Tips for Tikay

[Spudy]

Anyone fancy Al Thakhira for the 2250?

[BigAdz]

Anyone fancy Al Thakhira for the 2250?

Yup. which so far is a reason to avoid it!!

[Spudy]

Hope you have a change of fortune!

[Karabiner]

Anyone fancy Al Thakhira for the 2250?

Yup. which so far is a reason to avoid it!!

I'm on it too which makes it double jeopardy.

[Spudy]

Carnage

[BigAdz]

Good Old Willie. Nice one!!

[Marky147]

Good Old Willie. Nice one!!

Almost went for a burton coming down those steps

[horseplayer]

all downhill from the first anyway would have taken that

Tikay i am not going to be around at all tommorow so re the Olympic Glory place lay i would not like a liability of more than £40 on the bet

Ideally of course would like to lay as low as possible but as i cant monitor the market tommorow, if Chompy is around be good if he could suggest a price

[tikay]

all downhill from the first anyway would have taken that

Tikay i am not going to be around at all tommorow so re the Olympic Glory place lay i would not like a liability of more than £40 on the bet

Ideally of course would like to lay as low as possible but as i cant monitor the market tommorow, if Chompy is around be good if he could suggest a price

Thanks John.

I believe Lord Chomps is in warmer climes at present.

[Chompy]

 No idea what the right price to be place laying would be, or whether it's even gonna be a bet tbh. Can't be of any assistance on this occasion, Cletus just sent me giddy.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £25-00

Outstanding Bets £2893.56

Free bets to use, ONE WILLIAM HILL ON SATURDAY

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A profit of £80 on Friday thanks to London Bridge winning at the Breeders Cup for a profit of £160. I read that London Bridge was crushed at Wolverhampton in March, then ran in a Class 6 at Brighton in the summer, then won last night and now has been sold to race in Australia!

Anyway, London Bridge produced a profit on Day 1 at Santa Anita of £110

At the ATP Tennis in Paris, Berdych won the first set off Ferrer, then lost the next two for a £30 loss

Shiv Kapur is well placed in 2nd in the Golf at 20-1 e/w. Jordan Speith less so in the WGC Champions, T11 after 2 rounds.

At Portman Road, Barnsley, by all accounts, produced a very good second half performance to come from behind and draw 1-1 with Ipswich. Thats a point closer to top half (cough) and top South Yorkhire club then (smaller cough)


Saturday will see another busy day

The Bailey bet finishes in the final ODI in India

There are £65 worth of bets placed on Breeders Cup Saturday

Arsenal play Liverpool, we have positions on both and Suarez

All of Marcus Mariotta, Bent, Rodriguez, Navas, Cazorla, Nugent, Ings, Vokes, Wells, Assombolonga and Bamford are in action

Texas A and M Tranmere, Watford (Sky Sports 12.15pm), Hull City, Cardiff City, Kidderminster, Southampton and Crystal Palace all play

We have Sheff U at Shrewsbury

Brett Morris on the wing for Australia in the RL WC

Dave Myers "dancing"on Strictly

Hannah Barratt quivering her bottom lip and trying not to cry on X Factor


In the other sporting events with no positions yet column

England play Australia at Twickenham

Good British racing at Wetherby (i think)

F1 Qualifying in Abu Dhabi


Got all that? Good, there will be a test on Sunday

[Longy]

Mariota and oregon have a bye this weekend ahead of the biggest game of the season @5. Stanford next Thursday night.

Texas A&M might as well have a bye as they host UTEP, which I think stands for University of Texas El Paso.

[tikay]

Checking in rather late this morning......

I'll get all last night's suggestions & recommends sorted shortly, including the Wm Hill Free bet.

Tighty gave 3 England - Australia "hints", were they for Fred, or just put out there to mull over?

First, I need to do some stuff Next Door, will take about an hour. Very busy there at present.

Am working tonight, so can't process bets after 6pm.

Need to time my journey to work with some care, too, as I drive smack past the front door of this place.....

[Doobs]

It is more that in bad weather and a tight game the incidence of drop goals goes up compared to open games in good weather

I think it might be very close, obviously.

Sorry for not coming back earlier, was busy.  Farrell has scored one drop goal in 16 games for England.  I had a quick look through the stats on the Australians and I don't think any of them are prolific either.  So in a normal game you might expect 1 drop goal 1 time in 8?? 

I am not a big follower of Rugby Union, but I am guessing that if you looked at the fixtures that England and Australia play you could probably make a case that half of them look like they could be close games in advance.  So even if you assume nobody ever drops a goal in an uneven game, you aren't going to get a drop goal in the close games between these nations any more than 1 in 4.

If we are only offered 7/4, we would need to be reasonably confident we are 6/4 or so to hit a drop goal.  I just can't see how we get there.  I could be missing something, as there may well be an Aussie I don't know about who hits drop goals for fun in club games or something.  That isn't part of the argument though, so to me this just looks a bet that is bad value. 

Of course it is inevitable now, he pings one in the last minute.

[tikay]

Just a reminder, that remarkable Bailey bet concludes today.

India are batting first, (207/4 after 36 overs) so the official oi oi's will have be be on hold for a few hours yet.

Click to see full-size image.