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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16418134 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #57465 on: October 22, 2013, 11:53:32 AM »

Pakistan in the Middle East are fine, its away from home conditions they struggle to get motivated

Why can Pakistan get motivated in Dubai but not elsewhere? I would have thought they would both seem like away games to them. Any idea?

As part of the agreement, the players families get moved across

It's also dry (drink) unless you have a permit, culturally similar

Lots of expats there to support them

Pakistani teams generally struggle outside the sub-continent/familiar conditions. Part of this is cricketing conditions, part is the teams are quite insular culturally...the Pakistani boys generally don't play overseas cricket in T20 competitions, county sides, Australian states etc

They have a really good record in the Middle East, granted its only a four year sample size

The record to be exact is

12 Test Matches: Won 7, Drawn 3, Lost 2 across UAE, Dubai and Sharjah since 2010
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« Reply #57466 on: October 22, 2013, 11:59:37 AM »


maldini & Tighty.

It seems, from what you two are saying, that 13/5 Pakistan is crazy.

I have had £50 @ 13/5 with Boylesports, before that price goes. I'm happy to keep it off-thread, but if we agree it is a Fred Bet (BEFORE the price drops) fine by me.

Should take it

Think the market has been very slow to adjust here, and over-rates SA a lot in these conditions

It's priced as if its being played at the Wanderers, Jo'burg

Please check Betfair always.  It is 3.95 now and was when the first post went up.  It is 14/5 even if you are on 5%.  For those not on, Betfair is your place.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #57467 on: October 22, 2013, 12:03:44 PM »

Pakistan in the Middle East are fine, its away from home conditions they struggle to get motivated

Why can Pakistan get motivated in Dubai but not elsewhere? I would have thought they would both seem like away games to them. Any idea?

As part of the agreement, the players families get moved across

It's also dry (drink) unless you have a permit, culturally similar

Lots of expats there to support them

Pakistani teams generally struggle outside the sub-continent/familiar conditions. Part of this is cricketing conditions, part is the teams are quite insular culturally...the Pakistani boys generally don't play overseas cricket in T20 competitions, county sides, Australian states etc

They have a really good record in the Middle East, granted its only a four year sample size

The record to be exact is

12 Test Matches: Won 7, Drawn 3, Lost 2 across UAE, Dubai and Sharjah since 2010

Actually it is better than that

4 of the Sharjah matches were 2002 and the 2 losses were against Warne, Ponting Mcgrath etc

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/pakistan-v-south-africa-2013-14/engine/records/team/match_results.html?class=1;id=848;type=ground


post 2010 record in middle east is Played 9 Won 5 Drew 4 Lost 0

Dubai Won 3 Drew 1 Lost 0


14/5 Betfair! (thanks)
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tikay
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« Reply #57468 on: October 22, 2013, 12:04:21 PM »


maldini & Tighty.

It seems, from what you two are saying, that 13/5 Pakistan is crazy.

I have had £50 @ 13/5 with Boylesports, before that price goes. I'm happy to keep it off-thread, but if we agree it is a Fred Bet (BEFORE the price drops) fine by me.

Should take it

Think the market has been very slow to adjust here, and over-rates SA a lot in these conditions

It's priced as if its being played at the Wanderers, Jo'burg

Please check Betfair always.  It is 3.95 now and was when the first post went up.  It is 14/5 even if you are on 5%.  For those not on, Betfair is your place.

Bugger.

Admonishment deserved & accepted. Rush rush rush, it's no good. 
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« Reply #57469 on: October 22, 2013, 12:08:50 PM »


maldini & Tighty.

It seems, from what you two are saying, that 13/5 Pakistan is crazy.

I have had £50 @ 13/5 with Boylesports, before that price goes. I'm happy to keep it off-thread, but if we agree it is a Fred Bet (BEFORE the price drops) fine by me.

Should take it

Think the market has been very slow to adjust here, and over-rates SA a lot in these conditions

It's priced as if its being played at the Wanderers, Jo'burg

Please check Betfair always.  It is 3.95 now and was when the first post went up.  It is 14/5 even if you are on 5%.  For those not on, Betfair is your place.

Bugger.

Admonishment deserved & accepted. Rush rush rush, it's no good. 

My fault really, went off to PHA when I should have just put it up when I noticed.  Sorry
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tikay
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« Reply #57470 on: October 22, 2013, 12:11:22 PM »


maldini & Tighty.

It seems, from what you two are saying, that 13/5 Pakistan is crazy.

I have had £50 @ 13/5 with Boylesports, before that price goes. I'm happy to keep it off-thread, but if we agree it is a Fred Bet (BEFORE the price drops) fine by me.

Should take it

Think the market has been very slow to adjust here, and over-rates SA a lot in these conditions

It's priced as if its being played at the Wanderers, Jo'burg

Please check Betfair always.  It is 3.95 now and was when the first post went up.  It is 14/5 even if you are on 5%.  For those not on, Betfair is your place.

Bugger.

Admonishment deserved & accepted. Rush rush rush, it's no good. 

My fault really, went off to PHA when I should have just put it up when I noticed.  Sorry

Nah, I shoulda checked. I was busy doing something else at the time, & pre-ejaculated.
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« Reply #57471 on: October 22, 2013, 12:12:48 PM »

Ice cream bet of the day....

Double on Wolves and MK Dons both to score over 2.5 goals, pays 9.2/1 with Coral.

What? Are you serious?

A DOUBLE?

If only for the opportunity for Tighty to belittle you tomorrow morning, we've tiddlearsed a tenner.

Hope it loses.

BET PLACED
« Last Edit: October 22, 2013, 12:33:43 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #57472 on: October 22, 2013, 12:33:20 PM »

Suggestion: £90 on Arsenal to beat Crystal Palace @ 4/9 with Coral.

Reason: bleedin' obvious innit.

Time to do it: as quick as possible, it can't last long.

I was busy pokering last night when Keith Posted this, so I did not comment at the time, just placed the bet.

But it did strike me as how Pros spot little edges, repeatedly, & I still miss them, as my head often seems to get stuck up dark orifices.

Have you noticed how many times Keith has done this? Watches a game on TV, or sees a result just in, & quick as a flash, in the light of fresh or confirmed evidence, places a bet BEFORE the market can react. I suppose it is habit to him, always check the next game during this one in the light of what is happening. 

I assume what he had confirmed last night is that Palace are enthusiastic, if nothing else. And they are nothing else.

That does not mean the bet will win of course, but we got a value price, & that is crucial.

We make just over 4%, & these spots can be more than 4% in price differential alone. (Says the dumbass bloke who just took a dump price on Pakistan).
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« Reply #57473 on: October 22, 2013, 12:46:05 PM »

for some as yet unknown reason Noel King has gone back out to 14's on the betfair sportsbook

The limits also appear reset as they have allowed me another tenner

The same rules do apply been confirmed in an email to me

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« Reply #57474 on: October 22, 2013, 12:56:46 PM »

for some as yet unknown reason Noel King has gone back out to 14's on the betfair sportsbook

The limits also appear reset as they have allowed me another tenner

The same rules do apply been confirmed in an email to me




I can't find the article, but I read somewhere about an announcement in the first week of November.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #57475 on: October 22, 2013, 12:57:32 PM »

for some as yet unknown reason Noel King has gone back out to 14's on the betfair sportsbook

The limits also appear reset as they have allowed me another tenner

The same rules do apply been confirmed in an email to me



Was too slow, now 7/2 again.  He was 3/1 when I looked yesterday.  
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« Reply #57476 on: October 22, 2013, 01:00:22 PM »

think it was a rick for whatever reason

anyway i now have another tenner on a man i would not recognise if he walked into me in the street

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tikay
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« Reply #57477 on: October 22, 2013, 01:04:12 PM »

think it was a rick for whatever reason

anyway i now have another tenner on a man i would not recognise if he walked into me in the street



I have absolutely NO interest in punting this Market, but I thought it may amuse & entertain you horsey, & a few others.

Prices for the next 'Boro manager are.....

It does give a hint into the depth of quality available in the Managership stakes though.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/middlesbrough/next-permanent-manager

Some real comedy gold there. Wink

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« Reply #57478 on: October 22, 2013, 01:08:36 PM »

who put up terry venables at 22/1 with skybet tikay? Smiley
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The Camel
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« Reply #57479 on: October 22, 2013, 01:15:36 PM »

think it was a rick for whatever reason

anyway i now have another tenner on a man i would not recognise if he walked into me in the street



I have absolutely NO interest in punting this Market, but I thought it may amuse & entertain you horsey, & a few others.

Prices for the next 'Boro manager are.....

It does give a hint into the depth of quality available in the Managership stakes though.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/middlesbrough/next-permanent-manager

Some real comedy gold there. Wink



Surprising they didn't fire Mowbray when Mr Brolly was still on the market.

About the only place he'd be welcomed with open arms I reckon.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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