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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427190 times)
Marky147
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« Reply #63045 on: December 28, 2013, 12:29:25 AM »

Huddersfield v Yeovil on 29th.

Huddersfield not doing bad at the moment & stopped derby in their tracks on Boxing Day, whilst Yeovil are again struggling, hammered 3-0 by Bournemouth.

Huddersfield 20/23 with victor, suggest £34.50 for simplicity when it wins Wink

Thanks Aaron, will have a look tonight.

Would appreciate feedback from others on this, as the price looks about right to me. Remember, we are looking for exceptional value, prices ool, or some info that is not in the price.

The prices are here......


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/huddersfield-v-yeovil/winner

We've missed the 20/23 bet anyway, but I still think 5/6 is a bet for £30.

Huddersfield look like a very good team & underrated by the bookies, whilst Yeovil are just looking like Yeovil at the minute, be very surprised if Yeovil won this! I don't think 5/6 will be around come Sunday either.

I chucked a pony at it when Jakally got in your corner, so hopefully my curry will be free tomorrow night!
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Marky147
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« Reply #63046 on: December 28, 2013, 12:30:13 AM »

Couldn't Smith be another Kirk Shepherd?

No. Shepherd was useless and somehow made a world final with a low 80s ave. Smith is more MVG than Shepherd. Loads of talent an had only ever produced in flashes before this tournament. Should kick on from here.

Good. We like open tournaments with good quality darts. Would think Taylor will finish his contract (2-3 years?) and then perhaps move aside gracefully.

Those two words don't really go together, Tal...
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exstream
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« Reply #63047 on: December 28, 2013, 12:34:12 AM »

Darts Update

We doubled the number of 100+ averages tonight after Snakebite had a 105 ave in beating Michael Smith in a sensational game. That gives the 100+ ave bet some hope as on that form it won't be his last 100+ ave of the tournament. We have chances tomorrow with MVG, Lewis and Anderson.

How many on now?
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tikay
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« Reply #63048 on: December 28, 2013, 12:39:40 AM »

Huddersfield v Yeovil on 29th.

Huddersfield not doing bad at the moment & stopped derby in their tracks on Boxing Day, whilst Yeovil are again struggling, hammered 3-0 by Bournemouth.

Huddersfield 20/23 with victor, suggest £34.50 for simplicity when it wins Wink

Thanks Aaron, will have a look tonight.

Would appreciate feedback from others on this, as the price looks about right to me. Remember, we are looking for exceptional value, prices ool, or some info that is not in the price.

The prices are here......


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/huddersfield-v-yeovil/winner

We've missed the 20/23 bet anyway, but I still think 5/6 is a bet for £30.

Huddersfield look like a very good team & underrated by the bookies, whilst Yeovil are just looking like Yeovil at the minute, be very surprised if Yeovil won this! I don't think 5/6 will be around come Sunday either.

edit - then again, 5/6 isn't value really at the moment.... so can see why it will get rebuffed now! Cheesy

I am struggling to reconcile those two statements, Aaron.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #63049 on: December 28, 2013, 12:42:45 AM »

Ha! Yeah, I think it's a bet, but then again it's not massive value at the moment as a handful of bookies have them at 5/6. Think it is value in the longer run, as I doubt they will be 5/6 come kick off.

But we did miss 20/23 yesterday, which was probably best value we was going to get!
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Marky147
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« Reply #63050 on: December 28, 2013, 12:50:08 AM »

Think Aaron is saying that 5/6 is generally available, so isn't huge value. However, he thinks it will go off a fair way shorter than 5/6, so essentially will be good value by kickoff.

Jakally is a shrewdie, so I think you should get on Wink
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« Reply #63051 on: December 28, 2013, 12:54:29 AM »

Think Aaron is saying that 5/6 is generally available, so isn't huge value. However, he thinks it will go off a fair way shorter than 5/6, so essentially will be good value by kickoff.

Jakally is a shrewdie, so I think you should get on Wink

I knew it would be my fault..... Smiley
The 'right' price is probably late 1.7's so you've got 3-4% at 5/6, and a bit more at 20/23.
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tikay
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« Reply #63052 on: December 28, 2013, 12:54:53 AM »

Think Aaron is saying that 5/6 is generally available, so isn't huge value. However, he thinks it will go off a fair way shorter than 5/6, so essentially will be good value by kickoff.

Jakally is a shrewdie, so I think you should get on Wink

Ha, & we might just do so, but I'm just trying to approach this rationally, & the feedback has not exactly been overwhelming.

This morning, I said........

Would appreciate feedback from others on this, as the price looks about right to me. Remember, we are looking for exceptional value, prices ool, or some info that is not in the price.


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tikay
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« Reply #63053 on: December 28, 2013, 01:02:46 AM »

Hi teeks, hope u had a fine festive feast.

As far as I know, the MBS special is on every BT Sport game in December. You're right, yesterday was the classic push as u said, two wins, two losses, one money back. But we got the free £10 bet for making five NBA bets after a chat with live chat. Have placed two tonight, like the first one more than second:

Houston -7.5 v Memphis
Portland -4 v LA Clippers

GL

Maybe I missed these, Jeff, but I don't see either of these games listed on PP.

The only game currently with the MBS logo is Phoenix Suns @ GSW.
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« Reply #63054 on: December 28, 2013, 01:05:26 AM »

Daily Report

Profit on day       £178
Profit on month  £786.92


Yesterday was a Mary Poppins day, practically perfect in every way. Chat and banter in abundance and to cap it all a healthy profit.  4 bets completed with 3 of them showing a profit. The only loser being a horse for an amount that was the tiddle side of tiddlearse, and  a loss of £2.

Pride of place goes to horseplayer for putting up Malky Mackay to lose his job, £20 at a lovely 5-1. We will have to wait and see who Mr Tan gets for a job with all the security of one of those guys in red tops who beam down to the alien planets with Kirk.

We opposed Nadal in the tennis and saw him lose to his compatriot Ferrer in straight sets. £20 at 3-1 binked us another £60.

Our final bet of the day was supporting Wasps to beat Newcastle at rugby, by more than 1 point. The bet was never in danger after a 10-0 first half performance in the wet. Another £20 banked.

Without a report yesterday we failed to give kudos to Rubbish giving us Ospreys to beat Scarlets. As he said in his propodsal, away wins between all Welsh matches are hard to come by in the Pro12 but he gave us this one.

The days bets were completed with 3 bets on Sundays US football coutersy of Mr Tightend.


Mr T has often enquired about the machinations of my mind. This is an impossible thing to answer but I will give you all an insight. Whenever Fred has a particularly good day or a winning month there is a picture that immediately comes to mind and won't disappear. Those of a certain age, over 40, may recall the image if I was to tell you it was the most famous scene from the best ever rock opera.




At first you may not see what I am getting at but swap the baked beans for these


Then swap Anne Margaret for him

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« Reply #63055 on: December 28, 2013, 01:11:10 AM »

Superb, hector. Funnily enough, I have our protagonist more as a contestant in the Crystal dome, trying to ensure he has 100 gold tokens after deduction of silver.

How can you come onto a poker forum and reference Ann Margaret as the woman from Tommy?! Cheesy

As Sir Humphrey would say, that was a courageous decision, hector Smiley
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #63056 on: December 28, 2013, 01:15:43 AM »

A better bet (IMO) than the Huddersfield one is Middlesbrough (vs Reading), playing Sunday.

Boro have played ok all season without results going for them, and their stats (possession/shots etc...) are well in the top half in the Championship.
Was with them (Top half/top 6) with Mowbray up top, and the new guy seems fine.

Reading are ok, but not all that. Have got more points than, perhaps, their performances merit.

Priced this up as Boro around evens, and 5/4 is available with Corals.
Don't think it will get to Evens by KO but would be surprised if 5/4, or maybe 6/5, is still there.
Suggest £40 at 5/4.
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #63057 on: December 28, 2013, 02:10:38 AM »

Hi teeks, hope u had a fine festive feast.

As far as I know, the MBS special is on every BT Sport game in December. You're right, yesterday was the classic push as u said, two wins, two losses, one money back. But we got the free £10 bet for making five NBA bets after a chat with live chat. Have placed two tonight, like the first one more than second:

Houston -7.5 v Memphis
Portland -4 v LA Clippers

GL

Maybe I missed these, Jeff, but I don't see either of these games listed on PP.

The only game currently with the MBS logo is Phoenix Suns @ GSW.
Hi mate, they were last night. Amazing how good the line setters are. The bigger bet won, by half a point, the second one was exactly -4, so was a push.

Tonight I've backed Golden State -6...I know this is probs too late for u Sad
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aaron1867
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« Reply #63058 on: December 28, 2013, 02:58:25 AM »

I am going to put up another questionable bet up for 29th, it's a slightly debatable one too....

Man City v Crystal Palace

City are 1/7 to beat Palace on Sunday, it looks like it should be business as usual, but I really think that along with winning the match, they will win to nil. City are the best team at home, playing fantastic and are up against a team they should be beating relatively comfortably. Even though Palace are picking up, I can't see them creating that many chances against the joint best home defence in the league, whilst being the second worst away scorers.

I also add that I do bet on the "to win to nil" market pretty often and you generally get 5/6 stuff on 1/3-1/4 shots.

Comparison on the market to show value:

Arsenal 2/9 v Cardiff and to win to nil are 5/6 - http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/arsenal-v-cardiff-city/to-win-to-nil

City (1/7) v Palace and to win to nil are 5/6 - http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-city-v-crystal-palace/to-win-to-nil

I suggest £30 on Man City to beat Palace "to nil" at 5/6 with Victor
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exstream
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« Reply #63059 on: December 28, 2013, 03:08:02 AM »

I thought looked great at first, the to win to nil bet, what are chances man c play a weakened side vs such a weak team? They conceded vs Leicester. Lescott has just returned to the side as demichellis was out(for the Liverpool game anyway) and hasn't had many starts at all recently. How dodgy is joe hart these days?!
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