Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Log in to betfair.

The first market available is Colon v Arsenal.

What do Tikay's sphincters think?

I thought we had already beaten your lot this season?

Back to your water cooler vox pops about Find Simon Cowell A Christmas Number One, you

Where has the Lorna Simpson post gone.   Seemed like a good bet to me.  

Did I miss that Post? Can someone bump it for me?

BigAdz deleted his own post

[TightEnd]

Only 5 can win it

Natalie, Sophie can dance

Susannah, Abby and Ashley can improve to the leading pack

Susannah could do a Chirs Hollins and pip a "real" dancer on popularity at the end. Remember the final is 100% public voted. Dancing skill is by then secondary to public voting power.l

Decipher, please. It's late, use short words ideally.

Doobs was asking if its a three horse race. I think there are 5 potential winners

Personally i want to see Sophie on the dancing equivalent of a Wet tuesday night away at Port Vale before plunging after the move she has had to second favouritism

On Saturday she was Peyton Manning at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

[tikay]

I wrote

Dear Consultant

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/strictly-come-dancing/next-elimination

McDonald is priced up to go, and that looks likely

Can he pull out a big performance to stay out of the bottom two? Possibly


I think a good alternative is

- a bloke who is desperately nervous/self-conscious
- rigid, no personality, can't act his way through
- no platform to ask for votes

and is 25/1

Ben Cohen. thought his ballroom was disappointing and over-marked

this week back to latin, where he looked like a llama in the headlights in week one


against this

- he's a beefcake and housewives might want him in
- kristina rihanoff is excellent and popular

but a £5 note at 25-1...could see him being bottom two


feltz is a classic softee story, women of a certain age will identify with the "my heart has been broken" tears and jordan will never get voted out early....hairy biker is funny, fullarton will be ok, meaden won't go yet

none of the others will be bottom two on scoring

thoughts?


Consultant replied

So glad you chose him!

If he's still in come December, he will be a contender. I think he looked a lot looser yesterday until he started to freeze (like he remembered he was dancing on telly) and he will pick things up. He will do a good quickstep, you would think.

This week, he has a RUMBA. I'd be setting the line at 18.5. It's not a dance for the stiff of hip and the long and muscly of arm.

Julian, meanwhile, has told the loose women he is doing a JIVE. The producers are being kind to him in the first three dances. This suits short people and he will have lots of fun with thumpy music. This is his best chance to survive.

The biggest problem you have is that the judges might already want him out.

But then Ben is 25/1...

Do it



We recommend £5 Ben Cohen next elimination SCD at 25-1

A punt, but he should be bottom 4 of 13 in the judges scores, then we all ring up and vote for Julien McDonald

Tips 4 tikay gerrymandering

Great analysis again Rich, thank you.

Forgot to say "well done" on that Jacklin coup, too, superbly analysed, with constituents, demographs & all sorts of long words. I got maxed everywhere, & Trev helped me out, but it was a great bet thanks. Think Trev passed the cash to you @ DTD?

PS - Give my regards & trhanks to your "Consultant".


Anyway......

BET PLACED

[tikay]

Only 5 can win it

Natalie, Sophie can dance

Susannah, Abby and Ashley can improve to the leading pack

Susannah could do a Chirs Hollins and pip a "real" dancer on popularity at the end. Remember the final is 100% public voted. Dancing skill is by then secondary to public voting power.l

Decipher, please. It's late, use short words ideally.

Doobs was asking if its a three horse race. I think there are 5 potential winners

Personally i want to see Sophie on the dancing equivalent of a Wet tuesday night away at Port Vale before plunging after the move she has had to second favouritism

On Saturday she was Peyton Manning at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Wonderfully deciphered, from wet Tuesdays, to NFL, to Vale Park, in one short dance. You should be on SCD. 

You do realise we have already backed Hannah Barrett, right?

 

[Marky147]

Taylor is through to the 2nd round of the Grand Prix and will play Paul Nicholson in the 2nd round.

Nicholson played very well defeating Robert Thornton in his first round match, so it should be a decent game on Wednesday.

The best performance of the night goes to Gary Anderson, who absolutely destroyed Jelle Klaasen.

[TightEnd]

Only 5 can win it

Natalie, Sophie can dance

Susannah, Abby and Ashley can improve to the leading pack

Susannah could do a Chirs Hollins and pip a "real" dancer on popularity at the end. Remember the final is 100% public voted. Dancing skill is by then secondary to public voting power.l

Decipher, please. It's late, use short words ideally.

Doobs was asking if its a three horse race. I think there are 5 potential winners

Personally i want to see Sophie on the dancing equivalent of a Wet tuesday night away at Port Vale before plunging after the move she has had to second favouritism

On Saturday she was Peyton Manning at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Wonderfully deciphered, from wet Tuesdays, to NFL, to Vale Park, in one short dance. You should be on SCD. 

You do realise we have already backed Hannah Barrett, right?

Hannah is X-Factor I believe.I am on Tamara, the new Rihanna at 8-1.

Trev gave me £60 at DTD for you. Can bank transfer or give you next time. Whatever you want

[Tal]

Is there much of a pack this year?  The betting suggests it is almost 3 way, with Abbey and Susanna just holding on.  Next in the betting are Rachel and Ben who seem to be well slated everywhere.  

Do I need to do any more than back Mr Hollyoaks to cover myself now?

Honestly? The best dancer right now is Natalie.

Sophie was average week one and outstanding in a dance that clearly perfectly suited her in week two. 2/1 is a rotten price right now.

Susannah, Ashley, Patrick, Ben, Abbey and Fiona all have shown promise to different extents. Chris Hollins and Darren Gough weren't crushing the scoreboard early doors and both won.

Rachel doesn't look like a contender to me. It's early days and she might get time if she is getting votes from the public. But she hasn't shown any real oomph.

It is a long competition (as I'm sure most of you don't need reminding right now!), so stay patient would be my advice.

[tikay]

Taylor is through to the 2nd round of the Grand Prix and will play Paul Nicholson in the 2nd round.

Nicholson played very well defeating Robert Thornton in his first round match, so it should be a decent game on Wednesday.

The best performance of the night goes to Gary Anderson, who absolutely destroyed Jelle Klaasen.

Thanks Marky. A Post in plain English, God bless you.

[tikay]

Is there much of a pack this year?  The betting suggests it is almost 3 way, with Abbey and Susanna just holding on.  Next in the betting are Rachel and Ben who seem to be well slated everywhere.   

Do I need to do any more than back Mr Hollyoaks to cover myself now?

Honestly? The best dancer right now is Natalie.

Sophie was average week one and outstanding in a dance that clearly perfectly suited her in week two. 2/1 is a rotten price right now.

Susannah, Ashley, Patrick, Ben, Abbey and Fiona all have shown promise to different extents. Chris Hollins and Darren Gough weren't crushing the scoreboard early doors and both won.

Rachel doesn't look like a contender to me. It's early days and she might get time if she is getting votes from the public. But she hasn't shown any real oomph.

It is a long competition (as I'm sure most of you don't need reminding right now!), so stay patient would be my advice.

Yes, very long. Like reading a Shakespeare poem, you wonder if it will ever end, & why everyone is laughing. Even Michael McIntyre beats Will.

[Marky147]

Only 5 can win it

Natalie, Sophie can dance

Susannah, Abby and Ashley can improve to the leading pack

Susannah could do a Chirs Hollins and pip a "real" dancer on popularity at the end. Remember the final is 100% public voted. Dancing skill is by then secondary to public voting power.l

Decipher, please. It's late, use short words ideally.

Doobs was asking if its a three horse race. I think there are 5 potential winners

Personally i want to see Sophie on the dancing equivalent of a Wet tuesday night away at Port Vale before plunging after the move she has had to second favouritism

On Saturday she was Peyton Manning at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Wonderfully deciphered, from wet Tuesdays, to NFL, to Vale Park, in one short dance. You should be on SCD.  

You do realise we have already backed Hannah Barrett, right?

Hannah is X-Factor I believe.I am on Tamara, the new Rihanna at 8-1.

Trev gave me £60 at DTD for you. Can bank transfer or give you next time. Whatever you want

You've got some value pie, but I think that's all you'll be eating Rich

That said, I just watched the weekend shows today and she improved a lot from the auditions imo.

Also, it has definitely helped that they have taken away the trowel she was using to whack the makeup on.

[tikay]

NFL tip for tomorrow's game:

Atlanta Falcons first FG - 11/10, PaddyPower - http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-jets-at-atlanta-falcons/1st-field-goal

Three things make me believe this is worth a bet:

1) Matt Ryan is averaging 330 yards passing per game this season, but it has been well documented that Atlanta have one of the worst Red Zone TD percentages in the NFL. This should mean the Falcons end up kicking a lot of field goals.

2) The Jets have the 2nd most giveaways this season, with 12 - The only team with more giveaways at the moment is the Giants (16). This means that the Falcons should get opportunities to start drives with decent field position, and the Jets could potentially end up taking points off the board, too.

3) Also, whenever the Falcons have won the toss this season, they have elected to receive the ball first (Thank you, Atlanta Falcons Twitter page). Not sure how relevant a sample size of 2 really is, but it can only be a good thing for a first field goal bet, right?

No views on this, then?

.......... Bump?

OK Andy, we got some warmth, albeit tepid, so we are on. I got maxed of course, but we have a bet. Nicely constructed suggestion that, thanks.

Good luck bud.

BET PLACED

[tikay]

Only 5 can win it

Natalie, Sophie can dance

Susannah, Abby and Ashley can improve to the leading pack

Susannah could do a Chirs Hollins and pip a "real" dancer on popularity at the end. Remember the final is 100% public voted. Dancing skill is by then secondary to public voting power.l

Decipher, please. It's late, use short words ideally.

Doobs was asking if its a three horse race. I think there are 5 potential winners

Personally i want to see Sophie on the dancing equivalent of a Wet tuesday night away at Port Vale before plunging after the move she has had to second favouritism

On Saturday she was Peyton Manning at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Wonderfully deciphered, from wet Tuesdays, to NFL, to Vale Park, in one short dance. You should be on SCD. 

You do realise we have already backed Hannah Barrett, right?

Hannah is X-Factor I believe.I am on Tamara, the new Rihanna at 8-1.

Trev gave me £60 at DTD for you. Can bank transfer or give you next time. Whatever you want

Hold onto it until I see you, please.

[Tal]

Is there much of a pack this year?  The betting suggests it is almost 3 way, with Abbey and Susanna just holding on.  Next in the betting are Rachel and Ben who seem to be well slated everywhere.   

Do I need to do any more than back Mr Hollyoaks to cover myself now?

Honestly? The best dancer right now is Natalie.

Sophie was average week one and outstanding in a dance that clearly perfectly suited her in week two. 2/1 is a rotten price right now.

Susannah, Ashley, Patrick, Ben, Abbey and Fiona all have shown promise to different extents. Chris Hollins and Darren Gough weren't crushing the scoreboard early doors and both won.

Rachel doesn't look like a contender to me. It's early days and she might get time if she is getting votes from the public. But she hasn't shown any real oomph.

It is a long competition (as I'm sure most of you don't need reminding right now!), so stay patient would be my advice.

Yes, very long. Like reading a Shakespeare poem, you wonder if it will ever end, & why everyone is laughing. Even Michael McIntyre beats Will.

That will be because you're reading out loud

[tikay]

After missing his weekend wins, we have got on the two Bets Mr Channing of BETTING EMPORIUM suggested for tonight's game.

We had agreed a week or two back to do these as & when, but I was waylaid on Sunday.

Shamelessly copied from the BE site, they are......


8 pts New York Jets +10 at 10/11 (vs Atlanta).

10 pts New York Jets/Atlanta UNDER 44 at 10/11.

We actually got 20/21 for the first bet, to £44, & "Under 44.5" for the 2nd bet, to £33.

BETS PLACED

[Marky147]

The X-Factor bet posted by Adz was one we were discussing he kept going on about last night...

Basically it's for Lorna Simpson




To outlast these 2 in the competition







http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/x-factor/top-overs

He liaised with his fellow experts, proper experts that vote on the show and everything (Adz doesn't though )

They were of the opinion that the price was wrong too. Shelly has gotten onto the show via connections from her days playing Grotbags on a kids tv show, and I think she should most likely be gone first time of asking.

Sam Bailey was the early favourite, but despite being good the odds appear to be far too short. I can't quantify it myself, but I happily threw my pony on at 5/1 with bwin