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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16572317 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #58095 on: October 30, 2013, 09:39:01 AM »

Aargh, I missed the 14-1 Tom Hanks for best actor Oscar, and he's now 6-1 generally.

However, Hills go 10-1, which has to be taken. I can't get on with these clowns, so I'll take £100 if anyone else can get on?

For here, though, the rec is £50 @ 10-1.

Awesome performance, just awesome. Don't know whether he'll be up yet, but there's no justice if he isn't. Deserves the gong just for the closing few minutes.
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« Reply #58096 on: October 30, 2013, 09:51:31 AM »

WILSOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONNNNNNNNNNNN!!!!!
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« Reply #58097 on: October 30, 2013, 10:03:48 AM »

Aargh, I missed the 14-1 Tom Hanks for best actor Oscar, and he's now 6-1 generally.

However, Hills go 10-1, which has to be taken. I can't get on with these clowns, so I'll take £100 if anyone else can get on?

For here, though, the rec is £50 @ 10-1.

Awesome performance, just awesome. Don't know whether he'll be up yet, but there's no justice if he isn't. Deserves the gong just for the closing few minutes.

thought he was terrific. very much enjoyed the film, and it was a real "oscar bait" type performance. All craft and actors method

Who is he up against this year?
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« Reply #58098 on: October 30, 2013, 10:11:06 AM »

Aargh, I missed the 14-1 Tom Hanks for best actor Oscar, and he's now 6-1 generally.

However, Hills go 10-1, which has to be taken. I can't get on with these clowns, so I'll take £100 if anyone else can get on?

For here, though, the rec is £50 @ 10-1.

Awesome performance, just awesome. Don't know whether he'll be up yet, but there's no justice if he isn't. Deserves the gong just for the closing few minutes.

thought he was terrific. very much enjoyed the film, and it was a real "oscar bait" type performance. All craft and actors method

Who is he up against this year?

The price has gone already.  Hills aren't going to stand much of a battering from Team Chompy on that market.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #58099 on: October 30, 2013, 10:12:29 AM »

I see we have a bet on Barnsley on here for top Yorkshire club, but look at this....

Top South Yorkshire Club:

Doncaster 8/11

Wednesday 2/1

Barnsley 4/1

It seems like a bit of value to backing Barnsley here, there seems to be hardly anything between all three at the moment, but out of the three I wouldn't have Barnsley at 4/1 & they have a nice set of fixtures coming up, compared to the others.

How it stands at the moment

18th Doncaster 12pts

23rd Barnsley 9pts

24th Wednesday 8pts

A season long bet, but never ever having Barnsley at 4's here and suggest a small £30 bet on Barnsley at 4-1 with Bet Victor

Sorry for being late to the party but I agree with Aaron that this price just looks wrong.  I was planning a detailed amount of BFC-related insight as to why this is, but Aaron nailed it in the post by saying there's hardly anything between the three.  Basically you could switch the team order around whichever way you like and I'd back whichever one was priced at 4/1 and think it was good value.

I'm not quite sure where we're heading this season.  We have a stronger squad than last year, and our form has picked up a little, but Flitcroft could well be out of a job in the next few weeks and seems incapable of finding his best 11 at the moment.  Consequently, both Wednesday and BFC may soon have new managers, all 3 clubs are known to be available for sale to the right offer, and this could conceivably be a bet on the order of the bottom 3.

Too much uncertainty for anyone to be able to confidently price them up like that, IMO.
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« Reply #58100 on: October 30, 2013, 10:12:42 AM »

Somebody obv told Bailey thread was on sixes.
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tikay
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« Reply #58101 on: October 30, 2013, 10:14:52 AM »

Somebody obv told Bailey thread was on sixes.

FIVE sixes now, so we are up & running.

Bailey is on 74, so well in range of oi-oi territory.....
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« Reply #58102 on: October 30, 2013, 10:15:54 AM »

Aargh, I missed the 14-1 Tom Hanks for best actor Oscar, and he's now 6-1 generally.

However, Hills go 10-1, which has to be taken. I can't get on with these clowns, so I'll take £100 if anyone else can get on?

For here, though, the rec is £50 @ 10-1.

Awesome performance, just awesome. Don't know whether he'll be up yet, but there's no justice if he isn't. Deserves the gong just for the closing few minutes.

BAD timing there, I've been in a Meeting for the last hour, & missed the price completely.
« Last Edit: October 30, 2013, 10:28:04 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #58103 on: October 30, 2013, 10:16:30 AM »

TIIIMMMMBBBEEEEERRRRR!

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/oscars/best-actor
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« Reply #58104 on: October 30, 2013, 10:27:36 AM »

Maxwell just out for single figures

I think that probably seals it for the Bailey bet

Will post up the runs at the end of this innings so we can see what sort of miracle we can lose to on Saturday!
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« Reply #58105 on: October 30, 2013, 10:29:01 AM »

Maxwell just out for single figures

I think that probably seals it for the Bailey bet

Will post up the runs at the end of this innings so we can see what sort of miracle we can lose to on Saturday!

BOOM!

Miracles apart, that'll be a great start to the November numbers.
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tikay
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« Reply #58106 on: October 30, 2013, 10:32:01 AM »

I see we have a bet on Barnsley on here for top Yorkshire club, but look at this....

Top South Yorkshire Club:

Doncaster 8/11

Wednesday 2/1

Barnsley 4/1

It seems like a bit of value to backing Barnsley here, there seems to be hardly anything between all three at the moment, but out of the three I wouldn't have Barnsley at 4/1 & they have a nice set of fixtures coming up, compared to the others.

How it stands at the moment

18th Doncaster 12pts

23rd Barnsley 9pts

24th Wednesday 8pts

A season long bet, but never ever having Barnsley at 4's here and suggest a small £30 bet on Barnsley at 4-1 with Bet Victor

Sorry for being late to the party but I agree with Aaron that this price just looks wrong.  I was planning a detailed amount of BFC-related insight as to why this is, but Aaron nailed it in the post by saying there's hardly anything between the three.  Basically you could switch the team order around whichever way you like and I'd back whichever one was priced at 4/1 and think it was good value.

I'm not quite sure where we're heading this season.  We have a stronger squad than last year, and our form has picked up a little, but Flitcroft could well be out of a job in the next few weeks and seems incapable of finding his best 11 at the moment.  Consequently, both Wednesday and BFC may soon have new managers, all 3 clubs are known to be available for sale to the right offer, and this could conceivably be a bet on the order of the bottom 3.

Too much uncertainty for anyone to be able to confidently price them up like that, IMO.

Thanks Curtis, guess I'd better load up.
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« Reply #58107 on: October 30, 2013, 10:36:39 AM »

Started me off now, Chompy...

One of the big dangers could be from Tom Hanks. He will shortly be on the big screen again, but this time in the role of Walt Disney. It's supposedly also a cracker.

Watch out for Leonardo "I'm either brilliant or awful" DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street, as it will be a late release and that could mean it's fresh in the judges' minds.

The Cannes Festival best actor was Bruce Dern in Nebraska. He is tipped to do well in what appears to be a proper tearjerker. His only other Best Actor nomination was 35 years ago.
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« Reply #58108 on: October 30, 2013, 10:40:09 AM »

I see we have a bet on Barnsley on here for top Yorkshire club, but look at this....

Top South Yorkshire Club:

Doncaster 8/11

Wednesday 2/1

Barnsley 4/1

It seems like a bit of value to backing Barnsley here, there seems to be hardly anything between all three at the moment, but out of the three I wouldn't have Barnsley at 4/1 & they have a nice set of fixtures coming up, compared to the others.

How it stands at the moment

18th Doncaster 12pts

23rd Barnsley 9pts

24th Wednesday 8pts

A season long bet, but never ever having Barnsley at 4's here and suggest a small £30 bet on Barnsley at 4-1 with Bet Victor

Thanks Aaron.

This one went though consultation, but the concensus seems to be it is definitely value. It might not click, but 4/1 is the key.

We are on.

BET PLACED
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« Reply #58109 on: October 30, 2013, 10:53:26 AM »

Somebody obv told Bailey thread was on sixes.

FIVE sixes now, so we are up & running.

Bailey is on 74, so well in range of oi-oi territory.....

SIX sixes now, & plenty of time for more. Bailey still at the crease, in full flow now, with 7 overs remaining, & India still to bat. 
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