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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16425989 times)
Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63180 on:
December 28, 2013, 07:26:26 PM »
Dubai puts money where mouth is, volume three million seven hundred and something
But seriously, tomorrow will be interesting because we don't really know what sort of a side Sherwood will put out against Stoke. It's very unlikely to be 1-0 because he seems to be an attack-minded (some might say
fearless
, others
tactically naïve
) manager. But the fans will demand a performance, because there are plenty who aren't yet convinced about the appointment. The home form has to change or Sherwood won't keep his job.
I'm not convinced 8/1 would be a bad price for palace, but 11/1 is only 3% off that. A lot can happen in a couple of weeks and you're essentially proposing an ante post bet with races in between.
Don't listen to me on this stuff, obviously. We are coming at it from opposing one eyes
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63181 on:
December 28, 2013, 07:29:52 PM »
Quote from: Ant040689 on December 28, 2013, 07:26:08 PM
Quote from: Dubai on December 28, 2013, 06:53:55 PM
Basically I'l lay 21/10 palace or the draw for anything anyone wants. So if it's value knock me over
I may be underestimating Tottenham's capabilities at home, when Doobs and Dubai are coming in against you it's enough to stop you in your tracks, even if it is with me and Palace.
I think they are terrible at home. But it's like your high school prom, you don't need to ask the first bird you see to go with you just because you really want to go. Spurs will be shorter than 1.47 which means your double chance price will only get bigger when everyone prices up.
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Ant040689
Probation
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Posts: 0
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63182 on:
December 28, 2013, 07:33:22 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on December 28, 2013, 07:29:52 PM
Quote from: Ant040689 on December 28, 2013, 07:26:08 PM
Quote from: Dubai on December 28, 2013, 06:53:55 PM
Basically I'l lay 21/10 palace or the draw for anything anyone wants. So if it's value knock me over
I may be underestimating Tottenham's capabilities at home, when Doobs and Dubai are coming in against you it's enough to stop you in your tracks, even if it is with me and Palace.
I think they are terrible at home. But it's like your high school prom, you don't need to ask the first bird you see to go with you just because you really want to go. Spurs will be shorter than 1.47 which means your double chance price will only get bigger when everyone prices up.
Well that's what I thought, Tottenham terribly great at home and with how Palace played today, I assumed the price would get longer for Tottenham at home, such is why I wanted to invest now. But if you think it is going to get longer I will wait, tyty. Showing my naivety there.
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Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63183 on:
December 28, 2013, 07:41:07 PM »
The 11/1 is way better than 21/10 IMO. So if you think spurs will get beat tomoro then take 11//1 but don't take 21/10
Betting 11/1 (palace) and 4/1 (draw) coupled is around 5/2. Shows how bad 21/10 is
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Omm
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63184 on:
December 28, 2013, 07:51:11 PM »
Doobs
Perri Kiely 6/4 backable?
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/splash/winner
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BigAdz
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Posts: 8140
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63185 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:01:12 PM »
Quote from: Omm on December 28, 2013, 07:51:11 PM
Doobs
Perri Kiely 6/4 backable?
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/splash/winner
Must be getting old. I wont revert to google. I have abso no idea who this is at all, let alone know why they are 6/4. Is it Tom Daleys boyfriend?
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Omm
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63186 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:06:15 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on December 28, 2013, 08:01:12 PM
Quote from: Omm on December 28, 2013, 07:51:11 PM
Doobs
Perri Kiely 6/4 backable?
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/splash/winner
Must be getting old. I wont revert to google. I have abso no idea who this is at all, let alone know why they are 6/4. Is it Tom Daleys boyfriend?
Ha ha, very well could be Adz, he is the youngest lad from Diversity(winners of Brittany's got talent, beat Suebo) the one with lots of hair.
I've chucked a free bet on Paul Ross, haven't really got a clue with Splash, never watched it.
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Ant040689
Probation
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63187 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:08:09 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on December 28, 2013, 07:41:07 PM
The 11/1 is way better than 21/10 IMO. So if you think spurs will get beat tomoro then take 11//1 but don't take 21/10
Betting 11/1 (palace) and 4/1 (draw) coupled is around 5/2. Shows how bad 21/10 is
Cheers. Again have more enthusiasm than I do a knowledge base with betting. I will get shrewd one day. I think I am not a terrible reader of the game, just cannot properly correlate that to pricing. So I might just fling up suggestions, rather than verbose tips, because I was way off there.
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BigAdz
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63188 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:09:57 PM »
Ah. The one that gets chucked about all the time?
Suppose he is considered cute for these purposes(will leave it to Tal for in depth Cute rating).
Sure to be able to do some proper stuff.
Of first 8 in betting only heard of Austin H. bah!
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Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63189 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:16:02 PM »
Thank you!
Not had an excuse to show this for ages!
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
GreekWay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63190 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:16:18 PM »
I don't know if the thread has consider it but as you do an excellent job have you thought of starting in 2014 with a set capital eg 1k and bet only like 2-5% on each bet in order to make it a little bit more structured?
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Marky147
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Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63191 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:31:06 PM »
Quote from: GreekWay on December 28, 2013, 08:16:18 PM
I don't know if the thread has consider it but as you do an excellent job have you thought of starting in 2014 with a set capital eg 1k and bet only like 2-5% on each bet in order to make it a little bit more structured?
Think Fred runs off a notional bankroll of £3k, so the max bet is 5%/£150 on any given market.
This is until we get to Cheltenham
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Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
Snowball
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Posts: 1455
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63192 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:31:54 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on December 28, 2013, 07:14:23 PM
I really like the 5/2 Wright highest checkout of the evening. Rarely does a game go by where he doesn't check out a substantial 3 dart finish and although Whitlock is known for taking out high finishes I think the market is based more on reputation than statistics particularly given Whitlocks game has a lower spread for number of total legs
Recommend decent bet. £100-40 seems fine. Coral/Betfred
As long as Whitlock doesn't try and set up 170 every other Leg then 164 will be hard to beat.
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GreekWay
Full Member
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Posts: 270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63193 on:
December 28, 2013, 08:38:45 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on December 28, 2013, 08:31:06 PM
Quote from: GreekWay on December 28, 2013, 08:16:18 PM
I don't know if the thread has consider it but as you do an excellent job have you thought of starting in 2014 with a set capital eg 1k and bet only like 2-5% on each bet in order to make it a little bit more structured?
Think Fred runs off a notional bankroll of £3k, so the max bet is 5%/£150 on any given market.
This is until we get to Cheltenham
I guess I have missed this point.£3k is a good starting capital and the fred provides some decent profits every month.
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Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #63194 on:
December 28, 2013, 09:17:45 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on December 28, 2013, 08:09:57 PM
Of first 8 in betting only heard of Austin H. bah!
Surely you've heard of Martin Offiah?
And Michaela Strachan. I bet you were a right fan of Hitman and Her. Before my time, of course. Only know her from The Really Wild Show.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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