    3
Aaron Ramsey    Arsenal    3
Yaya Toure    Manchester City    3
Robin van Persie    Manchester United    3

On Saturday, Suarez's ban is up

Last season he scored 23 goals in 33 league games and coincidentally 33 league games remain this season

He was runner up to RVP last season

Robin Van Persie    Manchester United    26
Luis Suárez    Liverpool    23
Gareth Bale    Tottenham Hotspur    21
Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    19
Michu    Swansea City    18
Romelu Lukaku    West Bromwich Albion    17
Demba Ba    Chelsea / Newcastle United    15
Dimitar Berbatov    Fulham
Rickie Lambert    Southampton
Frank Lampard    Chelsea

This season the top of the league is more competitive than last. You have squad rotation up front at Man C and Chelsea

You probably have no rotation if fit for RVP and Giroud. It could be argued that RVP is in a less dominant team than last seaosn, especially in midfield. Giroud obviously has Ozil providing, but Arsenal were after a striker in August and presumably would be in January. Rotation might be a possibility then

Liverpool are not in Europe. I am assuming if fit Sturridge and Suarez will play as a pair up top.

You obviously have suspension risk with Suarez, but no more injury risk than any other player.

You have some risk in the next transfer window, how much is difficult to quantify.

e/w prices in this market are 1/4 1,2,3,4

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

At 20-1 you receive 5-1 Suarez finishing in the top 4. After 5 games, there are "only" four goals to make up. Benteke is just out, for how long we do not know, RVP missed the last game. Highly unlikely that a majority of those who are on 3-4 goals this season will play all 38 games

I think I'd take 5-1 Suarez being in the top 4 Premier League goal-scorers at the end of this season, bearing in mind that until Sturridge's arrival he was the only real focus for Liverpool's opponents last season and still scored 23

Suggest £20 e/w Suarez 20-1 BoyleSports or Ladbrokes unless you can get the 22-1 StanJames

This seems like a great bet. Him being transferred in January would be the biggest concern, no idea how likely/unlikely that is though
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
tikay
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« Reply #54760 on: September 23, 2013, 04:14:22 PM »

"He's Chomping at the bit to come back" says his manager

So far this season the Premier League top goalscorers are

Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    4
Olivier Giroud    Arsenal    4
Daniel Sturridge    Liverpool    4
Sergio Aguero    Manchester City    3
Aaron Ramsey    Arsenal    3
Yaya Toure    Manchester City    3
Robin van Persie    Manchester United    3

On Saturday, Suarez's ban is up

Last season he scored 23 goals in 33 league games and coincidentally 33 league games remain this season

He was runner up to RVP last season

Robin Van Persie    Manchester United    26
Luis Suárez    Liverpool    23
Gareth Bale    Tottenham Hotspur    21
Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    19
Michu    Swansea City    18
Romelu Lukaku    West Bromwich Albion    17
Demba Ba    Chelsea / Newcastle United    15
Dimitar Berbatov    Fulham
Rickie Lambert    Southampton
Frank Lampard    Chelsea

This season the top of the league is more competitive than last. You have squad rotation up front at Man C and Chelsea

You probably have no rotation if fit for RVP and Giroud. It could be argued that RVP is in a less dominant team than last seaosn, especially in midfield. Giroud obviously has Ozil providing, but Arsenal were after a striker in August and presumably would be in January. Rotation might be a possibility then

Liverpool are not in Europe. I am assuming if fit Sturridge and Suarez will play as a pair up top.

You obviously have suspension risk with Suarez, but no more injury risk than any other player.

You have some risk in the next transfer window, how much is difficult to quantify.

e/w prices in this market are 1/4 1,2,3,4

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

At 20-1 you receive 5-1 Suarez finishing in the top 4. After 5 games, there are "only" four goals to make up. Benteke is just out, for how long we do not know, RVP missed the last game. Highly unlikely that a majority of those who are on 3-4 goals this season will play all 38 games

I think I'd take 5-1 Suarez being in the top 4 Premier League goal-scorers at the end of this season, bearing in mind that until Sturridge's arrival he was the only real focus for Liverpool's opponents last season and still scored 23

Suggest £20 e/w Suarez 20-1 BoyleSports or Ladbrokes unless you can get the 22-1 StanJames

I just KNOW I'll get grief for this, but that looks VALUE & FUN, so we got on board.

We have £20 EW @ 20/1 (qtr odds, 1,2,3,4) with Boylesports, Suarez, Top PL Goalscorer Chappie.

ON

Bet ref: 115/114
Suarez, Luis @ 20/1 EW 1/4 1,2,3,4
 Premier League 2013/2014
 Top Goalscorer

Total stake

£40.00
Estimated return

£540.00
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TL900
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« Reply #54761 on: September 23, 2013, 04:17:29 PM »

"He's Chomping at the bit to come back" says his manager

So far this season the Premier League top goalscorers are

Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    4
Olivier Giroud    Arsenal    4
Daniel Sturridge    Liverpool    4
Sergio Aguero    Manchester City    3
Aaron Ramsey    Arsenal    3
Yaya Toure    Manchester City    3
Robin van Persie    Manchester United    3

On Saturday, Suarez's ban is up

Last season he scored 23 goals in 33 league games and coincidentally 33 league games remain this season

He was runner up to RVP last season

Robin Van Persie    Manchester United    26
Luis Suárez    Liverpool    23
Gareth Bale    Tottenham Hotspur    21
Christian Benteke    Aston Villa    19
Michu    Swansea City    18
Romelu Lukaku    West Bromwich Albion    17
Demba Ba    Chelsea / Newcastle United    15
Dimitar Berbatov    Fulham
Rickie Lambert    Southampton
Frank Lampard    Chelsea

This season the top of the league is more competitive than last. You have squad rotation up front at Man C and Chelsea

You probably have no rotation if fit for RVP and Giroud. It could be argued that RVP is in a less dominant team than last seaosn, especially in midfield. Giroud obviously has Ozil providing, but Arsenal were after a striker in August and presumably would be in January. Rotation might be a possibility then

Liverpool are not in Europe. I am assuming if fit Sturridge and Suarez will play as a pair up top.

You obviously have suspension risk with Suarez, but no more injury risk than any other player.

You have some risk in the next transfer window, how much is difficult to quantify.

e/w prices in this market are 1/4 1,2,3,4

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

At 20-1 you receive 5-1 Suarez finishing in the top 4. After 5 games, there are "only" four goals to make up. Benteke is just out, for how long we do not know, RVP missed the last game. Highly unlikely that a majority of those who are on 3-4 goals this season will play all 38 games

I think I'd take 5-1 Suarez being in the top 4 Premier League goal-scorers at the end of this season, bearing in mind that until Sturridge's arrival he was the only real focus for Liverpool's opponents last season and still scored 23

Suggest £20 e/w Suarez 20-1 BoyleSports or Ladbrokes unless you can get the 22-1 StanJames

I just KNOW I'll get grief for this, but that looks VALUE & FUN, so we got on board.

We have £20 EW @ 20/1 (qtr odds, 1,2,3,4) with Boylesports, Suarez, Top PL Goalscorer Chappie.

ON

Bet ref: 115/114
Suarez, Luis @ 20/1 EW 1/4 1,2,3,4
 Premier League 2013/2014
 Top Goalscorer

Total stake

£40.00
Estimated return

£540.00
[/b]

do you win different amounts based on where he finishes in the top 4? (if he does) would it be possible for you to break it down for me please? EW bets are confusing for a noob like me
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #54762 on: September 23, 2013, 04:19:10 PM »

You just get 5/1* if he finishes 2nd/3rd/4th Tom.

*11/2 if you can bet with Sid James
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« Reply #54763 on: September 23, 2013, 04:20:51 PM »

TL, no. You place two bets when you go Each Way:

One is on the win at the full price
The other is on him to finish anywhere in the top four, at one quarter (in this case) of the full price.

Doesn't matter where he finishes; you get 1/4 the price for your full stake of the second bet.

Nut result is the win, as you get paid on the win AND the quarter odds place.
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« Reply #54764 on: September 23, 2013, 04:21:44 PM »

ok great, thanks for explaining that guys
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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