Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

If all eight stay in the 1.40 Lingfield and he hits 4/1, I'd be super keen on Clerk's Choice. Can't have him knocked out of the three and every chance he'll TID.

[tikay]

If all eight stay in the 1.40 Lingfield and he hits 4/1, I'd be super keen on Clerk's Choice. Can't have him knocked out of the three and every chance he'll TID.

There has been a withdrawal (Shelford) so only 7 runners now. Best Price Clerk's Choice is 7/2 with 888, (probably a stale price) 3/1 best elsewhere.


NOT a bet now?



http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/lingfield/13:40/winner

[tikay]

WH going 3/1 Bobsworth in 2:55 Leop tomorrow from 8:30. Any good?

I wouldn't be getting up for it

Lol

Meh,  haven't got any choice.

Obv bet with the mobile free bet if 2nd on top.  Seems a big price regardless.

Thread should do £25 that after 8.30 on Hills mobile, together with
Kentucky Hyden 2.00 Chepstow at 2/1 and
Oscar Rock 1.45 Newbury at 5/2.

All sorted.

Bobsworth @ 3/1

Kentucky Hyden @ 15/8 (slightly worse)

Oscar Rock @ 11/4 (bit better)

All "£25 Free Bet if 2nd" via WH Mobile

3 BETS PLACED

[Chompy]

Marv.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Arch Villain start shorter than 2/1. Will wait and see if any 4/1 crops up about the Clerky but will back at 7/2.

Brown-haired Tindall baby now 7/4.

[horseplayer]

Marv.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Arch Villain start shorter than 2/1. Will wait and see if any 4/1 crops up about the Clerky but will back at 7/2.

Brown-haired Tindall baby now 7/4.

Been waiting for Icebuster to have another pop at 2 miles for a while

Hopefully will get a bit of 10-1 at some point today

[tikay]

Marv.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Arch Villain start shorter than 2/1. Will wait and see if any 4/1 crops up about the Clerky but will back at 7/2.

Brown-haired Tindall baby now 7/4.

What would you suggest @ 7/2, or 4/1 if available, £25 Win?

Note the current best price of 7/2 is with 888, & may be out of date, but I don't bet with them, elsewhere he is 11/4 best.

I'll keep an eye on the market.

[tikay]

Marv.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Arch Villain start shorter than 2/1. Will wait and see if any 4/1 crops up about the Clerky but will back at 7/2.

Brown-haired Tindall baby now 7/4.

Been waiting for Icebuster to have another pop at 2 miles for a while

Hopefully will get a bit of 10-1 at some point today

For those interested, current price 9/1.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/lingfield/13:40/winner

[BigAdz]

Marv.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Arch Villain start shorter than 2/1. Will wait and see if any 4/1 crops up about the Clerky but will back at 7/2.

Brown-haired Tindall baby now 7/4.

Been waiting for Icebuster to have another pop at 2 miles for a while

Hopefully will get a bit of 10-1 at some point today

Horsey taking on his mentor.........interesting.


No real thoughts bar CC seemed to just be getting hang of polytrack at the end of the race, and seems to have some scope on the surface. Icebuster only ran on it once and didnt shine.


CC has a very interesting profile

Started with Willie Jarvis, went to M Banks. The went to Oliver Sherwood. Then went back to M Banks, and now finally back to where he started at Willie Jarvis.

Almost like he has unfinished business!

[GreekWay]

I have a possible bet which I am considering in the Villa v Swansea match.

I have found the selection Both teams to score: No at evens at Boylesports and considering that Villa have only scored in 2 out of the last 9 home matches and Swansea have only scored in 2 out of their 9 away matches make it a decent selection considering the odds.

Both Benteke and Michu are out.

I will have a tenner on it.

[Doobs]

newcastle 3/1 at home to arsenal? seems v big at first glance

Has gone.  I know there shouldn't be edges here, but 29/10 still feels big.  Newcastle seem underrated everywhere except the Pleno household this year.  Inevitable 0-4 incoming. 

[tikay]

I have a possible bet which I am considering in the Villa v Swansea match.

I have found the selection Both teams to score: No at evens at Boylesports and considering that Villa have only scored in 2 out of the last 9 home matches and Swansea have only scored in 2 out of their 9 away matches make it a decent selection considering the odds.

Both Benteke and Michu are out.

I will have a tenner on it.

George!

By tradition, Fred Newbies auto get their Maiden bet adopted for £10 or £20.

But lets try & get you started properly.

Why do you think that is good value? What price SHOULD it be?

Those are the questions you have to ask yourself first.

Those prices, by the bye, derive from the Outright Match prices, but it is formulaic, so there can be errors, for the reasons you have noted. (Lack of goals by both, & missing strike partners).

It might be a very good bet, & we WILL get you on, but we need to properly understand WHY we are betting first.

How was Christmas at home in the Rodis household? Do you all smash plates on Xmas Day & that sort of thing?

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

Usual reasons for low points in the Northampton v Bath rugby today.

Suggest £24 @ 5/6 under 37.5 with Ladbrokes.

[tikay]

newcastle 3/1 at home to arsenal? seems v big at first glance

Yes, big on the face of it.

Does anyone know what price they should be? Presumably, the "formula" throws up a standard price.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Usual reasons for low points in the Northampton v Bath rugby today.

Suggest £24 @ 5/6 under 37.5 with Ladbrokes.

Morning hector, & thanks.

Three timer incoming?

BET PLACED

[Dubai]

I'll lay 3-1 Newcastle to anyone on the thread. But you have to bet a really  decent amount, has to be enough that it really hurts you when you lose. And obviously no arbing allowed so at moment they slightly Unders bf which is fine but if it moves then I can change price. Gl