Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Is chompy multi-accounting or are there now two omniscient reality show buffs?

[tikay]

superb post ant

Which of this week's FOUR (?!) Palace bets would you suggest Fred gets on, horsey?

No view on any of them

Got to admire the passion though and the work he puts in

"no view"? I RAISE!

Definitely admire his passion though, yes, & he puts a ton of work into his stuff.

[tikay]

For anybody that might want a bet on Dancing on Ice, here are a few that ’I've pulled out of the pack.

Hayley Tamaddon is second Favorite at 4-1, I have taken her over Ray Quinn, the 13/8 best price is just far to short for him when essentially they are nearly the same. Ray might be a better skater (was top on judges scorecards every week he skated won he won his series) but Hayley had a higher percentage of the public vote +80% in the final (Rays was in the 70%’s). Neither should be in the bottom two and if they both get to the final I’m taking Hayley to be more popular due to her currently being on Coronation Street, known from her Emmerdale days which are exactly the people that will be watching and voting on this thing.

The only others I think might sneak into it I’ve looked at each way (Ladbrokes have got the best offer ¼ 1,2,3):

Kyran Bracken is best priced 10-1 with them – he could win as he was the lowest scorer out of the three in his final but was very popular with the public and won (I think at the time people couldn’t believe a lumbering rugby playing would be any good, but he was) He then won the champion of champions (but this was straight after his main win so probably doesn’t mean much, As he lost the following year on the Christmas special to Suzanne Shaw who had just won the main series). I just think the 10-1 is too big, I would have him more at 11/2. Ive took the each way with Ladbrokes.

At 14-1 Suzanne Shaw is to big a price, she also won her series and I might have fancied her for the win here but she is not as in the public eye as Hayley and it will really depend on how she comes across on the show (no problem with her skating ability as she has also scored a perfect 60). I would have had her more around 7-1 which is available with a few.

Both Shaw and Tamaddon keep the same partner (In fact Hayley and her partner are childhood friends who has won this 3 times and been on every series and is defiantly a fans favourite, he also won last year with Beth Tweedle). Kyran’s original partner is no longer on the show.

Dangers:

Ray Quinn is favourite because he was top every week from the judges and was popular with the public, But he is not in a soap anymore and has not come off the X Factor like last time.

Beth Tweedle won last year and is an Olympian, but I’m sure that will only get her so far, especially as she is not just coming off an Olympic medal. Her best price is 12-1 with sky so there maybe a couple of quid on the win,  but there is no each way.

Sam Attwater won his series in not a particularly strong year, but also his partner that he won with is paired with Gareth Gates, not sure why she would be with Gareth as he was only 4th on his year. Sam is also no longer in a soap so may not be as popular with the public. I think 8-1 to short.

I cant see any of the others winning, a few are in for the comedy value so will last a few weeks but cant be saved buy the public forever, but it will cause the middle of the pack to be in trouble as they will end up in the bottom two and someone must go.

There is not a lot of money on Betfair at the moment for this however what there is has Hayley 7/2 Kyran 15/2 and Suzanne 7/1, these are the three for me.

Credentials: Certainly do not want to after time, but just to back up my track record, I had the winner of the X factor at 8-1, I had 2nd in Celebrity big brother at 25-1 and i had 2nd in Im a Celeb get me out of her at 34-1. This time i thought i would share my thoughts, watch them all lose now!

Oooh, lots to absorb there. The problem is, I have absolutely no idea on this sort of stuff, I'm totally clueless.

I've got dsome stuff to do right now, Next Door, but I'll have a proper read through later, & if the other Reality sorts - Doobs, Chompy, Tal, Tighty, bobby or anyone else have any views, I'm all ears.

[tikay]

I hereby endorse all four of Ant's bets for the max stake, £1.2k investment, no rebuffs.

Stuey Gray is out to 1/2 after last night's mudbath. Any thoughts on a possible cover horsey?

Pack it in. You are not helping.

[Chompy]

Good work Omm, Ima following you in. Defo not watching it, though, unless any of them take a penguin on the ice.

Previous public votes are all that counts imo. In this series of X Factor, Sam Bailey topped the vote eight weeks in ten and Nick topped it the other two. She polled 54% in the final, he had 46%. The two were completely dominant the whole way. Sounds like we can expect more of the same here.

Recomment £300 on the Tammers @ 4/1 general, Dancing On Shite

All aboard the Tamaddon express, woo woo!

[BigAdz]

For anybody that might want a bet on Dancing on Ice, here are a few that ’I've pulled out of the pack.

Hayley Tamaddon is second Favorite at 4-1, I have taken her over Ray Quinn, the 13/8 best price is just far to short for him when essentially they are nearly the same. Ray might be a better skater (was top on judges scorecards every week he skated won he won his series) but Hayley had a higher percentage of the public vote +80% in the final (Rays was in the 70%’s). Neither should be in the bottom two and if they both get to the final I’m taking Hayley to be more popular due to her currently being on Coronation Street, known from her Emmerdale days which are exactly the people that will be watching and voting on this thing.

The only others I think might sneak into it I’ve looked at each way (Ladbrokes have got the best offer ¼ 1,2,3):

Kyran Bracken is best priced 10-1 with them – he could win as he was the lowest scorer out of the three in his final but was very popular with the public and won (I think at the time people couldn’t believe a lumbering rugby playing would be any good, but he was) He then won the champion of champions (but this was straight after his main win so probably doesn’t mean much, As he lost the following year on the Christmas special to Suzanne Shaw who had just won the main series). I just think the 10-1 is too big, I would have him more at 11/2. Ive took the each way with Ladbrokes.

At 14-1 Suzanne Shaw is to big a price, she also won her series and I might have fancied her for the win here but she is not as in the public eye as Hayley and it will really depend on how she comes across on the show (no problem with her skating ability as she has also scored a perfect 60). I would have had her more around 7-1 which is available with a few.

Both Shaw and Tamaddon keep the same partner (In fact Hayley and her partner are childhood friends who has won this 3 times and been on every series and is defiantly a fans favourite, he also won last year with Beth Tweedle). Kyran’s original partner is no longer on the show.

Dangers:

Ray Quinn is favourite because he was top every week from the judges and was popular with the public, But he is not in a soap anymore and has not come off the X Factor like last time.

Beth Tweedle won last year and is an Olympian, but I’m sure that will only get her so far, especially as she is not just coming off an Olympic medal. Her best price is 12-1 with sky so there maybe a couple of quid on the win,  but there is no each way.

Sam Attwater won his series in not a particularly strong year, but also his partner that he won with is paired with Gareth Gates, not sure why she would be with Gareth as he was only 4th on his year. Sam is also no longer in a soap so may not be as popular with the public. I think 8-1 to short.

I cant see any of the others winning, a few are in for the comedy value so will last a few weeks but cant be saved buy the public forever, but it will cause the middle of the pack to be in trouble as they will end up in the bottom two and someone must go.

There is not a lot of money on Betfair at the moment for this however what there is has Hayley 7/2 Kyran 15/2 and Suzanne 7/1, these are the three for me.

Credentials: Certainly do not want to after time, but just to back up my track record, I had the winner of the X factor at 8-1, I had 2nd in Celebrity big brother at 25-1 and i had 2nd in Im a Celeb get me out of her at 34-1. This time i thought i would share my thoughts, watch them all lose now!

Loving your work Omm. Didnt realise she was going on Corry, could be a deal clincher!

Dont ever aftertime though mate.

 Dont matter how much good you do before or after, the British public will only remember the bad bits!

[TightEnd]

Never watched dancing on ice, can't help

On Mr War Ant Peace,

are we ready to abandon this to get on any/all of his bets?

13-Aug   horseplayer   Coral   May-2014   Football   Premier League: to finish bottom   Crystal Palace   13/5   50

Bet looked nailed on, bet looks far less so now post Pulis bounce.

Before we do an Eso though, thats the first question.....

[tikay]

Never watched dancing on ice, can't help

On Mr War Ant Peace,

are we ready to abandon this to get on any/all of his bets?

13-Aug   horseplayer   Coral   May-2014   Football   Premier League: to finish bottom   Crystal Palace   13/5   50

Bet looked nailed on, bet looks far less so now post Pulis bounce.

Before we do an Eso though, thats the first question.....

Ooh, cutting, but clever.

From now on, War Ant Peace it shall be.

[Tal]

Had no idea who she was. Just seen she was Delilah Dingle in t'Emmerdale.

From her "official" website:

Celebrity Based Shows

Winning Dancing on Ice 2010 was a dream come true for me. Performing the Bolero t a TV audience of over Ten million was amazing.

I've won "Soapstar Superchef" which showed off my cooking skills (actually my father and brother both work as Chefs); "Celebrity Stars in their Eyes" saw me playing a very convincing 'Lulu' even the real Lulu commented how good I looked and sang!

Michael Ball was one of the judges on "Soapstar Superstar" and was so impressed with my singing that he asked me to join him on his concert tour which was fabulous.

And I scared myself silly on "Ghost hunting with the Dingles" as we saw my hidden psychic powers coming to the fore front...

Was soapstar superchef voted on by the public? Additional D by the name alongside the CD if so.

Have to say I'd sooner watch last night's game than DOI, but the literati seem keen for this contestant, so who am I to argue?

[bobby1]

I'm a little busy so haven't read all the DOI stuff but have seen Bracken mentioned a few times, there is a chance he is not fully fit at the moment so should probably keep that in mind.

I have backed Quinn a few times in the last week or so and think the front two will be hard to beat.

[The Camel]

TV Gold with a tip attached

Should have finished with someone dressed in the same clothes at Tikay doing triple salchows and double toe loops.

[sonour]

The PP NBA offer is on again tonight, and for the next couple.

Tonight's game is Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat, the two top sides in the east, so it's likely to be close (and likely to trigger the money back as points in the last 10 secs happen much more in close games, where they foul opponents to stop the clock.

No price up yet as Lebron, Miami's star, is a game-time decision with an ankle injury. I'll be very surprised if he doesn't play tbh, seems fine. They lost to the Pacers last week and don't play them again for months so it's got some importance. Indiana also have the better record, so tie-breakers may come into it in the playoffs way down the line.

I'll be online and follow all the guys on twitter who will have Lebron news when it comes, stay tuned!

(tbh with the concession whichever side we pick is a value bet I reckon, but they won't price it while he's uncertain by the looks of it, tho this train wifi is patchy so might be there somehwhere)

Thanks for this Jaffa. Can you keep reminding us when these are on please ?

[Omm]

I'm a little busy so haven't read all the DOI stuff but have seen Bracken mentioned a few times, there is a chance he is not fully fit at the moment so should probably keep that in mind.

I have backed Quinn a few times in the last week or so and think the front two will be hard to beat.

Your right bobby, he broke his ankle last month, but he is still training and no mention of him pulling out.

[horseplayer]

Im a Celeb get me out of her

this sounds like a show i may well watch

[bobby1]

I'm a little busy so haven't read all the DOI stuff but have seen Bracken mentioned a few times, there is a chance he is not fully fit at the moment so should probably keep that in mind.

I have backed Quinn a few times in the last week or so and think the front two will be hard to beat.

Your right bobby, he broke his ankle last month, but he is still training and no mention of him pulling out.

yes, I don't think there is a chance of him pulling out and he should get through the initial stages anyway but obviously ice skating on a recently broken ankle against good skaters that are fully fit could be giving away a hefty advantage if there is any lingering niggle there.